T2108 Update (October 23, 2012) – Breakdown

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

British Pound Continues To Breakdown Ahead of Third Quarter GDP Numbers

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It took a while, but the British pound (FXB) finally broke down against the U.S. dollar with a recent break below the 50-day moving average (DMA). Source: FreeStockCharts.com This breakdown is … Read more

The U.S. Dollar’s Post-QE3 Relief Rally Likely To Give Way To Meandering

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The financial crisis of 2008/2009 ended a long-term downtrend in the U.S. dollar (UUP). Ever since then, the Federal Reserve has been unable to grease the skids sufficiently to get this … Read more

Canadian Dollar Quakes After Carney Warnings And Ahead of Next Rate Decision

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Since at least 2010, Governor Mark Carney has consistently warned Canadians that interest rates are abnormally low and must inevitably go up. However, Carney has also made it clear that … Read more

Austere Trouble Brewing for the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Just a few days after writing that the U.S. dollar’s post-QE3 rally was giving way to meandering, the U.S. dollar (UUP) surged back to the top of the recent relief rally … Read more