{"id":6624,"date":"2011-08-14T01:18:33","date_gmt":"2011-08-14T05:18:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=6624"},"modified":"2011-08-14T01:18:33","modified_gmt":"2011-08-14T05:18:33","slug":"commodities-crash-ag-oil-natgas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/14\/commodities-crash-ag-oil-natgas\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodities Crash: Stocks That Have Erased QE2 Gains (Agriculture, Oil, Natural Gas)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/287020-commodities-crash-agriculture-oil-and-natural-gas-stocks-that-have-erased-qe2-gains\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Trades continue to trigger in the on-going sell-off in commodities. In <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/286238-commodities-crash-stocks-that-have-erased-qe2-gains\">my last listing of commodity stocks that have erased all their post-QE2 gains<\/a>, I did not include stocks in agriculture, oil, or natural gas. I have now completed that scan and have posted the results below. I divide the list into stocks that were included in <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/278697-profiting-from-physical-assets-in-a-resource-constrained-world-rules-and-picks\">the explanation of the rules and picks<\/a> for the strategy on <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/277827-preparing-for-profits-in-a-resource-constrained-world\">making profits from physical assets<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>It was a good coincidence to see heavy calling buying in some of these names as they lost their post-QE2 gains. Although I did not include ECA and TLM on the strategy list, I made small purchases in each.<\/p>\n<p>In past posts on potential plays on a crash in commodities, I did not fully explain the rationale for using the &#8220;vocalized&#8221; launch of QE2 as a trigger point&#8230;{snip}&#8230;the strategy requires acknowledging the high level of uncertainty on how a crash in commodities will play out. For example, the current crash is not ostensibly about the potential of an economic slowdown in China. Yet, today&#8217;s worries and panic were still enough to drive a large handful of commodity names back to pre-QE2 levels. If this crash turns out to represent the extent of the damage, I will have a good number of commodity-related stocks already in play. If China does finally slow down, I will be much more aggressive in accumulating these stocks. (To review the thesis inspired by Jeremy Grantham see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/277827-preparing-for-profits-in-a-resource-constrained-world\">Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World<\/a>.&#8221;)<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/287020-commodities-crash-agriculture-oil-and-natural-gas-stocks-that-have-erased-qe2-gains\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long ECA, TLM<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Trades continue to trigger in the on-going sell-off in commodities. In my last listing of commodity stocks that have erased all their post-QE2 gains, I did not include stocks in agriculture, oil, or natural gas. &#8230; <a title=\"Commodities Crash: Stocks That Have Erased QE2 Gains (Agriculture, Oil, Natural Gas)\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/14\/commodities-crash-ag-oil-natgas\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[673,697,377],"tags":[699,685,539,712,701,700,698,703,702,704,707,646,647,705,706,708,709,710,711],"class_list":["post-6624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agriculture-2","category-natural-gas","category-oil","tag-cnh","tag-commodities-crash-playbook","tag-dbo","tag-do","tag-e","tag-eca","tag-enp","tag-eog","tag-esv","tag-ivan","tag-kwk","tag-mos","tag-mtw","tag-ne","tag-petd","tag-su","tag-tlm","tag-upl","tag-wll"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Commodities Crash: Stocks That Have Erased QE2 Gains (Agriculture, Oil, Natural Gas) - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/14\/commodities-crash-ag-oil-natgas\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commodities Crash: Stocks That Have Erased QE2 Gains (Agriculture, Oil, Natural Gas) - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Trades continue to trigger in the on-going sell-off in commodities. In my last listing of commodity stocks that have erased all their post-QE2 gains, I did not include stocks in agriculture, oil, or natural gas. ... 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