Hot Inflation Read Accelerated the Timeline for Peak Fed Rates

The landscape of inflation and monetary policy continues to change fast. The June inflation numbers disappointed expectations once again for peak inflation. A surprise 1% point rate hike by the Bank of Canada combined with this hot inflation accelerated the timeline for peak interest rates from the Federal Reserve. Instead of a 75 basis point … Read more

A Time to Shift Into Neutral – The Market Breadth

Automatic car gear in neutral

Stock Market Commentary The stock market failed its test of the summer of discontent. The bear market stayed true to its name and held firm at important resistance levels. This is a time to shift into neutral in deference to the unenthusiastic buying power and the overwhelming technicals. With earnings season underway and the continuing … Read more

Why Wall Street Wants A Recession

Jerome Powell at the Reservation Economic Summit

That sigh of disappointment was Wall Street looking for signs of a weakening labor market in the June jobs report. Instead, that report showed job creation remains robust in the economy. Not only did the unemployment rate remain steady at a low 3.6% with the economy adding 372,000 jobs (far more than “consensus” expectations), the … Read more

A Big Test for the Summer of Discontent – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The major indices enjoyed important rebounds last week. Despite this summer of discontent, buyers managed to follow through on the previous week’s test of the oversold threshold. The gains are yet another testament to the opportunities in oversold trading conditions. The rebound was strong enough to push market breadth to new heights … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Bear Market Green Shoots

Bear market green shoots

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market is delivering fertile ground for bear market green shoots. Market breadth in the form of AT50 (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs), closed at a one month high. Under the hood are individual stocks achieving convincing 50DMA breakouts and closing out primary … Read more