Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So much for that bottoming process in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) that I noted two months ago (see “Looking Like A Bottom For TBT“). Interest rates are headed lower … Read more

Chart Review: TBT’s Bottom Already In Jeopardy

Almost a month ago I made another case for a bottom in TBT, the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury. The related breakout include some large, upward one-day moves. The churn included a convincingly successful retest of presumed support at the upper channel that formed the consolidation pattern for TBT’s bottom. Alas, that was not enough … Read more

TBT Successfully Retests Support From Breakout

A little over two weeks ago I pointed out that it looked like TBT, the ProShares UltraShort 20-Year Treasury, had finally bottomed. TBT broke out from an extended consolidation pattern that is the classic hallmark of a sustainable bottom. On Friday, TBT surged 3.3% after having erased all the gains from the breakout. TBT made … Read more

Chart Review: Looks Like A Bottom for TBT

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For the past few years, trying to call a top in Treasurys has been a fool’s game. From the manipulation of the Federal Reserve to fears of deflation to fears of … Read more

Reflections on Eastman Kodak and the “Bankruptcy Trade”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So Eastman Kodak (EKDKQ.PK) was rearranging chairs on the deck of the Titanic after all. Late Wednesday night (January 18), Kodak announced that it will file a voluntary bankruptcy using an … Read more