BoE’s Posen Must Be Sleeping Well At Night Now

“It’s the main question that keeps me and my colleagues at the MPC up at night. That’s why in our last set of forecasts….we stressed there are upside risks. The slack in the economy is not pushing down on inflation the way we’d like…core inflation is higher in the UK; it’s not dragging down like … Read more

Will the Real Safety Currency Please Stand?

In “The Dollar Is Headed Lower“, Randall W. Forsyth wrote in Barron’s that “The dollar’s trend now is unequivocally lower. And that’s apparent whether you look at fundamental factors or the technical picture on the charts.” He does a good job of summarizing the current condition of de facto competitive devaluation that is increasing the … Read more

The British Pound Awaits A Catalyst

Earlier today, the Bank of England (BoE) maintained interest rates at 0.50% and did not change the size of its quantitative program… and the market essentially yawned. Such sluggish behavior has characterized the British pound’s behavior against the U.S. dollar for almost three weeks now. Source: dailyfx.com charts (Click for larger view) The over-extension of … Read more

British Pound Likely On the “Last Leg” of Its Rally

The British pound has been on a fascinating and very bullish ride versus the U.S. dollar. On Thursday, the pound accentuated its action by perfectly tagging the lower part of its bullish channel directly above support at the 200-day moving average (DMA). (Click for larger view) Source: dailyfx.com charts (click for larger view) I redrew … Read more

U.S. Dollar Enjoys Largest One-Day Rally In 19 Months

Now THIS is the way to start a relief rally. The U.S. dollar index surged on Wednesday 1.84%, marking its largest one-day gain since a 2.72% gain on January 20, 2009. At that time, the dollar was in the middle of a sharp and major bounce off its 200-day moving average (DMA) support on its … Read more