{"id":7009,"date":"2011-08-31T05:51:32","date_gmt":"2011-08-31T09:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=7009"},"modified":"2011-08-31T05:58:07","modified_gmt":"2011-08-31T09:58:07","slug":"t2108-update-110830","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/31\/t2108-update-110830\/","title":{"rendered":"T2108 Update &#8211; August 30, 2011 (Overbought Stochastics)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/T2108.htm\">T2108 Resource Page<\/a>. You can <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/search\/%23T2108\">follow real-time T2108 commentary<\/a> on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.)<\/p>\n<p><strong>T2108 Status<\/strong>: 30%<br \/>\n<strong>VIX Status<\/strong>: 33<br \/>\n<strong>General (Short-term) Trading Call<\/strong>: Hold<\/p>\n<p><strong>Commentary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The S&#038;P 500 ended the day flat after taking <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/search\/Buying%20opp%20on%20poor%20consumer%20confidence\" title=\"Tweet on intraday buying opportunity\">a dip in the morning that struck me as a good trading (bullish) opportunity<\/a> at the time. T2108 added three percentage points to 30%, causing a nice bullish divergence with the S&#038;P 500. This is a positive sign given the stochastics on the index are now overbought. Since the May 1st high, the index has sold off whenever stochastics got this high. I am hoping T2108&#8217;s bullish divergence softens any subsequent selling in the next day or two.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Click graphic for a larger version of the chart. Click link for the direct source.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_7011\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7011\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110830_SP500.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110830_SP500-300x181.jpg\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 now has overbought stochastics\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 now has overbought stochastics\" width=\"300\" height=\"181\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-7011\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110830_SP500-300x181.jpg 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110830_SP500.jpg 689w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-7011\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&P 500 now has overbought stochastics<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\nSource: <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$SPX&#038;p=D&#038;st=2011-01-01&#038;en=2011-08-30&#038;id=p92324586416\" title=\"S&#038;P 500 for year-to-date through Aug 30\" target=\"_blank\">stockcharts.com<\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>This is a good time lock in more profits from earlier oversold trades. I did not change the trading call because I am currently expecting selling to be relatively mild. If you are a daytrader, it will make a lot of sense to try shorting into any intraday rally for the next day or two. Continue tracking <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=$VIX&#038;p=D&#038;st=2011-04-30&#038;en=2011-08-30&#038;id=p18065801413\" title=\"Current chart of the VIX\" target=\"_blank\">the VIX<\/a>. It stubbornly refuses to break the last low. If this volatility index stays firm at current support, we should expect imminent weakness in the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>And before you get overly bearish too soon, check out <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=WYNN&#038;p=W&#038;st=2008-08-31&#038;en=2011-08-30&#038;id=p33092237637\" title=\"Wynn Resorts says \"what economic malaise\"?\" target=\"_blank\">a three-year chart of gambling company Wynn Resorts<\/a> (WYNN). I have also duly noted that one of my latest hedges, <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=LNKD&#038;p=D&#038;st=2011-04-30&#038;en=2011-08-30&#038;id=p33477057967\" title=\"LNKD soars again\" target=\"_blank\">LinkedIn (LNKD), has soared 23% in just the past three days<\/a>. The stock has rushed right up against 50DMA resistance, but it is one example of many where money has rushed right back into the stock market in search of &#8220;bargains&#8221; with high upside potential.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<em>Charts below are the <strong>latest<\/strong> snapshots of T2108 (and the S&#038;P 500)<\/em><br \/>\nRefresh browser if the charts are the same as the last T2108 update.<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>Daily T2108 vs the S&#038;P 500<\/strong><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-daily_s.jpg\" width=\"525\" height=\"356\" alt=\"T2108 vs. the S&#038;P 500 (DAILY)\" title=\"T2108 vs. the S&#038;P 500 (DAILY)\"><\/p>\n<p>Black line: T2108 (measured on the right); Red line: S&#038;P 500 (for comparative purposes)<br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<strong>Weekly T2108<\/strong><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-weekly_s.jpg\" width=\"525\" height=\"354\" alt=\"Weekly T2108\" title=\"Weekly T2108\"><br \/>\n*<strong>All charts created using TeleChart:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/Content\/Banners\/images\/88x31.gif\"><\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related links:<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/T2108.htm\">The T2108 Resource Page<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-daily.jpg\">Expanded daily chart of T2108 versus the S&#038;P 500<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-weekly.jpg\">Expanded weekly chart of T2108 <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long shares and calls on SSO, long VXX puts, long LNKD puts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 30% VIX Status: 33 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold Commentary The S&#038;P 500 ended the day flat &#8230; <a title=\"T2108 Update &#8211; August 30, 2011 (Overbought Stochastics)\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/31\/t2108-update-110830\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[135,62],"tags":[578,579,65,226,1597,109,108],"class_list":["post-7009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-market-trading","category-technical-analysis","tag-linkedin","tag-lnkd","tag-sp-500","tag-t2108","tag-technical-analysis","tag-wynn","tag-wynn-resorts-ltd"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>T2108 Update - August 30, 2011 (Overbought Stochastics) - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/31\/t2108-update-110830\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T2108 Update - August 30, 2011 (Overbought Stochastics) - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 30% VIX Status: 33 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold Commentary The S&#038;P 500 ended the day flat ... 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