{"id":7979,"date":"2011-11-02T01:21:05","date_gmt":"2011-11-02T05:21:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=7979"},"modified":"2011-11-03T01:32:44","modified_gmt":"2011-11-03T05:32:44","slug":"dollar-index-punches-above-200-50dmas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/11\/02\/dollar-index-punches-above-200-50dmas\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Review: Dollar Index Surges Back Above the 200 AND 50DMAs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Surprise! The dollar&#8217;s relief rally is not quite over as <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/303574-yen-intervention-just-as-dollar-s-relief-rally-ends-and-gold-s-bubble-unpops\" title=\"Yen Intervention Just As Dollar's Relief Rally Ends And Gold's 'Bubble' Unpops\" target=\"_blank\">I had suspected last Thursday<\/a> (October 27) when the dollar plunged with resounding force below its 200-day moving average (DMA). On Monday, the dollar index surged back above its 200DMA as all of last week&#8217;s booming enthusiasm over a deal on Greek sovereign dealt rapidly melted into the same disbelief and skepticism that has characterized the on-going crisis for the euro zone.<\/p>\n<p>In a convincing move, the dollar index followed through with another surge, this time above its 50DMA. I am not expecting the dollar to hurdle over October&#8217;s high &#8211; especially not with the Federal Reserve on deck for Wednesday &#8211; but if the dollar does break that resistance, the relief rally suddenly transforms into a potentially sustained surge.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_7980\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7980\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111101_USD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111101_USD.png\" alt=\"The dollar index surges as part of a big comeback\" title=\"The dollar index surges as part of a big comeback\" width=\"520\" height=\"318\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7980\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111101_USD.png 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/111101_USD-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-7980\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The dollar index surges as part of a big comeback<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$USD&#038;p=D&#038;st=2011-6-01&#038;en=2011-11-01&#038;id=p73304962461\" title=\"5-month chart of the dollar index\" target=\"_blank\">stockcharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The dollar has benefited from a fortuitous combination of Japanese intervention to weaken the yen by buying dollars and a run on the euro (and away from risk) that has sent traders scurrying to the relative &#8220;safety&#8221; of the U.S. dollar. Eventually, both tides should lose their momentum, and the dollar should return to creeping back into its secular, long-term bearish trend.<\/p>\n<p>I am staying long the dollar for now and am awaiting the Fed&#8217;s next move before deciding whether to reverse course.<\/p>\n<p>For a reminder of the importance of the 200DMA to trading the dollar index see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/292941-a-relief-rally-for-the-u-s-dollar-as-safe-alternatives-get-expensive\" target=\"_blank\">A Relief Rally For The U.S. Dollar As &#8216;Safe&#8217; Alternatives Get Expensive<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net long the U.S. dollar, net short the euro, net short the Japanese yen<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Surprise! The dollar&#8217;s relief rally is not quite over as I had suspected last Thursday (October 27) when the dollar plunged with resounding force below its 200-day moving average (DMA). On Monday, the dollar index surged back above its 200DMA as all of last week&#8217;s booming enthusiasm over a deal on Greek sovereign dealt rapidly &#8230; <a title=\"Chart Review: Dollar Index Surges Back Above the 200 AND 50DMAs\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/11\/02\/dollar-index-punches-above-200-50dmas\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[482,58,20,204,62],"tags":[28,447,513,138,479,533,1597,1591],"class_list":["post-7979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakout","category-federal-reserve","category-forex","category-japan","category-technical-analysis","tag-euro","tag-fxe","tag-fxy","tag-japanese-yen","tag-rydex-currencyshares-euro-trust","tag-rydex-currencyshares-japanese-yen-trust-etf","tag-technical-analysis","tag-u-s-dollar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chart Review: Dollar Index Surges Back Above the 200 AND 50DMAs - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/11\/02\/dollar-index-punches-above-200-50dmas\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chart Review: Dollar Index Surges Back Above the 200 AND 50DMAs - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Surprise! The dollar&#8217;s relief rally is not quite over as I had suspected last Thursday (October 27) when the dollar plunged with resounding force below its 200-day moving average (DMA). On Monday, the dollar index surged back above its 200DMA as all of last week&#8217;s booming enthusiasm over a deal on Greek sovereign dealt rapidly ... 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