{"id":64302,"date":"2023-05-05T14:44:48","date_gmt":"2023-05-05T21:44:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=64302"},"modified":"2023-05-08T07:01:44","modified_gmt":"2023-05-08T14:01:44","slug":"apple-drags-a-mixed-up-market-higher-the-market-breadth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/05\/05\/apple-drags-a-mixed-up-market-higher-the-market-breadth\/","title":{"rendered":"Apple Drags A Mixed-Up Market Higher &#8211; The Market Breadth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stock Market Commentary:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the previous week, the stock market put on a <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/04\/29\/new-display-of-strength-dares-feds-hawkishness-the-market-breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">display of strength ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s May decision<\/a> on monetary policy. That bravado was temporarily undermined by the final blow to First Republic Bank (FRC). After a one-day pause, presumably to contemplate the implications of the lack of a coherent policy on saving the regional banking system, sellers took the S&amp;P 500 down 1.2%. The index lost 0.7% after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20230503a.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the Fed decision<\/a> to hike rates yet again. The S&amp;P 500 lost another 0.7% the following day. Yet, Apple Inc (AAPL) saved the week with a 4.7% post-earnings surge. Apple drags the market with a domineering <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/AAPL\/?p=AAPL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$2.75T market cap<\/a>. In this case, Apple dragged the market higher despite another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/archives\/empsit_05052023.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">jobs report<\/a> that was strong enough to keep the Fed on-message with its hawkishness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The jobs report for April was so strong, that the unemployment rate for Black workers even dropped to an all-time low. So many pundits and economists have pooh-poohed the jobs reports over the past year and more as a lagging indicator of economic health. Dismissing the relevance of the jobs report was helpful when explaining why the Fed did not need to hike rates to fight inflation (Cathy Wood). Now the jobs report must be dismissed while explaining how the Fed is running the economy into the ground (almost everyone). This persistent job creation month-after-month must be particularly troubling for this crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other side of the gallery is <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/07\/10\/why-wall-street-wants-a-recession\/\">a Wall Street anxiously awaiting the recession<\/a> that can convince the Fed to step down from its hawkishness. Whenever a recession finally arrives, the entire group will surely say &#8220;I told you so&#8221; even as this whole episode clearly demonstrates that conventional descriptions of the economy simply do not work in this moment. No wonder the stock market is all mixed-up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">YES. We still have a labor shortage. Anecdote: The line at a local Target. ONE cashier and only at self checkout. \ud83d\ude33 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bxVcuTpzxk\">pic.twitter.com\/bxVcuTpzxk<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Dr. Duru (@DrDuru) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\/status\/1653930665296138240?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 4, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Stock Market Indices<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) looked ready for a test of support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red line). I was also ready to take profits on my SPY put spread at that point. Buyers had other ideas. AAPL helped gap the S&amp;P 500 higher and into a close above the 20DMA (the dotted line). The resulting 1.9% gain drop kicked my put spread right back into the red. I held on Thursday expecting that the S&amp;P 500 would surely continue lower to 50DMA support and perhaps beyond. Time is now ticking on this position. Meanwhile the index looks like it might develop a new trading range between the 2023 high and the vicinity of the 50DMA.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SP-500-SPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1615\" height=\"814\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SP-500-SPY.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) once again avoided a retest of 50DMA support with a bounce away from the May, 2021 low. \" class=\"wp-image-64309\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 (SPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SP-500-SPY.png 1615w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SP-500-SPY-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SP-500-SPY-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SP-500-SPY-1320x665.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1615px) 100vw, 1615px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) once again avoided a retest of 50DMA support with a bounce away from the May, 2021 low. <\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The compelling technical pattern shown below helped to convince me to hold on to my SPY put spread. I call it the buzzsaw. Note how uptrends come to a sudden and abrupt end. The downtrends end after a bit of work. Along the way, trading is choppy and cuts up anyone that overstays their welcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">S&amp;P 500 Sequencing&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24SPX&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$SPX<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24SPY&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$SPY<\/a><br><br>Website: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RRxJAeLcgO\">https:\/\/t.co\/RRxJAeLcgO<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kYtBFCOjMi\">pic.twitter.com\/kYtBFCOjMi<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Carter Braxton Worth (@CarterBWorth) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CarterBWorth\/status\/1653458846378016776?