{"id":65065,"date":"2023-07-08T15:54:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-08T22:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=65065"},"modified":"2023-07-08T16:40:47","modified_gmt":"2023-07-08T23:40:47","slug":"bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/07\/08\/bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth\/","title":{"rendered":"Bulls Fail Again at the Overbought Threshold &#8211; The Market Breadth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stock Market Commentary<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/06\/02\/key-endorsements-for-2023-run-up-in-stocks-the-market-breadth\/\">summer of loving stocks<\/a> is staring down its second major test just two weeks after <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/06\/24\/bulls-fade-fast-from-overbought-frontier-the-market-breadth\/\">its first major test<\/a>. Like the first test, the latest test is happening in the wake of the stock market&#8217;s failure to break through the overbought threshold on market breadth. Unlike the first test, the important 20DMA supports are not holding in picture-perfect form. A swirl of economic data last week seemed to leave the market confused and unsure of how to react.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20230705a.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Federal Reserve&#8217;s minutes for the June meeting<\/a> reminded the Wall Street of the Fed&#8217;s case for staying hawkish. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/us-service-sector-picks-up-june-inflation-gradually-slowing-ism-survey-2023-07-06\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Strong services numbers on Thursday<\/a> reinforced the message. Wall Street&#8217;s disappointment about the good news came in the form of soaring volatility, rising interest rates, and a stock market sinking. Friday&#8217;s softer than &#8220;expected&#8221;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/archives\/empsit_07072023.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> jobs report for June<\/a> seemed to offer little consolation with small caps surprisingly outperforming the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Stock Market Indices<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) passed its first major test for the summer of loving stocks <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/07\/04\/itching-for-another-scratch-overbought-conditions-the-market-breadth\/\">two weeks ago<\/a>. At that time the index rebounded away from support at its 20-day moving average (DMA) (the dotted line) in poetic form. This time, the dynamics are messy as a picture-perfect rebound on Thursday was spoiled by a fade from the intraday highs on Friday. If buyers and bulls had held their ground, they would have confirmed another successful test. Instead, this second test of the summer of loving stocks is on the edge of failing. Such a failure would set up (short-term) bearish implications for the stock market&#8217;s latest rejection from the overbought threshold. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-SP-500-SPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"813\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-SP-500-SPY.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) is teetering on another test of 20DMA support.\" class=\"wp-image-65068\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 (SPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-SP-500-SPY.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-SP-500-SPY-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-SP-500-SPY-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-SP-500-SPY-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) is teetering on another test of 20DMA support.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-5e6b19ed wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><mark style=\"background-color:#0693e3\" class=\"has-inline-color has-white-color\">Join the One-Twenty Two Mailing List for Free<\/mark><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) also pulled off a picture-perfect bounce from 20DMA support on Thursday. The tech-laden index also faded from the highs on Friday and closed marginally down for the day. This mirror image of the trading action in the S&amp;P 500 has similar implications. Unfortunately for the NASDAQ, the failure to break out last week gives the chart a more distinct toppy pattern. This timing is ominous when combined with the stock market&#8217;s failure to break through the overbought threshold.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"817\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ (COMPQ) fell from a marginal new high to a messy test of 20DMA support.\" class=\"wp-image-65069\" title=\"NASDAQ (COMPQ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-NASDAQ-COMPQ-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-NASDAQ-COMPQ-1536x778.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-NASDAQ-COMPQ-1320x669.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) fell from a marginal new high to a messy test of 20DMA support.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>While the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lags the other two major indices this year, Friday was a day to shine. The ability for small caps to rally added to the swirl of signals in the market. I took profits on my call spread as IWM hit 20DMA resistance. Buyers kept pressing the issue until they filled the gap from Wednesday. With enthusiasm exhausted, sellers were able to close IWM under resistance. IWM is setting up conditions for a new, extended trading range.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\" alt=\"The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) actually out-performed with a 1.1% gain a day after testing recent lows. Sellers faded IWM under 20DMA resistance.\" class=\"wp-image-65070\" title=\"iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-1536x777.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-1320x668.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) actually out-performed with a 1.1% gain a day after testing recent lows. Sellers faded IWM under 20DMA resistance.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Short-Term Trading Call with the Overbought Threshold<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>AT50<\/strong> (MMFI) = 61.