T2108 Update – June 14, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 26% and neutral (note that since the March, 2009 lows, T2108 has frequently hit bottom around 30%). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 popped to 26% on a … Read more

T2108 Update – June 13, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and “almost” oversold. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Add more small long positions. Commentary T2108 dropped to 21%, right on the edge of the official 20% oversold … Read more

T2108 Update – June 10, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Start adding small long positions. Commentary As I suspected, yesterday’s oversold bounce was short-lived. The selling today was strong, persistent, … Read more

T2108 Update – June 9, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% or below. Commentary Today’s obligatory bounce from … Read more

T2107 Flashes A Major Bearish Warning

On May 15, 2006, I wrote a piece called “Evidence of A Tiring Bull.” I used T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving averages (DMAs), to make the strong claim that the three-year old bull market was nearing an end. T2107 had been in decline for two years, and I projected the … Read more

T2108 Update – June 8, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 29% and Neutral (oversold based on history since March, 2009). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% … Read more

T2108 Update – June 7, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 32% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% or below. Commentary T2108 made a minor … Read more

T2108 Update – June 6, 2011 (Market “Oversold”)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 30% and Neutral (oversold territory relative to behavior over past two years). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory … Read more

T2108 Update: June 3, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 37% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Hold. Cover some shorts. Commentary Looks like my switch back to bearish expectations proved timely as T2108 dropped to 37% and back into … Read more

T2108 Update: June 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 42% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Hold. Identify some shorts to cover. Commentary Given that today was the stock market’s worst performance since August of last year, I should … Read more