{"id":62482,"date":"2022-12-23T14:48:03","date_gmt":"2022-12-23T22:48:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=62482"},"modified":"2022-12-24T15:09:54","modified_gmt":"2022-12-24T23:09:54","slug":"second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/23\/second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth\/","title":{"rendered":"A Second Chance for the Path of Least Resistance &#8211; The Market Breadth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stock Market Commentary<\/strong>: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Revisions to the report on GDP (gross domestic product) typically do not generate reactions in the financial markets, especially the third revision. So I completely look past the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/news\/blog\/2022-12-22\/gross-domestic-product-third-estimate-corporate-profits-revised-estimate-and\">third revision to Q3 GDP<\/a> when I concluded <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/21\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\/\">the path of least resistance offered a reprieve<\/a>. The revision revealed economic conditions were even better than previously reported, and the stock market practically freaked out. In an inflationary environment with a hawkish Fed, the stock market treated this good economic news as awful news (for a fresh explainer, see &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/07\/10\/why-wall-street-wants-a-recession\/\">Why Wall Street Wants A Recession<\/a>&#8220;). Buyers shook off their stupor as the NASDAQ tested important lows. Gains on Friday and a plunge in the VIX offer fresh hope and a second chance for a path of least resistance pointing upward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps most importantly, last week delivered <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/equity-funds-record-largest-ever-weekly-outflows-bofa-2022-12-23\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the largest ever weekly outflows from equity funds<\/a>. If anything can clear out a second chance for an upward pointing path of least resistance, the exhaustion of sellers can certainly do it. This airpocket of selling could even carry holiday cheer into early January before the prevailing bearish winds blow again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Stock Market Indices<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) essentially ended the week with a flat performance. In between the bookends, the index swung around its bear market line with plenty of drama. Wednesday&#8217;s rally to resistance at the 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red line below) looked like a move up <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/21\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\/\">the path of least resistance<\/a>. Thursday&#8217;s good economic news initially took the S&amp;P 500 down a whopping 2.9%. The path of least resistance woke up from there and lowered the day&#8217;s loss to 1.5%. Friday&#8217;s 0.6% gain offered holiday hopes for a fresh challenge of 50DMA resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-SP-500-SPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1061\" height=\"497\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-SP-500-SPY.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) spent the week pivoting around its bear market line in a high stakes game of churn.\" class=\"wp-image-62485\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 (SPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-SP-500-SPY.png 1061w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-SP-500-SPY-768x360.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1061px) 100vw, 1061px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) spent the week pivoting around its bear market line in a high stakes game of churn.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-5e6b19ed wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><mark style=\"background-color:#0693e3\" class=\"has-inline-color has-white-color\">Subscribe to this blog for FREE!<\/mark><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) tested the closing lows of October and November before the path of least resistance opened up again to the upside. The tech-laden index ended the week with a 1.9% loss. Accordingly, I think the NASDAQ remains at risk for breaking down to new lows. Still, I took profits on my QQQ put spread and will look to fade any rally into converging resistance from the 20DMA (dotted line) and 50DMA.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"504\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ (COMPQ) ended the week with two straight days of buyers tentatively defending the October and November closing lows.\" class=\"wp-image-62486\" title=\"NASDAQ (COMPQ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-NASDAQ-COMPQ-768x366.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) ended the week with two straight days of buyers tentatively defending the October and November closing lows.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) churned above support from its pre-pandemic high. I am surprised sellers failed to press the issue all the way down to support. Like the S&amp;P 500, IWM ended the week with a flat performance. The short side of my IWM calendar put spread expired worthless as hoped and now I will ride a Jan $170 put the rest of the way.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"498\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\" alt=\"The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) managed to avoid a retest of the pre-pandemic high during its churn for the week.\" class=\"wp-image-62487\" title=\"iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-768x361.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) managed to avoid a retest of the pre-pandemic high during its churn for the week.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"stock-market-volatility\"><strong>Stock Market Volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The volatility index (VIX) successfully defended the important 20 level as support. However, it lost ground 4 of 5 trading days. On Thursday, the VIX soared past 24 before faders pushed the VIX back to 22. The wild behavior of the VIX sent me to Bill Luby of VIXandMore with questions. I plainly asked &#8220;what&#8217;s going on?