The Australian Dollar Flips the Script After Strong Jobs Report

Less than a week ago, a disappointing GDP report helped to dampen enthusiasm for the Australian dollar (FXA) following a policy statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Now, the script has flipped after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a strong employment report for November, 2017. While the unemployment rate stayed at 5.4%, … Read more

California Housing Crisis Means Tri Pointe Is Not Worried About Tax Reform

Tri Pointe Group (TPH) was the last home builder stock I sold as a part of my last cycle of home builder investments. It was also my longest-standing holding; I only exited after the sell-off inspired by the first release of details for tax reform stopped me out of the stock. The stock had a … Read more

GDP Helps Confirm Australian Dollar Breakdown After Brief Post-RBA Optimism

The currency market painted a bullish interpretation of the latest monetary policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). By the time of the September quarter GDP report, that incremental bullishness disappeared and setup a bearish interpretation of the Australian economy. Source: FreeStockCharts.com The net result, which includes a U.S. jobs report, is an … Read more

Home Builders Buckle Under Tax Reform – Reviewing the Damage

In my last review of the housing market, I ran out of time to comment on an emphatic statement from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) regarding its failure to influence the Republican plan for tax reform. The tax plan coming out of the GOP side of the House of Representatives includes a provision … Read more

Housing Market Review – Stocks Racing Away from Swirling Data (October, 2017)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in September, 2017 for August, 2017. At the time, I described a growing rift between the data and the stocks of home builders. Instead of stumbling, housing stocks received a fresh breath of life and kicked up the momentum another notch higher in October. The iShares U.S. … Read more