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AT200<\/strong> (MMTH) = 50.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short-term Trading Call<\/strong>: neutral<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>AT50 (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50DMAs, closed at 61.2%. My favorite technical indicator got as high as 67.5% to start the week, right below the overbought threshold of 70%. AT50 got as low as 52.7% before rebounding intraday on Thursday. Small caps helped AT50 notch a gain on Friday. Still, this second failure in a month to break through the overbought threshold increases my sense of caution. I still prefer to buy the dips but now fading rallies into resistance looks slightly more interesting. The upcoming earnings season represents the next tell. I will be looking for the ability of buyers and sellers to sustain the initial post-earnings responses in the stocks I monitor using scans like <a href=\"https:\/\/swingtradebot.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SwingTradeBot<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/06\/02\/key-endorsements-for-2023-run-up-in-stocks-the-market-breadth\/\">I made the case<\/a> for shorting the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) in the wake of the debt ceiling crisis. My profits in a TLT September put spread came as TLT gapped down and closed below its lower Bollinger Band (BB). With the jobs report coming the next day, I saw poor risk\/reward in continuing to hold. As it turned out, the market interpreted the softer than expected employment numbers as a reason to sell bonds. TLT now trades at an 8-month low and looks ready to slip to the lows from last October and November. I hope to fade the next rally.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-20-Plus-Year-Treasury-Bond-ETF-TLT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"813\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-20-Plus-Year-Treasury-Bond-ETF-TLT.png\" alt=\"The iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) gapped down 3 straight days to an 8-month closing low.\" class=\"wp-image-65071\" title=\"iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-20-Plus-Year-Treasury-Bond-ETF-TLT.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-20-Plus-Year-Treasury-Bond-ETF-TLT-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-20-Plus-Year-Treasury-Bond-ETF-TLT-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-iShares-20-Plus-Year-Treasury-Bond-ETF-TLT-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) gapped down 3 straight days to an 8-month closing low.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I took a loss on EV truck manufacturer Rivian Automotive, Inc (RIVN) some time ago. So it hurts a bit to see RIVN spring to life over the past 2 weeks. The breakout on June 30th ahead of production numbers was the first clue indicating a change in sentiment. RIVN soared 17.4% the following Monday in the wake of <a href=\"https:\/\/rivian.com\/newsroom\/article\/rivian-releases-q2-production-figures-and-sets-date-for-second-quarter-2023-results\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reporting Q2 production of 13,992 trucks<\/a>. Buyers have been unrelenting ever since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fast Money crew gave clashing arguments for sticking with the momentum versus fading. RIVN is certainly over-stretched with 5 consecutive days closing above its upper-BB. However, if I shorted RIVN here, I would keep the position on a tight leash and take profits at or near 200DMA support (the bluish line).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24RIVN&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$RIVN<\/a> riding into its 8th day of gains!<br><br>The EV maker has the best-selling electric truck in the U.S. this year, according to the latest EV sales data.<br><br> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/karenfinerman?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@karenfinerman<\/a> says you can&#39;t count <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24GM&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$GM<\/a> out despite the disappointment.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24RIVN&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$RIVN<\/a> shareholder <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/grassosteve?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@grassosteve<\/a> gives his take. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EnrmYmducB\">pic.twitter.com\/EnrmYmducB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC&#39;s Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCFastMoney\/status\/1677429301904396289?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 7, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Rivian-Automotive-Inc-RIVN.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"813\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Rivian-Automotive-Inc-RIVN.png\" alt=\"Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) has come alive with recent business news. The 14.3% gain confirmed the 200DMA even as the price actin is stretched above the upper Bollinger Band (BB).\" class=\"wp-image-65081\" title=\"Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Rivian-Automotive-Inc-RIVN.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Rivian-Automotive-Inc-RIVN-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Rivian-Automotive-Inc-RIVN-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Rivian-Automotive-Inc-RIVN-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) has come alive with recent business news. The 14.3% gain confirmed the 200DMA even as the price actin is stretched above the upper Bollinger Band (BB).<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FIBN) is <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/FBIN\/profile?p=FBIN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a building products and equipment company based in Illinois<\/a>.  This year&#8217;s momentum follows the fortunes of the housing market. I noticed the breakout in the previous week and waited patiently for a buying opportunity. That opportunity came on Friday as the stock moved to confirm a picture-perfect test of support at its 20DMA. The fade into the close makes this trade more tenuous, but I am optimistic for now that FIBN can hold its breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Fortune-Brands-Innovations-Inc-FBIN.