{"id":9446,"date":"2012-02-18T13:07:58","date_gmt":"2012-02-18T18:07:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=9446"},"modified":"2012-02-18T13:07:58","modified_gmt":"2012-02-18T18:07:58","slug":"solar-fun-done-for-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/18\/solar-fun-done-for-now\/","title":{"rendered":"The Solar Fun is Done For Now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 15, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/367791-the-solar-fun-is-done-for-now\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I hope my fellow solar enthusiasts enjoyed 2012&#8217;s solar run while it lasted. Solar stocks went on a tear to start the new year, but now the fun is done. Reality bit hard in the form of <a href=\"http:\/\/investor.shareholder.com\/ovonics\/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=648469\" title=\"Energy Conversion Devices Files Chapter 11; Seeks Sale of Businesses\" target=\"_blank\">a bankruptcy filing from Energy Conversion Devices (ENER)<\/a>&#8230;{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9964\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9964\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_ENER.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_ENER.png\" alt=\"Energy Conversion Devices ends the solar fun with an exclamation point\" title=\"Energy Conversion Devices ends the solar fun with an exclamation point\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-9964\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_ENER.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_ENER-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9964\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Energy Conversion Devices ends the solar fun with an exclamation point<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The sympathetic selling in solar stocks was enough to knock First Solar (FSLR) off its uptrend from December&#8217;s multi-year lows. Another likely confirmation that the solar fun is done for now.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9965\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9965\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_FSLR.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_FSLR.png\" alt=\"First Solar&#039;s fun ends with a break in its uptrend from December&#039;s four-year lows\" title=\"First Solar&#039;s fun ends with a break in its uptrend from December&#039;s four-year lows\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-9965\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_FSLR.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120214_FSLR-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9965\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">First Solar&#039;s fun ends with a break in its uptrend from December&#039;s four-year lows<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>2012 indeed began in promising fashion. On January 12, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2012-01-12\/solar-slump-ending-says-axiom-analyst-who-predicted-armageddon.html\" target=\"_blank\">Axiom&#8217;s Gordon Johnson, a noted solar bear, upgraded several solar stocks<\/a>. It was like a &#8220;backhanded compliment&#8221; because in the same breath Johnson also predicted that by year-end solar stocks would hit new all-time lows. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<script src=\"http:\/\/player.ooyala.com\/player.js?video_pcode=oza2w6q8gX9WSkRx13bskffWIuyf&#038;width=520&#038;height=360&#038;embedCode=JtdjhhMzpGN8CAqsNn9vS2foO5oElE7H&#038;deepLinkEmbedCode=JtdjhhMzpGN8CAqsNn9vS2foO5oElE7H&#038;autoplay=1\"><\/script><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>As if to confirm Johnson&#8217;s short-covering thesis, renown hedge fund manager David Einhorn proclaimed just a few days later that his Greenlight fund closed out its short position in FSLR, calling it &#8220;&#8230;one of our most profitable shorts in the history of the Partnerships.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Greenlight Q4\" class=\"scribd_iframe_embed\" src=\"https:\/\/www.scribd.com\/embeds\/78654907\/content\" data-aspect-ratio=\"0.7729220222793488\" scrolling=\"no\" id=\"78654907\" width=\"1000\" height=\"1000\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">          (function() { var scribd = document.createElement(\"script\"); scribd.type = \"text\/javascript\"; scribd.async = true; scribd.src = \"https:\/\/www.scribd.com\/javascripts\/embed_code\/inject.js\"; var s = document.getElementsByTagName(\"script\")[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(scribd, s); })()        <\/script><\/p>\n<p>\nThe charts below demonstrate that shorts started covering positions as early as October and November. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts01.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts01.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" width=\"520\" height=\"376\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9971\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts01.jpg 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts01-300x216.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<strong>Ticker guide:<\/strong> LDK Solar (LDK), ReneSola (SOL), First Solar (FSLR), JA Solar (JASO), GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT), Trina Solar (TSL)<br \/>\n<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts02.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts02.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" width=\"520\" height=\"374\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9972\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts02.jpg 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts02-300x215.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<strong>Ticker guide<\/strong>: Suntech Power (STP), Yingli Green Energy Holdings (YGE), Hanwha SolarOne Co., Ltd. (HSOL), SunPower Corporation (SPWR). Note that SPWR&#8217;s short interest has dropped as Total (TOT) has purchased the companies shares.<br \/>\n<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts03.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts03.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" width=\"520\" height=\"374\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9973\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts03.jpg 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts03-300x215.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<strong>Ticker guide<\/strong>: Energy Conversion Devices (ENER), China Sunergy Co., Ltd. (CSUN), MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc. (WFR), Canadian Solar (CSIQ)<br \/>\n<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts04.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts04.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" width=\"520\" height=\"373\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9974\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts04.jpg 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/120215_SolarShorts04-300x215.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<strong>Ticker guide<\/strong>: Jinko Solar (JKS), DAQQ New Energy (DQ)<br \/>\n<strong>Source: NASDAQ.com<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>The main story for 2012 will be a continuation of margin pressure and increasing bankruptcies as some companies run out of cash before solar demand returns in sufficient volume. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>In another corner of the ring is the tremendous drop in natural gas prices brought on by overwhelming supply. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>First Solar&#8217;s technical advancements in thin film <strong>should<\/strong> help it remain one of the survivors. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, I used the rally to significantly reduce my exposure and also take some profits where I had them.  {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 15, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/367791-the-solar-fun-is-done-for-now\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long FSLR shares and puts; long GTAT, TSL, JKS, LDK, and JASO.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I hope my fellow solar enthusiasts enjoyed 2012&#8217;s solar run while it lasted. Solar stocks went on a tear to start the new year, but now the fun is done. Reality &#8230; <a title=\"The Solar Fun is Done For Now\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/18\/solar-fun-done-for-now\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[697,3],"tags":[11,10,6,7,724,723,425,426,167,166,106,107,16,271,13,104,103,51,15,162,161],"class_list":["post-9446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natural-gas","category-solar-energy","tag-ener","tag-energy-conversion-devices","tag-first-solar","tag-fslr","tag-gt-advanced-technologies","tag-gtat","tag-jinko-solar","tag-jks","tag-ldk","tag-ldk-solar","tag-renesola","tag-sol","tag-solar-stocks","tag-spwr","tag-stp","tag-sunpower-corporation","tag-suntech-power-holdings","tag-trina-solar-ltd","tag-tsl","tag-yge","tag-yingli-green-energy-holdings"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Solar Fun is Done For Now - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/18\/solar-fun-done-for-now\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Solar Fun is Done For Now - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 15, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) I hope my fellow solar enthusiasts enjoyed 2012&#8217;s solar run while it lasted. Solar stocks went on a tear to start the new year, but now the fun is done. Reality ... 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