A Deep Dive On the Bank of Canada’s Oil-Driven Rate Cut and Its Implications

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Jan 22, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) My re-evaluation of my newfound bullishness on the Canadian dollar came just in time for a surprise rate cut from the Bank of Canada (BoC). The CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar ETF (FXC) … Read more

Canada Is Relying On A Weaker Currency To Cushion Its Economy Until Oil’s Longer-Term Bull Returns

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Jan 14, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) “The recent movements in oil prices have been dramatic, but they are not random. Once we sort through the different economic forces at play, we see that underlying the recent drop … Read more

A New Year’s Re-Evaluation of the Drivers for Bullishness On the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Jan 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) On December 23rd, Statistics Canada reported another strong showing for Canada’s GDP. This time it was manufacturing that produced the unexpectedly strong result. Real GDP increased 0.3% in October. {snip} Given … Read more

Bank of Canada Gets More Bearish Ahead of More News of Employment Stagnation

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 8, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On June 4th, the Bank of Canada hit the “repeat button” by maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1%. The rest of the statement was not a repeat: it … Read more

T2108 Update (July 21, 2015) – Follow-Through on Bearish Divergence

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more