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 2, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-5e6b19ed wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><mark style=\"background-color:#0693e3\" class=\"has-inline-color has-white-color\">Join the One-Twenty Two Mailing List for Free<\/mark><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) stopped far short of 50DMA support for this cycle. Instead, the September, 2020 high became more important. A day after gapping below that support, the tech laden index soared 2.3% and closed at a marginal 8-month high. The NASDAQ has failed since late March to make further progress from these levels. Thus, follow-through buying from here will be a bullish signal.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1618\" height=\"812\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ (COMPQ) pivoted its way to another marginal 8-month high.\" class=\"wp-image-64310\" title=\"NASDAQ (COMPQ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png 1618w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-NASDAQ-COMPQ-768x385.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-NASDAQ-COMPQ-1536x771.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-NASDAQ-COMPQ-1320x662.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1618px) 100vw, 1618px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) pivoted its way to another marginal 8-month high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) tested support at the pre-pandemic high on the first post-Fed day. I jumped on a call spread at that point. The position paid off the very next day with IWM gapping higher. IWM tested 20DMA resistance before settling for a 2.4% gain. I immediately took profits; I was not expecting an instant payoff.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1613\" height=\"814\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\" alt=\"The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) successfully tested support at the pre-pandemic high with a gap higher to a 2.4% gain.\" class=\"wp-image-64311\" title=\"iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png 1613w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1613px) 100vw, 1613px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) successfully tested support at the pre-pandemic high with a gap higher to a 2.4% gain.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"stock-market-volatility\"><strong>Stock Market Volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The volatility index (VIX) ended the week with a net gain, but faders were predictable in the response to the Fed meeting. On the first post-Fed day, the VIX soared as high as 21.3 before faders pushed it back to the critical 20 level. The next day, the VIX plunged 14.4%. I finally decided to join the faders, especially given fading the VIX is a partial hedge on going long (put) options. Accordingly, I promptly bought a iPath Series B S&amp;P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) put option on Thursday (added to an existing position). I should have shorted VXX outright, but I only realized I could do so late on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-volatility-index-VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1615\" height=\"814\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-volatility-index-VIX.png\" alt=\"After preventing the volatility index (VIX) from holding itself above 20, faders smashed the VIX to a 14.4% loss.\" class=\"wp-image-64312\" title=\"volatility index (VIX)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-volatility-index-VIX.png 1615w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-volatility-index-VIX-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-volatility-index-VIX-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-volatility-index-VIX-1320x665.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1615px) 100vw, 1615px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>After preventing the volatility index (VIX) from holding itself above 20, faders smashed the VIX to a 14.4% loss.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Short-Term Trading Call With Apple Drags<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>AT50<\/strong> (MMFI) = 41.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AT200<\/strong> (MMTH) = 39.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short-term Trading Call<\/strong>: neutral<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\">AT50<\/a> (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50DMAs, closed the week at 41.7%. My favorite technical indicator has chopped around in a range for the past two weeks but this time managed to close at a marginal 2-month high. Perhaps more importantly this time, AT200 (MMTH), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs, remains trapped in a looming downtrend. In other words, the short-term market breadth remains resilient, but the longer-term market breadth is slowly but surely eroding. This short-term vs long-term divergence is a warning. Yet, there is no way to know how or when this growing gulf will result in a notable sell-off. In the meantime, I expect a continuation of a mixed-up market&#8230;.at least to the extent Apple drags fail to work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Apple has bought back $586 billion in stock over the past 10 years, which is greater than the market cap of 493 companies in the S&amp;P 500.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24AAPL&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$AAPL<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RGJPiqmDD3\">pic.twitter.com\/RGJPiqmDD3<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/charliebilello\/status\/1654893791533486082?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 6, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple Inc (AAPL) was the stock story of the day. Despite relatively weak financial performance, buyers apparently got excited about Apple&#8217;s goodie basket of increased dividends and buybacks. (I wish some of that cash would instead go toward lower prices for iPhones!). AAPL perfectly launched off 20DMA support and closed above its upper Bollinger Band (BB). This sign of strength generated a 4.7% gain and a 9-month high. Something tells me AAPL will soon drift back toward its 20DMA uptrend, but I will not bet on it!<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Apple-Inc.-AAPL.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1611\" height=\"812\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Apple-Inc.-AAPL.png\" alt=\"The stock story of the day: Apple Inc. (AAPL) surged 4.7% post-earnings to close at a 9-month high.\" class=\"wp-image-64316\" title=\"Apple Inc. (AAPL)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Apple-Inc.