{"id":9650,"date":"2012-02-04T14:33:21","date_gmt":"2012-02-04T19:33:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=9650"},"modified":"2012-02-04T14:43:20","modified_gmt":"2012-02-04T19:43:20","slug":"us-dollar-drops-to-lowest-point-vs-yen-since-oct","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/04\/us-dollar-drops-to-lowest-point-vs-yen-since-oct\/","title":{"rendered":"Still Bearish the Yen Even As U.S. Dollar Drops to Lowest Point Since October&#8217;s Intervention"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 31, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/327052-u-s-dollar-drops-to-lowest-point-vs-yen-since-october-s-intervention\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The path for a peak in the Japanese yen is turning into a much more arduous one that I had hoped.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, I pointed to an imminent acceleration in purchases of foreign assets and commodities and a change in trader positioning as <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/321091-the-japanese-yen-may-finally-be-peaking\" target=\"_blank\">potential signs that the yen is finally peaking<\/a>. Seemingly on cue, the U.S. dollar surged against the yen &#8211; Rydex Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) &#8211; two days later after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/2012\/01\/25\/145826047\/japan-details-first-trade-deficit-since-1980\" target=\"_blank\">trade data showed, as expected, that Japan suffered its first annual trade deficit in 30 years<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<object type='application\/x-shockwave-flash' data='http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/resources_v2\/flash\/video_embed.swf?videoId=229068813&#038;edition=BETAUS' id='rcomVideo_229068813' width='460' height='259'><param name='movie' value='http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/resources_v2\/flash\/video_embed.swf?videoId=229068813&#038;edition=BETAUS'><\/param><param name='allowFullScreen' value='true'><\/param><param name='allowScriptAccess' value='always'><\/param><param name='wmode' value='transparent'><\/param><embed src='http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/resources_v2\/flash\/video_embed.swf?videoId=229068813&#038;edition=BETAUS' type='application\/x-shockwave-flash' allowfullscreen='true' allowScriptAccess='always' width='460' height='259' wmode='transparent'><\/embed><\/object><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The next day, <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/322256-no-qe3-but-federal-reserve-statement-green-lights-commodity-currencies-and-gold\" target=\"_blank\">the U.S. Federal Reserve extended its expectation for near-zero interest rates to 2014<\/a>, and the U.S. dollar (UUP) has dropped against all major currencies ever since. In just five days, the sharp reversal has dropped the U.S. dollar to its lowest point against the yen since last November&#8217;s intervention. THAT intervention came as the U.S. dollar hit multi-decade lows against the yen.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9651\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9651\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120130_USDJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120130_USDJPY.png\" alt=\"U.S. dollar plunges against the yen and almost erases its remaining post-intervention gains\" title=\"U.S. dollar plunges against the yen and almost erases its remaining post-intervention gains\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-9651\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120130_USDJPY.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120130_USDJPY-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9651\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. dollar plunges against the yen and almost erases its remaining post-intervention gains<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip} If the yen does continue to strengthen, I will be looking to buy Australian dollars against the yen, not more U.S. dollars. See &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/01\/30\/chart-review-australian-dollar-hitting-critical-junctures\/\" target=\"_blank\">Australian Dollar Hitting Critical Junctures<\/a>&#8221; for more details.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 31, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/327052-u-s-dollar-drops-to-lowest-point-vs-yen-since-october-s-intervention\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net short Japanese yen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 31, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The path for a peak in the Japanese yen is turning into a much more arduous one that I had hoped. Last week, I pointed to an imminent acceleration in purchases &#8230; <a title=\"Still Bearish the Yen Even As U.S. Dollar Drops to Lowest Point Since October&#8217;s Intervention\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/04\/us-dollar-drops-to-lowest-point-vs-yen-since-oct\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,21],"tags":[513,138,533,1591,454],"class_list":["post-9650","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-u-s-dollar","tag-fxy","tag-japanese-yen","tag-rydex-currencyshares-japanese-yen-trust-etf","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Still Bearish the Yen Even As U.S. Dollar Drops to Lowest Point Since October&#039;s Intervention - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/04\/us-dollar-drops-to-lowest-point-vs-yen-since-oct\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Still Bearish the Yen Even As U.S. Dollar Drops to Lowest Point Since October&#039;s Intervention - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 31, 2012. 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