ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) In my last piece on Research In Motion (RIMM), I described the details from the company’s conference call warning on this quarter’s earnings…RIMM barely paused to take in the scenery at the October lows. The stock … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Silver failed at its 50-day moving average (DMA) resistance in spectacular fashion. Silver dropped 9% and gave up almost its entire gain from the previous three-day relief rally. Source: stockcharts.com As I mentioned in my previous … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about this technical indicator, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 63% and Neutral – just fell from overbought General Trading Call: Hold. If no shorts in the portfolio initiate “some”, more aggressive on break of May low … Read more
Today is the first day for posting the updates for T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) on this blog. If you do not know anything about this powerful technical indicator, please see my T2108 Resource Page. This page also includes an archive of the commentary I posted on … Read more
What has changed in the two months it took for silver to stampede its way up $15 (a 43% gain) and back? Did the Federal Reserve raise rates? Did the Federal Reserve threaten the market with rate hikes? Did the housing market rebound sharply, generating an expectation for higher rates? Did inflation expectations adjust sharply? … Read more
I thought TBT’s (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury) successful test of the 200-day moving average (DMA) back in March would mark the beginning of a fresh extended run higher. Instead, the declining 50DMA marked the true short-term trend, and, for the second time in a month, TBT failed to break that resistance. At the end … Read more
Today, Pan American Silver Corporation (PAAS) issued a press release confirming my earlier assumption that its mining operations in Bolivia would not be impacted by the Bolivian government’s efforts to further nationalize its resource industries (see “Despair Deep in the Silver Mines: Another Opportunity to Buy Pan American Silver“). “On May 1, Bolivian President Evo … Read more
Famous short-seller Dick Chanos visited the CNBC set on April 14 and talked about his expanding list of targets that includes alternative energy, especially First Solar (FSLR). In response, the stock dropped 2.7% that day and did not stabilize until the stock lost almost 10% over the course of a week. Directly ahead of another … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) After listening to Research In Motion’s conference call explaining the company’s downward guidance Thursday night, I thought I would write a piece just as bullish as management’s insistence that longer-term upside prospects remain unchanged. However, writing … Read more
Every now and then, I check in on the chart of Goldman Sachs (GS) as a potential indicator of the underlying health of the stock market. This year, I have been consistently surprised at Goldman’s persistent relative weakness compared to the general market. After recently refreshing my chart of the S&P 500 price in gold, … Read more