ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 12, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It looks like the Bank of Canada was indeed setting the groundwork for easing monetary policy when it sounded fresh alarms about the Canadian economy last year. The extremely weak employment … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The United Kingdom’s Office of National Statistics (ONS) reported retail sales today that suggest consumers went on a literal shopping spree in December, 2013. {snip} The ONS reported the most notable … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 8, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Weakness continues for the euro (FXE) as 2014 seems to be confirming expectations I have outlined in previous posts. On January 7th, Eurostat reported eurozone inflation dropped to 0.8% in December … Read more
Tonight, January 14, 2014, I was casually doing my periodic check of forex charts and was absolutely startled to see so many currency pairs pivoting around the 50-day moving average (DMA). I was so captured by this pattern, I decided to post every single chart for the record. I realize that the tests and touches … Read more
On December 27th, I wrote “The Australian Dollar And Japanese Yen Enter 2014 Joined At The Hip – A Split Could Be Telling.” So I find it very intriguing, interesting, and validating to see 2014 start with a dramatic example of the shared hip joint between the Australian dollar (FXA) and Japanese yen (FXY). Since … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The ASX (Australian Stock Exchange) tracker for rate expectations dropped further to start the new year. The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) Rate Tracker dropped the odds of a rate decrease … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “A Major Test Awaits The Australian Dollar In 2014 As 2013 Delivered New Correlations” I discussed this year’s strong (inverse) relationship between the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the Australian … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 23, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) has finally retested the “W-bottom” from August of this year. So far the test seems successful as the Australian dollar has sharply bounced off the lows over … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield hit 3.0%, matching a high for the year. Rate are rising again across the yield curve. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve This steady … Read more
There were no economic reports of importance from the eurozone or from the United Kingdom to end the week. Yet, this absence did not prevent traders from sending the euro (FXE) and the British pound (FXB) into major overnight breakouts: a 25-month high for the euro and 28-month high for the pound against the U.S. … Read more