{"id":8217,"date":"2011-11-14T01:40:52","date_gmt":"2011-11-14T06:40:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=8217"},"modified":"2011-11-14T01:41:04","modified_gmt":"2011-11-14T06:41:04","slug":"molycorp-loses-big-despite-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/11\/14\/molycorp-loses-big-despite-earnings\/","title":{"rendered":"Molycorp Loses Big Despite Reporting Strong Earnings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 13, 2011. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/307558-molycorp-loses-big-despite-reporting-strong-earnings\" title=\"Molycorp Loses Big Despite Reporting Strong Earnings\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Thursday evening, November 10, 2011, rare earth miner and producer Molycorp (MCP) reported strong earnings. There were no surprises given <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/305918-molycorp-delivers-strong-guidance-ahead-of-earnings-this-week\" title=\"Molycorp Delivers Strong Guidance Ahead Of Earnings This Week\" target=\"_blank\">the strong guidance CEO Mark Smith delivered the previous week<\/a>. Molycorp reported record margins and record revenues. Average sales price price increased 75% quarter-over-quarter to $131\/kg of REO equivalent. The volatility in rare earth prices prevents MCP from providing earnings guidance, but it did slightly reduce production guidance to account for some equipment downtime. The market delivered its own surprise by rewarding the company for this news with a 14% one-day loss. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_8219\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8219\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111111_MCP.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111111_MCP.png\" alt=\"Market responds poorly to MCP earnings, putting the 52-week lows back into play\" title=\"Market responds poorly to MCP earnings, putting the 52-week lows back into play\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-8219\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111111_MCP.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111111_MCP-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-8219\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Market responds poorly to MCP earnings, putting the 52-week lows back into play<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Seeking answers, I listened to <a href=\"http:\/\/phx.corporate-ir.net\/phoenix.zhtml?p=irol-eventDetails&#038;c=236277&#038;eventID=4222751\" title=\"Q3 2011 Molycorp Inc Earnings Conference Call\" target=\"_blank\">the conference call<\/a> and scanned through <a href=\"http:\/\/phx.corporate-ir.net\/phoenix.zhtml?c=236277&#038;p=quarterlyEarnings#7845480\" title=\"Q3 2011 - 10-Q Quarterly report which provides a continuing view of a company's financial position\" target=\"_blank\">the 10Q<\/a>. I did not note anything in the 10Q that is surprising or in direct conflict with the bullish thesis on MCP. The conference call was only 50 minutes long. MCP executives spent 33 minutes of that time reading <a href=\"http:\/\/phx.corporate-ir.net\/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NDIyMjc1MXxDaGlsZElEPTQ0NzQyN3xUeXBlPTI=&#038;t=1\" title=\"Q3 2011 Molycorp Inc Earnings Conference Call Presentation\" target=\"_blank\">the prepared materials<\/a>. The analyst questions in the remaining 17 minutes revealed no new alarms. Indeed, I was surprised that the questioning did not last longer and was not more skeptical given the vigorous sell-off in the stock. I have to assume the analysts on the call were neither surprised nor disturbed by the results.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps the following episodes exposed some chinks in the armor&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>At $33.45\/share, Molycorp is more of a bargain than ever. MCP&#8217;s forward P\/E is 9.2 with strong earnings growth ahead&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 13, 2011. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/307558-molycorp-loses-big-despite-reporting-strong-earnings\" title=\"Molycorp Loses Big Despite Reporting Strong Earnings\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long MCP shares, calls, and puts; long MCP preferred<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 13, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Thursday evening, November 10, 2011, rare earth miner and producer Molycorp (MCP) reported strong earnings. There were no surprises given the strong guidance CEO Mark Smith delivered the previous week. &#8230; <a title=\"Molycorp Loses Big Despite Reporting Strong Earnings\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/11\/14\/molycorp-loses-big-despite-earnings\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,199,220],"tags":[525,526,527],"class_list":["post-8217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china","category-commodities","category-earnings","tag-mcp","tag-molycorp","tag-rare-earths-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Molycorp Loses Big Despite Reporting Strong Earnings - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/11\/14\/molycorp-loses-big-despite-earnings\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Molycorp Loses Big Despite Reporting Strong Earnings - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 13, 2011. 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