A Trading Plan For Herbalife: A Pullback Likely Before A New Trading Range

“This is the hedge-fund equivalent of Stalingrad. Someone is going to lose big. And the victor will be so bloodied that the word victory will sound hollow… For a short-seller who is as risk-averse as me watching this is pure hedge-fund porn.” From “Bill Ackman enters the city of Stalingrad,” John Hempton of Bronte Capital, … Read more

Herbalife Gains A Big Friend In Robert Chapman As Bullish Momentum Rises

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 4, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This reversal was punctuated by Chapman Capital’s Robert Chapman revelations on January 3rd that he bought HLF on the cheap to trade directly against Ackman. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Herb Greenberg of … Read more

With the Endgame Known, Options Trading in Herbalife Provides Even More Insight

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So it turns out that Bill Ackman, with his hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management, is the “big whale” behind the massive short position built against Herbalife (HLF). Ackman indicated that … Read more

T2108 Update (January 4, 2013) – Pushing On More Extremes In the Wake Of Record Volume On VIX Futures

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Flurry of Trading in Molycorp Ahead of CEO Change May Finally Cement A Bottom

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It turns out that recent put buyers in Molycorp (MCP) may have had the right idea, but their bearish trade may have a very short shelf life. After hours on December … Read more