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Fortune-Brands-Innovations-Inc-FBIN.png\" alt=\"Fortune Brands Innovations Inc (FBIN) faded off its highs and just barely confirmed uptrending 20DMA support.\" class=\"wp-image-65072\" title=\"Fortune Brands Innovations Inc (FBIN)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Fortune-Brands-Innovations-Inc-FBIN.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Fortune-Brands-Innovations-Inc-FBIN-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Fortune-Brands-Innovations-Inc-FBIN-1536x777.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Fortune-Brands-Innovations-Inc-FBIN-1320x668.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Fortune Brands Innovations Inc (FBIN) faded off its highs and just barely confirmed uptrending 20DMA support.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Prime Day is coming Amazon.com (AMZN) (click here for my affiliate link to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/b?_encoding=UTF8&amp;tag=drduru03-20&amp;linkCode=ur2&amp;linkId=e6c61b5e8f2303f11a57cd5ef55519a2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;node=172282\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">start shopping<\/a>). The stock looks ready to break out going into the shopping bonanza, so I bought an AMZN call spread after the stock bounced from 20DMA support. This support has held firm since March, so I am hoping to at least avoid taking a loss. Enjoy the deals!<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Amazon.com-Inc.-AMZN.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1613\" height=\"813\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Amazon.com-Inc.-AMZN.png\" alt=\"Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN) confirmed 20DMA support and looks set to rally into Prime Day.\" class=\"wp-image-65073\" title=\"Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Amazon.com-Inc.-AMZN.png 1613w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Amazon.com-Inc.-AMZN-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Amazon.com-Inc.-AMZN-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Amazon.com-Inc.-AMZN-1320x665.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1613px) 100vw, 1613px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN) confirmed 20DMA support and looks set to rally into Prime Day.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I took a flyer on buying digital marketing company Taskus Inc (TASK). TASK has had an awful year, but buyers have tried to defend current price levels since May earnings. Note in the chart below the prominence of the buying days versus the selling says (the vertical bars represent trading volume &#8211; green is buying volume, red is selling volume). I see the hints of accumulation which will get confirmed with a close above June&#8217;s high. From there, the stock could run all the way back to 200DMA resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Taskus-Inc-TASK.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Taskus-Inc-TASK.png\" alt=\"Taskus Inc (TASK) is trying to bottom with a precarious consolidation period. High volume buying suggests accumulation is underway.\" class=\"wp-image-65074\" title=\"Taskus Inc (TASK)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Taskus-Inc-TASK.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Taskus-Inc-TASK-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Taskus-Inc-TASK-1536x777.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Taskus-Inc-TASK-1320x668.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Taskus Inc (TASK) is trying to bottom with a precarious consolidation period. High volume buying suggests accumulation is underway.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>My son is using Unity Software Inc (U) this summer to program video games. Accordingly, the stock  returned to my radar. I made two successful trades in U: after the last 200DMA breakout and after a picture-perfect test of 20DMA support. My third trade also triggered off 20DMA support. However, U&#8217;s chart looks similar to the NASDAQ&#8217;s. Thus, the positioning is precarious. Still, I am interested in accumulating a bigger position, so I am a buyer on a test of 50DMA and\/or 200DMA support.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Unity-Software-Inc-U-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1614\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Unity-Software-Inc-U-1.png\" alt=\"Unity Software Inc (U) is clinging to 20DMA support after failing to close above the prior intraday high.\" class=\"wp-image-65076\" title=\"Unity Software Inc (U)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Unity-Software-Inc-U-1.png 1614w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Unity-Software-Inc-U-1-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Unity-Software-Inc-U-1-1536x776.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Unity-Software-Inc-U-1-1320x667.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1614px) 100vw, 1614px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Unity Software Inc (U) is clinging to 20DMA support after failing to close above the prior intraday high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Oh so quietly Teradata Corporation (TDC) has delivered a stellar year. This old school big data software company seems to be back in favor as it markets a cloud solution for analytics. While I feel very late to the game, I am keeping TDC on my radar to buy on a dip. TDC has enjoyed three consecutive positive post-earnings responses including an 8.4% surge in May that refreshed momentum in the stock. TDC trades around a 20-month high.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Teradata-Corp-TDC.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Teradata-Corp-TDC.png\" alt=\"Teradata Corp (TDC) has quietly rallied all year with the 20DMA holding as firm support since May earnings.\" class=\"wp-image-65077\" title=\"Teradata Corp (TDC)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Teradata-Corp-TDC.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Teradata-Corp-TDC-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Teradata-Corp-TDC-1536x777.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-Teradata-Corp-TDC-1320x667.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Teradata Corp (TDC) has quietly rallied all year with the 20DMA holding as firm support since May earnings.