The Correct Narrative On U.S. Wage Growth for the Second Quarter: The Dollar Recovers

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It seems odd to fear that wage growth is slumping in the U.S. with increasing momentum supporting minimum wage hikes across the country and through many industries. Yet, wage data on … Read more

Trading Lessons from the Elections In Turkey

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 14, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Turkey held national elections on June 7th. The events were well-covered given Turkey’s central location amid a set of geopolitical hotspots and its (former) place as a fast-growing emerging market. Source: … Read more

Turkish Lira Completes A Post-Election Reversal As Central Bank Waits On Inflation

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 28, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Since I laid out a post-election trading strategy on the Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) two weeks ago, events have gone on a very slow burn. The currency and the stock market have … Read more

T2108 Update (July 28, 2015) – An Important Stock Market Turnaround

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (July 24, 2015) – Bearish Signs Accumulate Just Above Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more