{"id":6557,"date":"2011-08-10T06:50:24","date_gmt":"2011-08-10T10:50:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=6557"},"modified":"2011-08-10T06:50:24","modified_gmt":"2011-08-10T10:50:24","slug":"commodity-stocks-erased-qe2-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/10\/commodity-stocks-erased-qe2-gains\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodities Crash: Stocks that Have Erased QE2 gains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/286238-commodities-crash-stocks-that-have-erased-qe2-gains\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/press\/monetary\/20110809a.htm\">In Tuesday&#8217;s statement on monetary policy<\/a>, the Federal Reserve decided to reassure markets that interest rates are likely to stay at &#8220;exceptionally low levels&#8221; at least through the middle of 2013&#8230;{snip}&#8230;This dramatic change in the language to lock the Fed into very loose monetary policy for at least another two years was yet one more reminder of why I am focused on using a crash in commodities as a golden opportunity to build out a portfolio in physical assets. (See &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/277827-preparing-for-profits-in-a-resource-constrained-world\">Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World<\/a>&#8221; for an explanation of the approach).<\/p>\n<p>The strategy remains to start building positions in commodity-related names that erase all their QE2 gains under the assumption that such a discount is near the maximum loss before the Federal Reserve (and\/or other central banks) attempts some new stimulative measures. Regardless, these are all longer-term bets on resource scarcity in the face of rapid global population and economic growth.<\/p>\n<p>On August 7, my first two such trades triggered: EWZ, the iShares Brazil ETF, and Alpha Natural Resources (ANR), a metallurgical and thermal coal company (see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/285431-commodities-crash-triggers-first-trades-alpha-natural-resources-ishares-brazil-etf\">&#8216;Commodities Crash&#8217; Triggers First Trades: Alpha Natural Resources, iShares Brazil ETF<\/a>&#8220;). Yesterday (Aug 8), two more trades triggered: Vale SA (VALE) and EWA, the iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund ETF.<\/p>\n<p>Here is a list of additional, non-agricultural commodity stocks that have lost their QE2 gains, most of them yesterday (Aug 8). I break these out into names that are currently on <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/278697-profiting-from-physical-assets-in-a-resource-constrained-world-rules-and-picks\">the strategy list<\/a>, shorts, stocks not on <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/278697-profiting-from-physical-assets-in-a-resource-constrained-world-rules-and-picks\">the strategy list<\/a>, and &#8220;special recognition&#8221; stocks. <\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/286238-commodities-crash-stocks-that-have-erased-qe2-gains\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long EWZ, ANR, VALE, EWA<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) In Tuesday&#8217;s statement on monetary policy, the Federal Reserve decided to reassure markets that interest rates are likely to stay at &#8220;exceptionally low levels&#8221; at least through the middle of 2013&#8230;{snip}&#8230;This dramatic change in the &#8230; <a title=\"Commodities Crash: Stocks that Have Erased QE2 gains\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/10\/commodity-stocks-erased-qe2-gains\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[199],"tags":[467,468,632,612,613,689,685,693,183,640,695,696,361,688,692,691,655,690,659,660,661,694,662],"class_list":["post-6557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities","tag-alpha-natural-resources","tag-anr","tag-btu","tag-cameco-corp","tag-ccj","tag-cenx","tag-commodities-crash-playbook","tag-eage-materials","tag-ewz","tag-exp","tag-granite-construction","tag-gva","tag-ishares-msci-brazil-index-fund-etf","tag-peabody-energy","tag-rio","tag-rio-tino-plc","tag-scco","tag-stillwater-mining-co","tag-swc","tag-tc","tag-vale","tag-walter-energy-incorporated","tag-wlt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Commodities Crash: Stocks that Have Erased QE2 gains - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/08\/10\/commodity-stocks-erased-qe2-gains\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commodities Crash: Stocks that Have Erased QE2 gains - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) In Tuesday&#8217;s statement on monetary policy, the Federal Reserve decided to reassure markets that interest rates are likely to stay at &#8220;exceptionally low levels&#8221; at least through the middle of 2013&#8230;{snip}&#8230;This dramatic change in the ... 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