-AAPL.png 1611w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Apple-Inc.-AAPL-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Apple-Inc.-AAPL-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Apple-Inc.-AAPL-1320x665.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1611px) 100vw, 1611px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The stock story of the day: Apple Inc. (AAPL) surged 4.7% post-earnings to close at a 9-month high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>While tech investors are enjoying safety in numbers, investors in regional banks continue to suffer mightily. The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF lost 10.1% for the week in the wake of the resolution and sale of First Republic Bank (FRC) to JP Morgan Chase (JPM). Yet, sellers took no solace or encouragement from CEO Jamie Dimon&#8217;s declaration that &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/pacwest-western-alliance-crash-as-regional-bank-fears-continue-to-shake-markets-151815103.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">this part of the crisis is over<\/a>.&#8221; Sellers took down their next targets on Tuesday. For good measure, they doubled down on the pressure the day after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/mediacenter\/files\/FOMCpresconf20230503.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fed Chair Powell reiterated Dimon&#8217;s hopeful claim<\/a>: &#8220;I think that the resolution and sale of First Republic kind of draws a line under that period of &#8212; is an important step toward drawing a line under that period of severe stress.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>KRE&#8217;s 5.5% plunge generated the largest trading volume since the regional banking crisis began. I interpreted that extreme event as a buying signal. While I did not dare buy any beaten up banks, I did buy KRE calls. I sold immediately into the gap up the next day. KRE finished Friday with a 6.3% gain. Banks like PacWest Bancorp (PACW) practically closed the previous day&#8217;s gap down with an eye-popping 81.7% gain!<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SPDR-SP-Regional-Banking-ETF-KRE.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1614\" height=\"814\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SPDR-SP-Regional-Banking-ETF-KRE.png\" alt=\"A day after a 5.5% loss on record trading volume, the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rebounded with a 6.3% gap higher.\" class=\"wp-image-64317\" title=\"SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (KRE)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SPDR-SP-Regional-Banking-ETF-KRE.png 1614w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SPDR-SP-Regional-Banking-ETF-KRE-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SPDR-SP-Regional-Banking-ETF-KRE-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-SPDR-SP-Regional-Banking-ETF-KRE-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1614px) 100vw, 1614px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>A day after a 5.5% loss on record trading volume, the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rebounded with a 6.3% gap higher.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The extreme trading in KRE made me look at other victims of the rolling panic in financials. Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) was trading well below its lower Bollinger Band, yet closed the day where it opened: a classic bottoming hammer pattern. That pattern was confirmed with Friday&#8217;s 4.0% gain. I jumped into a May call option as a play on some follow-through buying from here. Given the on-going panic, I assume the potential upside is limited, perhaps to last month&#8217;s high.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Charles-Schwab-Corporation-SCHW.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"812\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Charles-Schwab-Corporation-SCHW.png\" alt=\"Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) confirmed a bottoming hammer with a 4.0% gain.\" class=\"wp-image-64315\" title=\"Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Charles-Schwab-Corporation-SCHW.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Charles-Schwab-Corporation-SCHW-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Charles-Schwab-Corporation-SCHW-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Charles-Schwab-Corporation-SCHW-1320x665.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) confirmed a bottoming hammer with a 4.0% gain.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Speaking of panic, sellers went wilding on LegalZoom.com Inc (LZ). <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/04\/21\/wake-me-once-markets-sleepwalking-ends-the-market-breadth\/\">Just two weeks ago<\/a>, I gushed over the impressive technical pattern and even recently wrote <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4598768-legalzoom-stock-buy-ahead-of-q1-earnings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a more complete bullish thesis on Seeking Alpha<\/a>. While I have yet to see news explaining the collapse, I assume investors are panicking about the potential negative impact of ChatGPT on LegalZoom.com&#8217;s business in the wake of the ChatGPT hit Chegg (CHGG) took post-earnings (more on that another time). If so, I think the concerns are misplaced and overblown. Accordingly, I bought call options and more shares. So far, so good as LZ is printing a bottoming process characteristic of a seller&#8217;s exhaustion. Two straight days of long tails were followed by a solid up day, all on high trading volume.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-LegalZoom.com-Inc-LZ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1615\" height=\"814\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-LegalZoom.com-Inc-LZ.png\" alt=\"Apparent ChatGPT fears plunged LegalZoom.com Inc (LZ) to all-time lows. Motivated sellers may be washed out as LZ gained 5.0% following 2 days of long candlestick tails.\" class=\"wp-image-64318\" title=\"LegalZoom.com Inc (LZ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-LegalZoom.com-Inc-LZ.png 1615w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-LegalZoom.com-Inc-LZ-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-LegalZoom.com-Inc-LZ-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-LegalZoom.com-Inc-LZ-1320x665.