{"id":7363,"date":"2011-09-25T12:03:05","date_gmt":"2011-09-25T16:03:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=7363"},"modified":"2011-09-25T12:03:05","modified_gmt":"2011-09-25T16:03:05","slug":"buying-opportunity-brewing-for-gold-and-silver-as-dollar-picks-up-steam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/09\/25\/buying-opportunity-brewing-for-gold-and-silver-as-dollar-picks-up-steam\/","title":{"rendered":"Buying Opportunity Brewing for Gold and Silver As Dollar Picks Up Steam"},"content":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

The U.S. dollar confirmed yet again the importance of its 200-day moving average (DMA). I updated my review of this case two weeks ago by demonstrating in detail how the dollar sustains moves both above and below its 200DMA<\/a>. {snip}…<\/p>\n


\n
\"U.S.<\/a>
U.S. dollar rallies to fresh 7-month highs after a successful test of support at the 200DMA<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource: freestockcharts.com<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

Previously, I made the case that the fundamental support for a dollar rally is that alternative “safety” valves have become relatively very expensive<\/a>. Everywhere the scared turn, they find serious drawbacks:<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

With this backdrop, safety in the form of cash-money U.S. dollars looks extremely cheap with the dollar index hovering just above multi-decade lows…{snip}…The dollar was further helped by last week’s monetary policy statement from the Federal Reserve<\/a> which did not include any new news of currency debasement. The Fed is just moving money from one investment (short-term bonds) to another (long-term bonds). Moreover, three board members objected to additional policy accommodation thus creating an unfamiliar (relatively) hawkish encampment in the Fed.<\/p>\n

And then there is gold.<\/p>\n

{snip}…enthusiasm for gold continues to wane<\/a>. <\/p>\n

A long-term chart reminds us of both the source of the skepticism and the reality of gold’s enduring strength. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"Gold<\/a>
Gold has recently gone parabolic but long-term trend remains well intact<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource: World Gold Council<\/a><\/strong> – prices through Sep 16, 2011
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

A chart with a logarithmic scale gives better perspective. {snip} $1600 or so represents the first opportunity to buy gold. A move back to the primary trend line would occur around $1300 and that level would deliver the second good buying opportunity. Gold closed Friday at $1640.<\/p>\n


\n
\"Gold<\/a>
Gold has followed a relatively steady and stable trend since the 2000-2001 lows<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource: World Gold Council<\/a><\/strong> – prices through Sep 16, 2011
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

So what about silver? {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"Silver<\/a>
Silver "crashes"<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource: stockcharts.com<\/a>
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

The buying opportunity is a little harder to gauge in silver, especially since it is more economically sensitive than gold. One potential gauge is the gold-to-silver ratio. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"Gold<\/a>
Gold is coming back against silver<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource: stockcharts.com<\/a>
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

In the meantime, I expect gold and silver to trade in volatile spurts both up and down. Fear is a funny beast. Those who bought gold and\/or silver out of fear will be very confused since none of their fears have gone away…{snip}<\/p>\n

For the calmer set eying trends and central banks, the buying opportunities are as clear as the continued desire and intent of financial authorities in the major economies to manipulate their currencies lower for economic advantage…{snip}<\/p>\n

The only currency that cannot be printed at will and without limit is gold (and silver).<\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long GLD, SLV, GG, PAAS; net long U.S. dollar, short the Japanese yen, net long the Swiss franc<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar confirmed yet again the importance of its 200-day moving average (DMA). I updated my review of this case two weeks ago by demonstrating in detail how the dollar sustains moves both above … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[199,21],"tags":[471,200,24,473,472,474,25,354,1591],"class_list":["post-7363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities","category-u-s-dollar","tag-gg","tag-gld","tag-gold","tag-goldcorp-inc","tag-paas","tag-pan-american-silver-corp","tag-silver","tag-slv","tag-u-s-dollar"],"yoast_head":"\nBuying Opportunity Brewing for Gold and Silver As Dollar Picks Up Steam - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/09\/25\/buying-opportunity-brewing-for-gold-and-silver-as-dollar-picks-up-steam\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Buying Opportunity Brewing for Gold and Silver As Dollar Picks Up Steam - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar confirmed yet again the importance of its 200-day moving average (DMA). I updated my review of this case two weeks ago by demonstrating in detail how the dollar sustains moves both above ... 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