{"id":9164,"date":"2012-01-07T16:04:56","date_gmt":"2012-01-07T21:04:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=9164"},"modified":"2012-01-07T16:04:56","modified_gmt":"2012-01-07T21:04:56","slug":"how-to-trade-euro-fatigue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/01\/07\/how-to-trade-euro-fatigue\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Trade &#8220;Euro Fatigue&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 6, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/317825-potential-trades-on-euro-fatigue\" title=\"Potential Trades on Euro Fatigue\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It seems that the U.S. market has grown weary of worrying about the euro. The euro has lost 4.5% versus the U.S. dollar (EUR\/USD)(FXE) since December 9, 2011 while the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) has managed to gain 2.1% over that time. Moreover, the index is up 6.3% since its December lows. The euro is now trading against the U.S. dollar at levels last seen September, 2010. The S&#038;P 500 is pushing against October highs and making a bid to finally erase all its losses from last August&#8217;s swoon. The chart below shows that overall the S&#038;P 500 has steadily out-performed the euro for several months.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9173\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9173\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_SP500vsFXE.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_SP500vsFXE.png\" alt=\"Ratio of the S&amp;P 500 vs FXE\" title=\"Ratio of the S&amp;P 500 vs FXE\" width=\"520\" height=\"318\" class=\"size-full wp-image-9173\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_SP500vsFXE.png 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_SP500vsFXE-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9173\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ratio of the S&P 500 vs FXE<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$SPX:FXE&#038;p=D&#038;yr=1&#038;mn=0&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p45370077358\" target=\"_blank\">Stockcharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>To start accommodating euro fatigue, I executed two main strategic changes over the last two weeks. <\/p>\n<p>I first closed out my standing short position in EUR\/USD. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>I next closed out the positioning for a devaluation in the Swiss franc. A month ago <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/311758-how-to-play-the-devaluation-of-the-swiss-franc\" title=\"How To Play The Devaluation Of The Swiss Franc\" target=\"_blank\">I laid out a strategy for playing the devaluation of the Swiss franc<\/a>. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9192\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9192\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120106_USDCHF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120106_USDCHF.png\" alt=\"The U.S. dollar continues to drift higher against the Swiss franc\" title=\"The U.S. dollar continues to drift higher against the Swiss franc\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-9192\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120106_USDCHF.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120106_USDCHF-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9192\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The U.S. dollar continues to drift higher against the Swiss franc<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>I recently locked in final profits and closed out all positions in Swiss franc currency pairs&#8230; {snip}<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, I will trade dips in the non-euro Swiss franc currency pairs free of the need to make sure I am not caught over-weighted francs in a surprise intervention. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9186\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9186\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_DXY0.png\" alt=\"The dollar index continues to rise on the support of its 20-day moving average\" title=\"The dollar index continues to rise on the support of its 20-day moving average\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-9186\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_DXY0.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/120105_DXY0-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9186\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The dollar index continues to rise on the support of its 20-day moving average<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for last two charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" title=\"FreeStockCharts.com\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 6, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/317825-potential-trades-on-euro-fatigue\" title=\"Potential Trades on Euro Fatigue\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long FXF, USD\/JPY, FXA<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It seems that the U.S. market has grown weary of worrying about the euro. The euro has lost 4.5% versus the U.S. dollar (EUR\/USD)(FXE) since December 9, 2011 while the S&#038;P &#8230; <a title=\"How to Trade &#8220;Euro Fatigue&#8221;\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/01\/07\/how-to-trade-euro-fatigue\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,21],"tags":[823,308,385,799,376,28,309,447,459,513,628,138,333,334,460,454],"class_list":["post-9164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-u-s-dollar","tag-audchf","tag-audusd","tag-eurchf","tag-eurjpy","tag-eurusd","tag-euro","tag-fxa","tag-fxe","tag-fxf","tag-fxy","tag-gbpchf","tag-japanese-yen","tag-swiss-franc","tag-swiss-national-bank","tag-usdchf","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How to Trade &quot;Euro Fatigue&quot; - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/01\/07\/how-to-trade-euro-fatigue\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How to Trade &quot;Euro Fatigue&quot; - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 6, 2012. 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