{"id":73089,"date":"2025-03-15T13:53:12","date_gmt":"2025-03-15T20:53:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=73089"},"modified":"2025-03-15T14:00:04","modified_gmt":"2025-03-15T21:00:04","slug":"finally-some-convincing-bear-market-relief-the-market-breadth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2025\/03\/15\/finally-some-convincing-bear-market-relief-the-market-breadth\/","title":{"rendered":"FINALLY, Some Convincing Bear Market Relief &#8211; The Market Breadth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stock Market Commentary<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After weeks of persistent selling, the stock market finally delivered bear market relief, with all major indices posting solid gains to end the week. Market breadth notably improved, signaling a shift in buying power that could indicate the start of a sustainable low. Note well that a sustainable low is NOT the same thing as a bottom; we only recognize bottoms in retrospect and after a substantial amount of time. For example, in bear markets, oversold conditions can repeat multiple times before a true bottom forms. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Friday&#8217;s action is encouraging, overall bearish trends remain intact, and volatility remains elevated. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/03\/14\/senate-votes-to-advance-gop-funding-bill-clearing-the-way-to-avert-a-government-shutdown.html\">The resolution of the U.S.&#8217;s latest self-inflicted budget crisis<\/a> looked like a catalyst for Friday&#8217;s action, but I think the technicals were far more important. Looming over the technicals is <a href=\"https:\/\/inflationwatch.wordpress.com\/2025\/03\/14\/maximum-pressure-for-the-federal-reserve\/\">the Federal Reserve&#8217;s meeting on Wednesday<\/a> which could tip the scales for the next major market moves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Stock Market Indices<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>S&amp;P 500 (SPY)<\/strong> gained 2.1%, marking a strong rebound from recent lows. Despite this relief, the index remains in a clear downtrend, alternating between large down days and temporary rebounds. If this pattern continues, short-term traders may look to buy weakness for quick flips. A continued bear market would feature the reverse with short-term traders continuing to fade every rally.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SP-500-SPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"793\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SP-500-SPY.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) gained 2.1% in a strong rebound headed towards the 200DMA, but remains in a downtrend.\" class=\"wp-image-73075\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 (SPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SP-500-SPY.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SP-500-SPY-768x378.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SP-500-SPY-1536x756.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SP-500-SPY-1320x649.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) gained 2.1% in a strong rebound headed towards the 200DMA, but remains in a downtrend.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-5e6b19ed wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><mark style=\"background-color:#0693e3\" class=\"has-inline-color has-white-color\">Join the One-Twenty Two Mailing List for Free<\/mark><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>NASDAQ (QQQ)<\/strong> rose 2.6%, recovering from recent selling pressure but still well below its 200-day moving average (DMA) (the blue line). The tech-laden index remains in deep bearish territory, with price action reflecting a volatile mix of false rallies and continued selling pressure. Like the S&amp;P 500, the NASDAQ gained enough on Friday to make the week look like churn.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"798\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ (COMPQ) rose 2.6% but remains deep in bearish territory below its 200DMA, churning throughout this week.\" class=\"wp-image-73076\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2\" title=\"NASDAQ (COMPQ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-NASDAQ-COMPQ-768x380.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-NASDAQ-COMPQ-1536x761.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-NASDAQ-COMPQ-1320x654.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) rose 2.6% but remains deep in bearish territory below its 200DMA, churning throughout this week.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The <strong>iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)<\/strong> gained 2.4%. While IWM is the index closest to an official bear market (20% off the all-time high), continued rally could push the ETF toward downtrending resistance from its 20DMA (the dotted line). I bought a weekly call option after the open as a play on the potential for a further advance. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1610\" height=\"798\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\" alt=\"The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) churned like the NASDAQ, and gained 2.4% to end the week, flattening its trend but still in a bear market.\" class=\"wp-image-73077\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.995249406175772;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png 1610w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-768x381.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-1536x761.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-1320x654.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1610px) 100vw, 1610px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) churned like the NASDAQ, and gained 2.4% to end the week, flattening its trend but still in a bear market.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Short-Term Trading Call With Bear Market Relief<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>AT50<\/strong> (MMFI) = 26.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AT200<\/strong> (MMTH) = 37.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short-term Trading Call<\/strong>: cautiously bullish<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AT50 (MMFI)<\/strong>, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50DMAs, climbed 5 percentage points to 26.9%, reflecting broad participation in the rebound. This strength signals a potential shift in sentiment. The Federal Reserve could squelch this budding momentum or further encourage it. AT200 (MMTH), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs, displayed even stronger and more convincing improvement for this bear market relief, rising nearly 5 percentage points to 37.5%. This move cleared the highs of the past three days, reinforcing the strength of the rally. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>volatility Index (VIX)<\/strong> continued to decline, adding more support to the bear market relief. Still, the lack of a sharp collapse in VIX leaves me wary and unable to aggressively trigger <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\">the AT50 trading rules<\/a>. The VIX remains elevated. If the downtrend in volatility holds, confidence in a more stable market environment should increase.