T2108 Update – July 7, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 78% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close “almost all” bullish trades (longs), accelerate bearish trades (shorts). Caveats noted below… Commentary T2108 hit 78% today for … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Finally Breaks Its Downtrend

Apple (AAPL) initially failed a critical technical test at the 200-day moving average (DMA) and even made a new low for 2011, but the stock’s under-performance has finally ended. AAPL has gained over 10% since its 2011 low June 20th. The majority of the gains have come on just 4 days with strong bursts of … Read more

T2108 Update – July 5, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary Today was a strange day. The S&P 500 … Read more

The Crowd Is Always Right, Contrarians Are Always Wrong…Until They’re Not

On July 1, 2011, Brett Arends wrote in MarketWatch a piece lambasting groupthink and crowd psychology in “Dominique Strauss-Kahn and your money; Commentary: Wisdom of the crowd comes into question yet again.” The article was an intriguing way to relate the rush to judge DSK in mass media in the absence of complete information to … Read more

T2108 Update – July 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary The S&P 500 closed the week with a … Read more