The Bouncing British Pound Threatens A Breakout

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I started with a bullish strategy to trade the British pound against the U.S. dollar (FXB) after fiscal and monetary authorities rallied to airlift more liquidity into the economy. It worked … Read more

Chart Review: A Clean Breakout for the Australian Dollar Means Time To Change Positions

The Australian dollar is now at 4-month highs versus the U.S. dollar (FXA). In what now looks like a clean breakout, the AUD/USD currency pair has hurdled over the latest resistance level which was the April high. Source: FreeStockCharts.com While I continue to believe the Australian dollar has a big sell-off ahead of it once … Read more

The Australian Dollar Confirms the S&P 500 Breakout

(This is an addendum to the last T2108 Update that presented the case for an imminent, extended, overbought rally for the S&P 500). On Friday, July 27, the S&P 500 broke out in a rally that continues in grinding fashion from the June lows. In parallel, the Australian dollar (FXA) has also rallied from its … Read more

By Closing Above Its “QE2 Reference Price”, Dollar Increases Pressure On Fed

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I did not think it would happen, but the dollar index finally closed above its “QE2 reference price.” {snip} I have contended that if the dollar index reached current levels, the … Read more

Another Key Bullish Divergence Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide fascinating, and profitable, examples of its strong relationship with the S&P 500 (SPY). {snip} On July 23rd, another big sell-off day, the Australian dollar … Read more