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT50-MMFI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1613\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT50-MMFI.png\" alt=\"AT50 (MMFI) failed again to break through the overbought threshold. Small caps helped salvage the week.\" class=\"wp-image-65078\" title=\"AT50 (MMFI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT50-MMFI.png 1613w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT50-MMFI-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT50-MMFI-1536x776.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT50-MMFI-1320x667.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1613px) 100vw, 1613px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT50 (MMFI) failed again to break through the overbought threshold. Small caps helped salvage the week.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT200-MMTH.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1614\" height=\"814\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT200-MMTH.png\" alt=\"AT200 (MMTH) also rebounded thanks to small caps.\" class=\"wp-image-65079\" title=\"AT200 (MMTH)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT200-MMTH.png 1614w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT200-MMTH-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT200-MMTH-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/070723-AT200-MMTH-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1614px) 100vw, 1614px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT200 (MMTH) also rebounded thanks to small caps.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"footnotes\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe for free<\/a> to get email notifications of future posts!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Above the 50&#8221; (AT50) uses the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs) to measure breadth in the stock market. Breadth defines the distribution of participation in a rally or sell-off. As a result, AT50 identifies extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. Above the 50 is my alternative name for &#8220;MMFI&#8221; which is a symbol TradingView.com and other chart vendors use for this breadth indicator. Learn more about AT50 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">Market Breadth Resource Page<\/a>. AT200, or MMTH, measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Active AT50 (MMFI) periods:<\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>Day #69 over 20%, Day #43 over 30%, Day #40 over 40%, Day #26 over 50%, Day #1 over 60%, Day #94 under 70%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for charts unless otherwise noted: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full disclosure:<\/strong>  long AMZN call spread, long U, long FBIN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Charting notes: Stock prices are not adjusted for dividends. Candlestick charts use hollow bodies: open candles indicate a close higher than the open, filled candles indicate an open higher than the close.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Commentary The summer of loving stocks is staring down its second major test just two weeks after its first major test. Like the first test, the latest test is happening in the wake of the stock market&#8217;s failure to break through the overbought threshold on market breadth. Unlike the first test, the important &#8230; <a title=\"Bulls Fail Again at the Overbought Threshold &#8211; The Market Breadth\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/07\/08\/bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":65105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[584,456,483,482,1862,2637,219,35,599,512,338,1311,511,62,982],"tags":[495,398,1820,2832,2201,3275,3276,1242,2218,909,413,65,362,3277,3278,1650,2493,280,1008,2674],"class_list":["post-65065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bollinger-band","category-bonds-2","category-breakdown","category-breakout","category-business-services","category-electric-vehicles","category-high-tech","category-housing","category-internet","category-resistance","category-retail","category-software","category-support","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-range","tag-amazon-com","tag-amzn","tag-at200","tag-at50","tag-compq","tag-fbin","tag-fortune-brands-innovation-inc","tag-ishares-20-year-treasury-bond-etf","tag-ishares-russell-2000-etf","tag-iwm","tag-nasdaq","tag-sp-500","tag-spy","tag-task","tag-taskus-inc","tag-tdc","tag-teradata-corporation","tag-tlt","tag-u","tag-unity-software"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bulls Fail Again at the Overbought Threshold \u2013 The Market Breadth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The latest test of the summer of loving stocks is in the wake of the market\u2019s failure to crack the overbought threshold on market breadth.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/07\/08\/bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bulls Fail Again at the Overbought Threshold - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The latest test of the summer of loving stocks is in the wake of the market\u2019s failure to crack the overbought threshold on market breadth.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/07\/08\/bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-08T22:54:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-07-08T23:40:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/overbought-threshold.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"683\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Bulls Fail Again at the Overbought Threshold - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"The latest test of the summer of loving stocks is in the wake of the market\u2019s failure to crack the overbought threshold on market breadth.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/overbought-threshold.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"10 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2023\\\/07\\\/08\\\/bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2023\\\/07\\\/08\\\/bulls-fail-again-at-overbought-threshold-the-market-breadth\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr. Duru\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0\"},\"headline\":\"Bulls Fail Again at the Overbought Threshold &#8211; 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