How Long Can A Parabolic Turkish Lira Last?

The Turkish lira is in freefall. On November 23rd, the U.S. dollar gained about 12% against the Turkish lira. USD/TRY is up 55% since the end of August and up 74% year-to-date. The current parabolic Turkish lira move culminates an epic battle that Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is waging against monetary orthodoxy. Erdoğan has … Read more

New CBRT Governor Attempts to Stabilize the Turkish lira

A change in leadership at the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) slammed the Turkish lira (USD/TRY). A little over a week later, the new governor, Şahap Kavcıoğlu, granted an interview with Bloomberg to discuss recent events and monetary policy. The CBRT published a transcript of the brief interview. Thus, I assume the … Read more

Erdogan Slams the Turkish Lira With Surprise Change at the Central Bank

Financial markets hate surprises. Turkey’s President Tayyip Erdogan slammed currency markets to start the week. Two Days after the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) hiked interest rates again (this time from 17 to 19%), Erdogan replaced the governor. The sacking occurred on Saturday, but the market clearly needed a lot more time … Read more