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1615px) 100vw, 1615px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Apparent ChatGPT fears plunged LegalZoom.com Inc (LZ) to all-time lows. Motivated sellers may be washed out as LZ gained 5.0% following 2 days of long candlestick tails.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Upwork, Inc (UPWK) joined the ranks of mixed-up market reactions to fundamental news. UPWK opened post-earnings down by 19.1%. After the dust settled, UPWK managed to close the day FLAT. At one point, UPWK was even up for the day. Trading volume was extreme; thus, it is very possible motivated sellers have finally washed themselves of UPWK. Given I am a fan of the company, I have monitored UPWK for the next buying opportunity. A close above the post-earnings intraday high would give me the go-ahead sign.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Upwork-Inc-UPWK.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1612\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Upwork-Inc-UPWK.png\" alt=\"Upwork Inc (UPWK) lost as much as 19.4% post-earnings before buyers closed the stock flat on the day.\" class=\"wp-image-64319\" title=\"Upwork Inc (UPWK)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Upwork-Inc-UPWK.png 1612w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Upwork-Inc-UPWK-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Upwork-Inc-UPWK-1536x777.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-Upwork-Inc-UPWK-1320x667.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1612px) 100vw, 1612px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Upwork Inc (UPWK) lost as much as 19.4% post-earnings before buyers closed the stock flat on the day.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT50-MMFI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1615\" height=\"815\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT50-MMFI.png\" alt=\"AT50 (MMFI) is starting to pivot around the 35% level.\" class=\"wp-image-64313\" title=\"AT50 (MMFI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT50-MMFI.png 1615w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT50-MMFI-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT50-MMFI-1536x775.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT50-MMFI-1320x666.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1615px) 100vw, 1615px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT50 (MMFI) is starting to pivot around the 35% level.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT200-MMTH.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1614\" height=\"812\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT200-MMTH.png\" alt=\"Despite a small gain, AT200 (MMTH) looks like it is starting a new downtrend.\" class=\"wp-image-64314\" title=\"AT200 (MMTH)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT200-MMTH.png 1614w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT200-MMTH-768x386.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT200-MMTH-1536x773.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/050523-AT200-MMTH-1320x664.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1614px) 100vw, 1614px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Despite a small gain, AT200 (MMTH) looks like it is starting a new downtrend.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"footnotes\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe for free<\/a> to get email notifications of future posts!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Above the 50&#8221; (AT50) uses the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs) to measure breadth in the stock market. Breadth defines the distribution of participation in a rally or sell-off. As a result, AT50 identifies extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. Above the 50 is my alternative name for &#8220;MMFI&#8221; which is a symbol TradingView.com and other chart vendors use for this breadth indicator. Learn more about AT50 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">Market Breadth Resource Page<\/a>. AT200, or MMTH, measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Active AT50 (MMFI) periods:<\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>Day #30 over 20%, Day #4 over 30%, Day #1 over 40%, Day #43 under 50%, Day 53 under 60%, Day #55 under 70%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for charts unless otherwise noted: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full disclosure:<\/strong>  long QQQ put spread; long SPY put spread, long VXX call spread, put spread, and puts, long CHGG, long LZ shares and calls, long SCHW call<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Charting notes: Stock prices are not adjusted for dividends. Candlestick charts use hollow bodies: open candles indicate a close higher than the open, filled candles indicate an open higher than the close.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Commentary: In the previous week, the stock market put on a display of strength ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s May decision on monetary policy. That bravado was temporarily undermined by the final blow to First Republic Bank (FRC). After a one-day pause, presumably to contemplate the implications of the lack of a coherent &#8230; <a title=\"Apple Drags A Mixed-Up Market Higher &#8211; The Market Breadth\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2023\/05\/05\/apple-drags-a-mixed-up-market-higher-the-market-breadth\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":64332,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[584,1303,483,482,1862,220,59,548,219,512,511,62,982],"tags":[250,534,1733,2201,2218,909,1634,3204,3239,3240,413,65,2657,3205,362,197,2124,2410,303,931],"class_list":["post-64302","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bollinger-band","category-bottom","category-breakdown","category-breakout","category-business-services","category-earnings","category-economy","category-financials","category-high-tech","category-resistance","category-support","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-range","tag-aapl","tag-apple-inc","tag-charles-schwab","tag-compq","tag-ishares-russell-2000-etf","tag-iwm","tag-jobs","tag-kre","tag-legalzoom-com-inc","tag-lz","tag-nasdaq","tag-sp-500","tag-schw","tag-spdr-sp-regional-banking-etf","tag-spy","tag-unemployment","tag-upwk","tag-upwork","tag-vix","tag-volatility-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Apple Drags A Mixed-Up Market Higher - The Market Breadth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Apple drags the market with a domineering $2.75T market cap. 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