links for 2010-05-10

Bull Market Signaled by Oil Stocks at 19 Times Profit (Update1) – Bloomberg.com The 39 energy producers and equipment makers in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index have traded at an average 19.1 times earnings in 2010, compared with 17.8 for the index. The last times they had higher valuations in 1994, 1999 and 2002, … Read more

links for 2010-05-09

Bias in SEC's fraud case against Goldman Sachs? – Contrarian Chronicles The players on both sides of the trade that the SEC has targeted knew the risks and knew one side was bound to lose. It's far from the worst sin of this mess. (tags: fraud GoldmanSachs SEC)

links for 2010-05-08

China inflation target may be out of reach: economist | Reuters China stands little chance of hitting the government's target of keeping inflation below 3 percent this year, a senior government economist said on Saturday. (tags: China inflation economy) Capitulation! | The Mess That Greenspan Made Spotted over at The Reformed Broker, one trader happened … Read more

Oversold Conditions Deepen As March-April “Melt-Up” Gives Way to Increasing Market Weakness

“…I stick by the rule that low-volume buying begets high-volume selling; weeks of gains can be erased within a manner of days once sellers finally get motivated.” This quote came from my commentary in late March titled “Some Lazy Thoughts for a Complacent Market“. At the time, I was reacting to the extreme overbought technical … Read more

links for 2010-05-07

Market Drop Fueled by a Crisis, a Glitch and Anxiety – DealBook Blog – NYTimes.com Combine one part nervous traders, one part Greek crisis and one part trader error. Stir in one part central bank complacency. Bring to boil. Panic. (tags: stock_market technical_analysis sell-off)

The Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen Awaken

Currencies swung wildly and dramatically yesterday. Lost in the breathless descriptions of the continued surge in the US dollar and the sudden strength in the Japanese yen is that the drama really began with renewed strength in the Swiss franc. At around 5am Eastern, the franc suddenly surged against all currencies. In particular, it traded … Read more

Market Crash Marks the First “Official” Oversold Day Since March 2009 Lows

I posted a note before noon on Thursday outlining the latest technicals that seemed to point toward a lower stock market. Almost as soon as I sent it, I wished I had waited…mainly because T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages, started declining at an even faster rate. By the close … Read more

NYSE CEO Predicts An Ugly Open for the Stock Market

CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo conducted a great interview with Duncan Niederauer, NYSE Euronext CEO. Niederauer described the technical aspects behind the market crash on Thursday. While he may have been too frank in forecasting “I think it will be pretty ugly tomorrow morning,” his openness gave a revealing look at the technical vulnerabilities of today’s modern … Read more

Earnings Excitement Faded, Trends Breaking, and Still Not Oversold

Earnings excitement is one casualty of the current selling in the market. Several big cap stocks and multinational companies generated a lot of hype and attention from their earnings results this quarter. A number of those gains have been erased and then some. Four stocks have attracted my particular interest: Apple (APPL) – A market … Read more