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-volatility-index-VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"794\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-volatility-index-VIX.png\" alt=\"The volatility index (VIX) was unable to break out above the December high, declining and preparing for a 20DMA test.\" class=\"wp-image-73079\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.995249406175772;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"volatility index (VIX)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-volatility-index-VIX.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-volatility-index-VIX-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-volatility-index-VIX-1536x757.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-volatility-index-VIX-1320x651.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The volatility index (VIX) was unable to break out above the December high, declining and preparing for a 20DMA test.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Equities: In Bear Market Relief<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Micron Technology (MU)<\/strong> has earnings approaching and is showing relative strength compared to the broader market, especially tech stocks. MU remains stuck in an extended trading range, with its 200DMA acting as relatively consistent resistance. If earnings push MU above its 200DMA, I will look to buy the breakout. Note that previous false breakouts above the 200DMA wave a flag of caution.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Micron-Technology-Inc-MU-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"797\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Micron-Technology-Inc-MU-1.png\" alt=\"Micron Technology (MU) broke out above the 50DMA, remaining in a trading range capped by its 200DMA.\" class=\"wp-image-73080\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.995249406175772;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"Micron Technology (MU)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Micron-Technology-Inc-MU-1.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Micron-Technology-Inc-MU-1-768x380.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Micron-Technology-Inc-MU-1-1536x759.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Micron-Technology-Inc-MU-1-1320x653.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Micron Technology (MU) broke out above the 50DMA, remaining in a trading range capped by its 200DMA.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>Hershey (HSY)<\/strong> provided a defensive safe haven that I enjoyed as a shareholder but failed to understand. The rotation flipped against HSY as buyers migrated back to the rest of the market. As a result, HSY suffered heavy losses and left behind a potential topping pattern with an &#8220;evening star&#8221; where a sharp fade from an intraday high is followed by a significant day of selling. This topping pattern is particularly ominous given the resulting fake 200DMA breakout. While HSY may stabilize, its recent reversal aligns with broader market improvements, hinting at a shift in investor sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Hershey-Co-HSY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1610\" height=\"796\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Hershey-Co-HSY.png\" alt=\"Hershey (HSY) failed to confirm its 200DMA breakout, declining enough to break down below the 20DMA.\" class=\"wp-image-73081\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.995249406175772;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"Hershey (HSY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Hershey-Co-HSY.png 1610w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Hershey-Co-HSY-768x380.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Hershey-Co-HSY-1536x759.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-Hershey-Co-HSY-1320x653.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1610px) 100vw, 1610px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The Hershey Company (HSY) failed to confirm its 200DMA breakout, declining enough to break down below the 20DMA.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The <strong>iShares Mexico ETF (EWW)<\/strong> displayed surprising resilience in the middle of ongoing tariff concerns. The ETF bottomed on Tuesday witha successful test of 50DMA support and proceeded to rally for the rest of the week. Although EWW has yet to break above its 200DMA, price action suggests a potential bearish to bullish reversal. I tried to buy some EWW on Friday, but my bid was too conservative. I will try again Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-MSCI-Mexico-ETF-EWW.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1608\" height=\"794\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-MSCI-Mexico-ETF-EWW.png\" alt=\"iShares Mexico ETF (EWW) rebounded this week, confirming 50DMA support and breaking out above the 20DMA.\" class=\"wp-image-73082\" title=\"iShares Mexico ETF (EWW)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-MSCI-Mexico-ETF-EWW.png 1608w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-MSCI-Mexico-ETF-EWW-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-MSCI-Mexico-ETF-EWW-1536x758.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-iShares-MSCI-Mexico-ETF-EWW-1320x652.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1608px) 100vw, 1608px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>iShares Mexico ETF (EWW) rebounded this week, confirming 50DMA support and breaking out above the 20DMA.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Mexican peso (USD\/MXN)<\/strong> has strengthened throughout March, confirming improving sentiment toward Mexico-related trades. USD\/MXN even looks like it is slowly printing a rounded top. <a href=\"https:\/\/inflationwatch.wordpress.com\/2025\/03\/08\/the-sleight-of-hand-behind-the-one-time-adjustment-and-transitory-tariff-inflation-narrative\/\">The case I made a week ago<\/a> for a pairs trade long the peso and short the Canadian dollar is already working out.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-United-States-Dollar-to-Mexican-Peso-USDMXN.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1607\" height=\"795\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-United-States-Dollar-to-Mexican-Peso-USDMXN.png\" alt=\"United States Dollar to Mexican Peso (USDMXN) declined throughout the week, reaching its lowest point since November.\" class=\"wp-image-73083\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.995249406175772;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"United States Dollar to Mexican Peso (USDMXN)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-United-States-Dollar-to-Mexican-Peso-USDMXN.png 1607w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-United-States-Dollar-to-Mexican-Peso-USDMXN-768x380.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-United-States-Dollar-to-Mexican-Peso-USDMXN-1536x760.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-United-States-Dollar-to-Mexican-Peso-USDMXN-1320x653.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1607px) 100vw, 1607px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>United States Dollar to Mexican Peso (USD\/MXN) declined throughout the week, reaching its lowest point since November.