Juniper Network’s Surge Triggers Adjustment to Pairs Trade Versus Cisco Systems

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.)

Juniper Networks (JNPR) has surged 24% since I wrote about the stock’s plunge to 2 1/2 year lows. At that time, I claimed it was time to trigger my idea to do a pairs trade long JNPR versus short Cisco Systems (CSCO). I have tweeted the related trades since then, but I thought I would provide some more detail and color on the status of this trade in a post.


Juniper Networks has surged off its bottom and now trades at 2-month highs and above its 50-day moving average
Juniper Networks has surged off its bottom and now trades at 2-month highs and above its 50-day moving average

Source: FreeStockCharts.com

{snip}

I was fortunate to nail the day JNPR hit its last 52-week (and multi-year) closing low (granted I was guided by my technical analysis flashing a buy signal on the S&P 500 based on oversold conditions). CSCO has jumped 16% during this time and has lagged JNPR’s gains. The current performance differential between JNPR and CSCO has validated the launch of the pairs trade at the 0.90 CSCO:JNPR price ratio as “close enough” to the (recent) historical high of 0.95.


The CSCO vs JNPR price ratio has topped out for now
The CSCO vs JNPR price ratio has topped out for now

Source: Stockcharts

JNPR has performed so well that my calls are already in-the-money and no longer providing much leverage. On Friday, I decided to use some of the profits to add to the CSCO puts to pad my downside hedge. {snip} In retrospect, I should have used the profits to purchase a new set of out-of-the money calls on JNPR. {snip}…

Be careful out there!

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.)

Full disclosure: long calls on JNPR and long puts on CSCO

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