{"id":8434,"date":"2011-12-04T18:35:36","date_gmt":"2011-12-04T23:35:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=8434"},"modified":"2011-12-04T18:35:36","modified_gmt":"2011-12-04T23:35:36","slug":"using-debt-equity-ratios-to-identify-potential-survivors-of-solar-downturn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/12\/04\/using-debt-equity-ratios-to-identify-potential-survivors-of-solar-downturn\/","title":{"rendered":"Using Debt-to-Equity Ratios to Identify Potential Survivors of the Solar Downturn"},"content":{"rendered":"

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 28, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

In “5 stocks for the solar surge<\/a>“, Jim Jubiak at MSN Money lays out some interesting groundrules for taking advantage of the downturn in solar to buy companies on the cheap. Jubiak identifies First Solar (FSLR), Trina Solar (TSL), SunPower (SPWR), Yingli Green Energy (YGE), and Suntech Power (STP) as his top picks. These companies have the “deep pockets” that will generate confidence in their survivability and, accordingly, a concentration of customer orders and market share. Jubiak prefers to wait a year or two for a shakeout to make likely winners more apparent. This strategy will make even more sense if European sovereign debt woes plunge the global economy into a recession in 2012. (Existing solar investors can consider some related hedges).<\/p>\n

My prime reason for remaining interested in the solar industry is that parity with electrical grid production is imminent. {snip}…<\/p>\n

BTU International (BTUI) …{snip}… has been one of the most revealing indicators of industry conditions and one of the most responsive. {snip}….<\/p>\n

Financial health is another key to survivability. With the remaining solar-related earnings reported last week, I am updating my chart of debt-to-equity ratios for solar companies. {snip}…<\/p>\n


\n
\"Debt\/Equity<\/a>
Debt\/Equity vs Year-to-Date Price Change for Select Solar Stocks (November 25, 2011)<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

Six months ago, there was no correlation between the debt-to-equity ratio and year-to-date price performance. In fact, it was slightly negative at -.16. Now, this correlation has swung positive to 0.21. As the downturn deepens, I expect this correlation to continue to strengthen. The current relationship appears to support Jubiak’s early picks of YGE, SPWR, TSL, and FSLR. STP is marginal. I will continue to monitor this chart in 2012.<\/p>\n

…{snip}…<\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 28, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long FSLR, TSL, GTAT, SOL, LDK, JASO<\/p>\n


\nList of companies:<\/strong>
\nCSIQ: Canadian Solar
\nCSUN: China Sunergy Co. Ltd
\nDQ: DAQO New Energy Corp.
\nFSLR: First Solar Inc
\nHSOL: Hanwha SolarOne Co.
\nJASO: Ja Solar Holdings Co. Ads
\nJKS: Jinko Solar
\nLDK: LDK Solar Co. Ltd
\nSOL: ReneSola Ltd.
\nGTAT: GT Advanced Technologies
\nSPWR: SunPower Corp.
\nSTP: Suntech Power Holdings Company Ltd.
\nTSL: Trina Solar Ltd.
\nWFR: Memc Electronic Material
\nYGE: Yingli Green Energy Holdings Co.
\n<\/FONT><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 28, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “5 stocks for the solar surge“, Jim Jubiak at MSN Money lays out some interesting groundrules for taking advantage of the downturn in solar to buy companies on the cheap. … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[220,3],"tags":[550,551,172,170,564,6,7,723,565,160,426,167,166,107,16,271,13,15,31,162],"class_list":["post-8434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-solar-energy","tag-btu-international","tag-btui","tag-csiq","tag-csun","tag-dq","tag-first-solar","tag-fslr","tag-gtat","tag-hsol","tag-jaso","tag-jks","tag-ldk","tag-ldk-solar","tag-sol","tag-solar-stocks","tag-spwr","tag-stp","tag-tsl","tag-wfr","tag-yge"],"yoast_head":"\nUsing Debt-to-Equity Ratios to Identify Potential Survivors of the Solar Downturn - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/12\/04\/using-debt-equity-ratios-to-identify-potential-survivors-of-solar-downturn\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Using Debt-to-Equity Ratios to Identify Potential Survivors of the Solar Downturn - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 28, 2011. 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