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The <strong>SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF (FEZ)<\/strong> continues to outperform the U.S. market, reflecting a strong European market backdrop. While the U.S. market struggles with self-inflicted economic issues, FEZ has maintained an uptrend since the start of the year. The latest &#8220;excitement&#8221; in Europe has come from the prospect of increased defense spending, and Germany&#8217;s apparent desire to open the spigot on fiscal spending. This European ETF is now on my watchlist for diversification beyond U.S.-centric holdings.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SPDR-Euro-Stoxx-50-ETF-FEZ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"795\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SPDR-Euro-Stoxx-50-ETF-FEZ.png\" alt=\"SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF (FEZ) continued to trend upward, confirming 20DMA support and approaching the all-time high.\" class=\"wp-image-73084\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.995249406175772;width:840px;height:auto\" title=\"SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF (FEZ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SPDR-Euro-Stoxx-50-ETF-FEZ.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SPDR-Euro-Stoxx-50-ETF-FEZ-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SPDR-Euro-Stoxx-50-ETF-FEZ-1536x758.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-SPDR-Euro-Stoxx-50-ETF-FEZ-1320x651.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF (FEZ) continued to trend upward, confirming 20DMA support and approaching the all-time high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT50-MMFI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"795\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT50-MMFI.png\" alt=\"AT50 (MMFI) jumped to 27%, signaling strong buying power and narrowly avoiding oversold conditions.\" class=\"wp-image-73085\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9858156028368794\" title=\"AT50 (MMFI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT50-MMFI.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT50-MMFI-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT50-MMFI-1536x758.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT50-MMFI-1320x651.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT50 (MMFI) jumped to 27%, signaling strong buying power and narrowly avoiding oversold conditions.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT200-MMTH.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"794\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT200-MMTH.png\" alt=\"AT200 (MMTH) climbed to 37.4%, slowing down its downward trajectory. Continued strength is needed to confirm a lasting recovery.\" class=\"wp-image-73086\" title=\"AT200 (MMTH)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT200-MMTH.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT200-MMTH-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT200-MMTH-1536x757.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/031525-AT200-MMTH-1320x651.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT200 (MMTH) climbed to 37.4%, slowing down its downward trajectory. Continued strength is needed to confirm a lasting recovery.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"footnotes\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe for free<\/a> to get email notifications of future posts!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Above the 50&#8221; (AT50) uses the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs) to measure breadth in the stock market. Breadth defines the distribution of participation in a rally or sell-off. As a result, AT50 identifies extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. Above the 50 is my alternative name for &#8220;MMFI&#8221; which is a symbol TradingView.com and other chart vendors use for this breadth indicator. Learn more about AT50 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">Market Breadth Resource Page<\/a>. AT200, or MMTH, measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Active AT50 (MMFI) periods<\/strong>: Day #313 over 20% (overperiod), Day #5 under 30% (underperiod), Day #10 under 40%, Day #22 under 50%, Day #49 under 60%, Day #150 under 70%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for charts unless otherwise noted: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full disclosure:<\/strong> long IWM call, short USD\/MXN, long HSY shares and short a call option, long VXX put options<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/drduru.bsky.social\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">BlueSky<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/ahan.analytics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Charting notes: Stock prices are not adjusted for dividends. Candlestick charts use hollow bodies: open candles indicate a close higher than the open, filled candles indicate an open higher than the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>* Blog notes: this blog was written based on the heavily edited transcript of the following video that includes a live review of the stock charts featured in this post. I used ChatGPT to process the transcript.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Finally Some Convincing Bear Relief - The Market Breadth #stockmarket #technicalanalysis\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Fun3udrfVZg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Commentary After weeks of persistent selling, the stock market finally delivered bear market relief, with all major indices posting solid gains to end the week. Market breadth notably improved, signaling a shift in buying power that could indicate the start of a sustainable low. Note well that a sustainable low is NOT the &#8230; <a title=\"FINALLY, Some Convincing Bear Market Relief &#8211; The Market Breadth\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2025\/03\/15\/finally-some-convincing-bear-market-relief-the-market-breadth\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":73102,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1303,1129,20,219,796,62,1304,982],"tags":[1820,2832,2201,1854,1388,1795,3659,2218,909,1842,2563,1669,413,65,3660,362,3321,1841,303,931],"class_list":["post-73089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bottom","category-food-retail","category-forex","category-high-tech","category-semiconductors","category-technical-analysis","category-top","category-trading-range","tag-at200","tag-at50","tag-compq","tag-eww","tag-fez","tag-hsy","tag-ishares-mexico-etf","tag-ishares-russell-2000-etf","tag-iwm","tag-mexican-peso","tag-micron-technology","tag-mu","tag-nasdaq","tag-sp-500","tag-spdr-euro-stoxx-50-etf","tag-spy","tag-the-hershey-company","tag-usdmxn","tag-vix","tag-volatility-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>FINALLY Some Convincing Bear Market Relief - The Market Breadth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A sharp rebound offers bear market relief. Is this a turning point or just another bounce? Get key insights on market trends and risks.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2025\/03\/15\/finally-some-convincing-bear-market-relief-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FINALLY, Some Convincing Bear Market Relief - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A sharp rebound offers bear market relief. Is this a turning point or just another bounce? 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