The Positive Trade When Incumbent Presidents Run For Re-Election Rarely Lasts

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In early, July I quantified the very unique tendency of the S&P 500 (SPY) to deliver strongly positive returns in the three months (between July-end and October-end) before a Presidential election … Read more

Amazon.com Reports First Net Loss In Nine Years, So Buy the Stock Of Course!

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) “If Amazon were an ordinary company, investors would long ago have strapped its management to a rocket ship and sent it far, far away.” From “Amazon and Its Admirers Shrug Off … Read more

A Hedged Approach to Trading Apple Earnings This Time Around

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) While expectations generally remain extremely bullish for Apple (AAPL) – {snip} – the short-term price action going into earnings does not reflect that bullishness. Since last printing all-time closing highs just … Read more

Currencies Are Signaling Potential Bullish Divergences For The Stock Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) This week, the S&P 500 (SPY) has broken down, providing an early warning that QE3 is not working as expected. The S&P 500 is resting precariously at support formed by the … Read more

Chipotle Bears Ready For Another Poor Earnings Performance But Watch Pre-Earnings Close

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) reported earnings in July, the stock fell 21.6%. This loss was CMG’s biggest in its almost seven years as a publicly traded company. The stock sold … Read more