ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Last week I asked whether time is running out for the Australian dollar versus the British pound. Apparently, the answer is yes. The very next day, the GBP/AUD currency pair surged upward through the previous trading channel. Only the 200-day moving average (DMA) stopped the momentum. But even that reprieve looks very temporary. As of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In November, 2010, Nassim Taleb (Mr. Black Swan) broke a long-standing media blackout to talk on CNBC about his distress over quantitative easing Part two (QE2). At the time, Taleb concluded … Read more
The GBP/AUD currency pair – the British pound versus the Australian dollar – combined the best of two worlds for me: my bearishness on the British pound and my bullishness on the Australian dollar. Even though I ended my love affair with the Australian dollar almost two weeks ago, I continue to enjoy trading the … Read more
Almost two weeks ago, I underlined the case for on-going weakness in the Japanese yen. The U.S. dollar had rallied to 80.60 against the yen (USD/JPY) in almost a straight line. I chose that point to close out my yen shorts to wait for what I thought would be an inevitable pullback from such a … Read more
On Tuesday (February 28), the British pound finally broke out against the U.S. dollar with a resounding surge above its 200-day moving average (200DMA). The struggle to break this resistance lasted the entire month of February. Despite this technical breakthrough, I remain skeptical that the British pound will deliver much follow-through before faltering again. Indeed, … Read more