A Stock Market Running Low On Fuel Ahead of A Fed With Few Reserves – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The fresh sag in the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ makes the stock market look like it is running low on fuel. The damage is timely just ahead of the next meeting of the Federal Reserve. In these circumstances, I would expect the Fed to deliver soothing words to the stock market … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Snapshots of a Looming Global Wartime Economy

Stock Market Commentary Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has created massive human misery and a historic press of global economic sanctions. With war comes scarcity and the allocation of resources to destroying the resources of others. Financial markets are scrambling to adjust to the new global wartime economy. These charts are just a snapshot of some … Read more

Sellers Tightened Resistance Looming Over the Trading Action – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market held up surprisingly well last week given the intensifying Russian assault on Ukraine and the accelerating economic sanctions pressing upon Russia. Yet, similar to my concerns for the suffering Ukrainian people, I have increasing doubts that this market “stasis” can last much longer. Specifically, the downtrending 20-day moving averages … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Snapshots of Survival from Descents Into Oversold Territory

Stock Market Commentary Trading with on-going headline risk is difficult for bulls and bears. I find it useful to pick a narrative, pick an anchor, and stay as disciplined as possible. My foundation remains with the principles of trading contrary to extremes. Last week, the market tested the extremes of oversold trading conditions and survived … Read more

The Churn Zones Survive Oversold Trading Conditions – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: When Russia launched a full scale invasion of Ukraine, financial markets took heavy hits. Overnight, I anticipated a drop into oversold trading conditions for the U.S. stock market. Those oversold trading conditions were surprisingly and exceptionally brief. The major indices gapped down well below their lower Bollinger Bands (BB), and I waited … Read more