{"id":6640,"date":"2011-08-14T15:08:27","date_gmt":"2011-08-14T19:08:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=6640"},"modified":"2011-08-14T15:08:27","modified_gmt":"2011-08-14T19:08:27","slug":"dollar-squeaks-by-pound-franc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/14\/dollar-squeaks-by-pound-franc\/","title":{"rendered":"No Relief Rally, but the Dollar Squeaks By the Pound and Franc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/287190-no-relief-rally-but-the-dollar-squeaks-by-the-pound-franc\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/285453-s-p-downgrade-of-u-s-debt-sets-up-a-potential-dollar-relief-rally\">The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&#038;P downgrade<\/a> of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6672\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6672\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_DXY0.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_DXY0.jpg\" alt=\"No relief rally for the dollar yet, but it still refuses to go any lower\" title=\"No relief rally for the dollar yet, but it still refuses to go any lower\" width=\"525\" height=\"357\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6672\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_DXY0.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_DXY0-300x204.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6672\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">No relief rally for the dollar yet, but it still refuses to go any lower<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}&#8230;The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the franc printed a parabolic move against the dollar (also against the euro and the pound) on Tuesday, August 9.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6674\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6674\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXF.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXF.jpg\" alt=\"More and more traders and investors are trusting their money with Switzerland.\" title=\"More and more traders and investors are trusting their money with Switzerland.\" width=\"525\" height=\"466\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6674\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXF.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXF-300x266.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6674\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">More and more traders and investors are trusting their money with Switzerland.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n*<strong>All charts created using <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\">TeleChart<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>This parabolic &#8220;panic&#8221; and subsequent snapback caps a very long trend for the franc&#8230;{snip}&#8230;The franc has clearly taken leadership in the &#8220;safe currency&#8221; trade.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6658\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6658\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF-lt.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF-lt.jpg\" alt=\"The dollar&#039;s decline versus the franc has been consistent and just accelerated\" title=\"The dollar&#039;s decline versus the franc has been consistent and just accelerated\" width=\"525\" height=\"349\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6658\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF-lt.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF-lt-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6658\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The dollar's decline versus the franc has been consistent and just accelerated<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/charts\/netdaniachart\/?symbol=USD\/CHF\">dailyfx.com charts<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>With the franc reaching parity with the euro, rumor and rhetoric went to work in the market. Early Thursday morning, Bloomberg quoted Swiss Central Bank Vice President Thomas Jordan as he claimed <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2011-08-11\/franc-weakens-as-swiss-central-bank-says-peg-against-euro-would-be-legal.html\">the SNB was prepared to peg the franc against the euro<\/a>. Such a move is the ultimate intervention&#8230;{snip}&#8230;this threat finally put some real fear in the market, and the franc retreated quickly from the parabolic move.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6659\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6659\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF.jpg\" alt=\"A wild and violent week where the U.S. dollar and the franc swung down and up by 10%\" title=\"A wild and violent week where the U.S. dollar and the franc swung down and up by 10%\" width=\"525\" height=\"346\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6659\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_USDCHF-300x197.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6659\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A wild and violent week where the U.S. dollar and the franc swung down and up by 10%<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/charts\/netdaniachart\/?symbol=USD\/CHF\">dailyfx.com charts<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;{snip}&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Until this year&#8217;s tight trading range, not even the franc could compete with gold as a store of value. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6661\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6661\" style=\"width: 482px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXFvsGold.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXFvsGold.jpg\" alt=\"Gold regained the advantage over the franc after this ratio hit the top of 2011&#039;s range. Is another bounce back up coming as gold corrects?\" title=\"Gold regained the advantage over the franc after this ratio hit the top of 2011&#039;s range. Is another bounce back up coming as gold corrects?\" width=\"492\" height=\"312\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6661\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXFvsGold.jpg 492w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/110812_FXFvsGold-300x190.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 492px) 100vw, 492px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6661\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gold regained the advantage over the franc after this ratio hit the top of 2011's range. Is another bounce back up coming as gold corrects?<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=FXF:$GOLD&#038;p=D&#038;yr=3&#038;mn=0&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p39132615464\">stockcharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}&#8230;at some point, this trading range will break, and I am sure traders will chase that new momentum. The SNB would definitely prefer that traders and investors return their francs for gold as soon as possible&#8230;or at least euros.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/287190-no-relief-rally-but-the-dollar-squeaks-by-the-pound-franc\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net short Swiss franc; long GLD, GG<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week. {snip}&#8230;The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the &#8230; <a title=\"No Relief Rally, but the Dollar Squeaks By the Pound and Franc\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/14\/dollar-squeaks-by-pound-franc\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,62,21],"tags":[127,459,513,384,200,24,499,334,1591,460,454],"class_list":["post-6640","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-fxb","tag-fxf","tag-fxy","tag-gbpusd","tag-gld","tag-gold","tag-spdr-gold-trust","tag-swiss-national-bank","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdchf","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>No Relief Rally, but the Dollar Squeaks By the Pound and Franc - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/14\/dollar-squeaks-by-pound-franc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"No Relief Rally, but the Dollar Squeaks By the Pound and Franc - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week. {snip}&#8230;The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the ... 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Click here to read the entire piece.) The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&#038;P downgrade of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week. {snip}&#8230;The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the ... 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