&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Seasonal factors have dampened the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24VIX&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$VIX<\/a> and so much options activity these days is in 0dte and 1dte that the VIX is not focused on.  Also, so many people are short, hedged or with excess cash that there is a lot less fear at the margin.<\/p>&mdash; Bill Luby (@VIXandMore) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VIXandMore\/status\/1606329363091185667?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 23, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;0dte&#8221; and &#8220;1dte&#8221; stand for &#8220;0 days to expiration&#8221; and &#8220;1 day to expiration.&#8221; In other words, retail options traders are speculating wildly. As a result, the VIX is exhibiting some strange behavior as it less effectively reflects fundamental market sentiment. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-volatility-index-VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-volatility-index-VIX.png\" alt=\"The volatility index (VIX) lost ground 4 of 5 days but only lost 7.8%. The key 20 level held during the week of churn.\" class=\"wp-image-62488\" title=\"volatility index (VIX)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-volatility-index-VIX.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-volatility-index-VIX-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The volatility index (VIX) lost ground 4 of 5 days but only lost 7.8%. The key 20 level held during the week of churn.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-short-term-trading-call-with-a-promising-divergence\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700\"><strong>The Short-Term Trading Call With the Path of Least Resistance<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>AT50<\/strong> (MMFI) = 42.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AT200<\/strong> (MMTH) = 38.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short-term Trading Call<\/strong>: cautiously bearish<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\">AT50<\/a> (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50DMAs, churned with the stock market. My favorite technical indicator fell as low as a 2-month low before rebounding by Friday to a 3.5 percentage point loss for the week. At 34%, the AT50 lows got to &#8220;close enough to oversold&#8221; territory. Accordingly, I am not pressing bearish bets here&#8230;even with market dynamics structured in favor of the bears. As a reminder, I am not downshifting to neutral as I want to be mentally prepared to fade the market sometime in early January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Stock market guide:<br>Strong data &#8211; SELL (fears of inflation and hawkish Fed)<br>Weak data &#8211; SELL (fears of recession)<br>Fed speaker &#8211; SELL (no pause in sight)<br>Guru interview &#8211; SELL (Fed, recession, valuation, etc.)<br>Corporate earnings &#8211; SELL (too little demand, too much inventory)<\/p>&mdash; Bill Luby (@VIXandMore) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VIXandMore\/status\/1606202632195842050?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 23, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The next three stock charts show some positive signs in the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shutterstock, Inc. (SSTK), <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/SSTK\/profile?p=SSTK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">an image services company<\/a>,  is showing resilience with a 3-month consolidation period to-date. Since the previous 4-month consolidation period failed to generate a bullish breakout, there is no need here to try to get ahead of a potential upward move. Still, I have this stock on my watchlist as further downside risks seem small. SSTK has an attractive <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/SSTK\/key-statistics?p=SSTK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2.4 price\/sales valuation<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Shutterstock-Inc.-SSTK.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Shutterstock-Inc.-SSTK.png\" alt=\"Shutterstock, Inc. (SSTK) is making a second attempt to consolidate and build a base. This period is 1 month shorter than the previous 4-month period.\" class=\"wp-image-62491\" title=\"Shutterstock, Inc. (SSTK)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Shutterstock-Inc.-SSTK.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Shutterstock-Inc.-SSTK-768x362.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Shutterstock, Inc. (SSTK) is making a second attempt to consolidate and build a base. This period is 1 month shorter than the previous 4-month period.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I have not written about cocoa in a long time. The price action has been relatively mute and tightly rangebound since 2018. Still, as a cocoa permabull, I accumulated iPath Bloomberg Cocoa Subindex Total Return(SM) ETN (NIB) on the pullback starting in May. I watched carefully after November&#8217;s bullish 200DMA breakout and decided to take profits on last week&#8217;s big breakout. As a reminder, I buy dips and sell rallies in NIB given the largely rangebound trading for years. Now, I am back to buy-the-dip mode. It is also time to more closely track cocoa news.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iPath-Bloomberg-Cocoa-Subindex-Total-Return-SM-Index-ETN-NIB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iPath-Bloomberg-Cocoa-Subindex-Total-Return-SM-Index-ETN-NIB.png\" alt=\"The iPath Bloomberg Cocoa Subindex Total Return SM Index ETN (NIB) confirmed its 200DMA breakout with a 7-month high.\" class=\"wp-image-62492\" title=\"iPath Bloomberg Cocoa Subindex Total Return SM Index ETN (NIB)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iPath-Bloomberg-Cocoa-Subindex-Total-Return-SM-Index-ETN-NIB.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-iPath-Bloomberg-Cocoa-Subindex-Total-Return-SM-Index-ETN-NIB-768x362.