{"id":7323,"date":"2011-09-22T02:41:53","date_gmt":"2011-09-22T06:41:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=7323"},"modified":"2011-09-22T02:41:53","modified_gmt":"2011-09-22T06:41:53","slug":"jpm-reudces-upside-on-mcp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/09\/22\/jpm-reudces-upside-on-mcp\/","title":{"rendered":"JP Morgan Reduces Upside Target on Molycorp from 100% to 25%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/294916-jp-morgan-reduces-upside-target-on-molycorp-from-100-to-25\" title=\"JP Morgan Reduces Upside Target On Molycorp From 100% To 25%\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, September 20, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2011\/09\/20\/us-molycorp-shares-idUSTRE78J3ZE20110920?feedType=RSS&#038;feedName=globalMarketsNews&#038;rpc=43\" title=\"Molycorp stock tumbles after analyst downgrade\" target=\"_blank\">a JP Morgan (JPM) analyst slashed his price target on rare earth producer Molycorp (MCP) from $105 to $66<\/a>. This reduction in upside from 100% to 25% helped plunge MCP to a one-day 22% loss. Only the 2011 lows stopped the stock from dropping any further. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_7325\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7325\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/110920_MCP.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/110920_MCP.jpg\" alt=\"Massive selling takes MCP back down to 2011 intraday lows\" title=\"Massive selling takes MCP back down to 2011 intraday lows\" width=\"525\" height=\"463\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7325\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/110920_MCP.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/110920_MCP-300x264.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-7325\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Massive selling takes MCP back down to 2011 intraday lows<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n*<strong>Chart created using <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\">TeleChart<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>The upshot to this calamity is that instead of a 25% upside potential, now MCP offers intrepid investors an even more attractive 61% gain according to JPM&#8217;s own analysis. {snip}&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;I suspect that JP Morgan&#8217;s analyst is also reacting to a NY Times article from September 16th titled &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/09\/16\/business\/global\/china-consolidates-control-of-rare-earth-industry.html\" title=\"China Consolidates Grip on Rare Earths\" target=\"_blank\">China Consolidates Grip on Rare Earths<\/a>.&#8221;&#8230;{snip}&#8230;Buried at the very bottom of the article is an almost innocuous reference to stockpiling of rare earths in China. {snip}&#8230;In <a href=\"http:\/\/video.cnbc.com\/gallery\/?video=3000046754\" title=\"Mark Smith talks to Fast Money by phone\" target=\"_blank\">an interview with CNBC&#8217;s Fast Money<\/a> in the wake of MCP sell-off, Smith informed the audience that this inventory hit the market in August and has already made its way through the system. Prices dropped during this process but have now stabilized and are beginning to increase again. <\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<object id=\"cnbcplayer\" height=\"380\" width=\"400\" classid=\"clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=9,0,0,0\" ><param name=\"type\" value=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\"\/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\"\/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\"\/><param name=\"quality\" value=\"best\"\/><param name=\"scale\" value=\"noscale\" \/><param name=\"wmode\" value=\"transparent\"\/><param name=\"bgcolor\" value=\"#000000\"\/><param name=\"salign\" value=\"lt\"\/><param name=\"flashVars\" value=\"startTime=000\"\/><param name=\"flashVars\" value=\"endTime=000\"\/><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/plus.cnbc.com\/rssvideosearch\/action\/player\/id\/3000046754\/code\/cnbcplayershare\" \/><embed name=\"cnbcplayer\" PLUGINSPAGE=\"http:\/\/www.macromedia.com\/go\/getflashplayer\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" bgcolor=\"#000000\" height=\"380\" width=\"400\" quality=\"best\" wmode=\"transparent\" scale=\"noscale\" salign=\"lt\" src=\"http:\/\/plus.cnbc.com\/rssvideosearch\/action\/player\/id\/3000046754\/code\/cnbcplayershare\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" \/><\/object><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/294916-jp-morgan-reduces-upside-target-on-molycorp-from-100-to-25\" title=\"JP Morgan Reduces Upside Target On Molycorp From 100% To 25%\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long MCP (shares, calls, and puts)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Tuesday, September 20, a JP Morgan (JPM) analyst slashed his price target on rare earth producer Molycorp (MCP) from $105 to $66. This reduction in upside from 100% to 25% helped plunge MCP to &#8230; <a title=\"JP Morgan Reduces Upside Target on Molycorp from 100% to 25%\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/09\/22\/jpm-reudces-upside-on-mcp\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,199,524],"tags":[525,526,527],"class_list":["post-7323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china","category-commodities","category-rare-earths","tag-mcp","tag-molycorp","tag-rare-earths-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>JP Morgan Reduces Upside Target on Molycorp from 100% to 25% - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/09\/22\/jpm-reudces-upside-on-mcp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"JP Morgan Reduces Upside Target on Molycorp from 100% to 25% - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. 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