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iPath Bloomberg Cocoa Subindex Total Return SM Index ETN (NIB) confirmed its 200DMA breakout with a 7-month high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I early mentioned Caterpillar as <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/16\/santa-rally-denied-fed-stays-naughty-the-market-breadth\/\">an important breakout\/breakdown candidate<\/a>. CAT broke out Wednesday during the market rally. The disappointment over the GDP revision ended the breakout. However, buyers showed some life on the rebound from 20DMA support. Friday&#8217;s 1.0% gain holds out the possibility of holiday cheer with a breakout. On a confirmed breakout, I will put my bearishness on pause long enough to give CAT call options a chance.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Caterpillar-Inc.-CAT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Caterpillar-Inc.-CAT.png\" alt=\"Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) gained 1.0% as buyers made a 2nd breakout attempt.\" class=\"wp-image-62493\" title=\"Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Caterpillar-Inc.-CAT.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-Caterpillar-Inc.-CAT-768x363.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) gained 1.0% as buyers made a 2nd breakout attempt.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT50-MMFI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT50-MMFI.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62489\" title=\"AT50 (MMFI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT50-MMFI.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT50-MMFI-768x363.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT50 (MMFI) made an important rebound from the high 30s%.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT200-MMTH.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62490\" title=\"AT200 (MMTH)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT200-MMTH.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122322-AT200-MMTH-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT200 (MMTH) bounced perfectly off an uptrend line.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"footnotes\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Above the 50&#8221; (AT50) uses the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs) to measure breadth in the stock market. Breadth defines the distribution of participation in a rally or sell-off. As a result, AT50 identifies extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. Above the 50 is my alternative name for &#8220;MMFI&#8221; which is a symbol TradingView.com and other chart vendors use for this breadth indicator. Learn more about AT50 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">Market Breadth Resource Page<\/a>. AT200, or MMTH, measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Active AT50 (MMFI) periods:<\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>Day #49 over 20%, Day #45 over 30%, Day #4 over 40% (overperiod), Day #7 under 50% (underperiod), Day #13 under 60%, Day #15 under 70%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for charts unless otherwise noted: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full disclosure:<\/strong>  long IWM put, long SPY calendar call spread<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Charting notes: Stock prices are not adjusted for dividends. Candlestick charts use hollow bodies: open candles indicate a close higher than the open, filled candles indicate an open higher than the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Commentary: Revisions to the report on GDP (gross domestic product) typically do not generate reactions in the financial markets, especially the third revision. So I completely look past the third revision to Q3 GDP when I concluded the path of least resistance offered a reprieve. The revision revealed economic conditions were even better &#8230; <a title=\"A Second Chance for the Path of Least Resistance &#8211; The Market Breadth\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/23\/second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":62521,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[673,219,43,1312,1311,511,62],"tags":[1820,2832,64,63,2201,1551,2218,909,413,1323,65,3168,362,3167,303,931],"class_list":["post-62482","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agriculture-2","category-high-tech","category-industrial-sector","category-manufacturing-2","category-software","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-at200","tag-at50","tag-cat","tag-caterpillar-inc","tag-compq","tag-ipath-bloomberg-cocoa-subtr-etn","tag-ishares-russell-2000-etf","tag-iwm","tag-nasdaq","tag-nib","tag-sp-500","tag-shutterstock-inc","tag-spy","tag-sstk","tag-vix","tag-volatility-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Second Chance for the Path of Least Resistance \u2013 The Market Breadth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gains on Friday and a plunge in the VIX offer fresh hope and a second chance for a path of least resistance pointing upward.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/23\/second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Second Chance for the Path of Least Resistance - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gains on Friday and a plunge in the VIX offer fresh hope and a second chance for a path of least resistance pointing upward.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/23\/second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-23T22:48:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-24T23:09:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/second-chance.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1023\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"462\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"A Second Chance for the Path of Least Resistance - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Gains on Friday and a plunge in the VIX offer fresh hope and a second chance for a path of least resistance pointing upward.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/second-chance.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/23\\\/second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/23\\\/second-chance-for-path-of-least-resistance-the-market-breadth\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr. Duru\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0\"},\"headline\":\"A Second Chance for the Path of Least Resistance &#8211; 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