{"id":62444,"date":"2022-12-21T18:19:57","date_gmt":"2022-12-22T02:19:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=62444"},"modified":"2022-12-22T00:03:00","modified_gmt":"2022-12-22T08:03:00","slug":"path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/21\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\/","title":{"rendered":"A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve &#8211; The Market Breadth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stock Market Commentary<\/strong>: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4565624-bank-of-japan-stays-dovish-markets-brace-monetary-tightening\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">surge in the Japanese yen (FXY)<\/a> may have exhausted enough sellers to clear the path for some holiday cheer in the stock market. Suddenly, the market seemed to transition from <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/16\/santa-rally-denied-fed-stays-naughty-the-market-breadth\/\">the heavy burdens of a stubbornly hawkish Fed<\/a> to the alluring hopes from a lack of (scheduled) negative catalysts for the rest of the year. Without any significant economic releases or another hawkish Fed gathering, the path of least resistance offers a reprieve from bearishness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Stock Market Indices<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday&#8217;s drama slammed the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) through the floor of the bear market line and confirmed the prior day&#8217;s breakdown below the 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red line below). In turn, the index looked ready to confirm a return to an official bear market. Instead, the S&amp;P 500 rebounded in what looks like a relief rally. The 1.5% bounce closed the S&amp;P 500 right on top of its 50DMA. Further buying from here would confirm a reprieve from bearish pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SP-500-SPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SP-500-SPY.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) rebounded 1.5% off the bear market line and right into 50DMA resistance.\" class=\"wp-image-62447\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 (SPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SP-500-SPY.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SP-500-SPY-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) rebounded 1.5% off the bear market line and right into 50DMA resistance.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-5e6b19ed wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><mark style=\"background-color:#0693e3\" class=\"has-inline-color has-white-color\">Subscribe to this blog for FREE!<\/mark><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) confirmed its 50DMA breakdown at the end of last week. Today&#8217;s 1.5% bounce barely closed the tech-laden index above last week&#8217;s close. Buyers still have work ahead to challenge overhead 50DMA resistance. The upside to this challenge is the prospect for a path of least resistance pointing higher. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ (COMPQ) jumped 1.5% and looks safe for now from a retest of the October\/November lows.\" class=\"wp-image-62448\" title=\"NASDAQ (COMPQ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-NASDAQ-COMPQ-768x362.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) jumped 1.5% and looks safe for now from a retest of the October\/November lows.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) also has work ahead after a 1.7% rebound. A rendezvous with the pre-pandemic high looks postponed for now as the path of least resistance points toward a test of converging resistance from the 20DMA (the dotted line below) and the 50DMA.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1057\" height=\"497\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\" alt=\"The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) jumped 1.7% and looks set to challenge converged 20 and 50DMA resistance.\" class=\"wp-image-62449\" title=\"iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png 1057w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-768x361.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1057px) 100vw, 1057px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) jumped 1.7% and looks set to challenge converged 20 and 50DMA resistance.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"stock-market-volatility\"><strong>Stock Market Volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The volatility index (VIX) continues to confound me. The VIX closed flat on Monday despite selling in the market. The VIX was actually up on the day for a bit despite Tuesday&#8217;s continued selling. Today&#8217;s 6.5% plunge in the VIX seems extreme given the relative levels of the indices. Yet, this renewed weakness and breakdown in the VIX has me the most convinced that the path of least resistance points upward for stocks for now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The VIX neatly closed at the critical 20 level, so the move from here is a critical test for the path of least resistance. Granted, the long awaited <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/11\/30\/stocks-rush-back-to-overbought-despite-powells-fresh-inflation-fighting-warnings-the-market-breadth\/\">breakdown below 20 that started December&#8217;s trading followed a big fakeout for the buyers and bulls<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-volatility-index-VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1055\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-volatility-index-VIX.png\" alt=\"The volatility index (VIX) broke down again and suddenly looks ready to resume its prior downtrend.\" class=\"wp-image-62450\" title=\"volatility index (VIX)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-volatility-index-VIX.png 1055w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-volatility-index-VIX-768x363.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1055px) 100vw, 1055px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The volatility index (VIX) broke down again and suddenly looks ready to resume its prior downtrend.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-short-term-trading-call-with-a-promising-divergence\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700\"><strong>The Short-Term Trading Call With the Path of Least Resistance<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>AT50<\/strong> (MMFI) = 46.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AT200<\/strong> (MMTH) = 39.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short-term Trading Call<\/strong>: cautiously bearish<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\">AT50<\/a> (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50DMAs, fell to a 6-week low last week. My favorite technical indicator almost reached a 2-month low to start the week. AT50 closed below the 40% level which is when I start to think about the market being &#8220;oversold enough.&#8221; I had little time to think as Tuesday&#8217;s trading delivered a kind of bullish divergence. AT50 gained 1.5 percentage points despite the post-yen selling in the stock market. AT50 looks ready for a rest from a near 3-week decline. I ALMOST switched the short-term trading call into neutral, but I decided to leave it unchanged to keep myself ready to fade this rally by early January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) confirmed the launch of a relief rally. AUD\/JPY incredibly plunged 4.1% in the wake of the yen&#8217;s surge; the currency pair was even down 5.1% at one point. Such a move is very extreme in the currency market. Given the distance from the lower Bollinger Band (BB), <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4565624-bank-of-japan-stays-dovish-markets-brace-monetary-tightening\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">I expected to see a relief bounce<\/a>. I&#8217;ve already flipped AUD\/JPY once playing this bounce. Earlier, I happened to profit from a substantial short position in place ahead of Tuesday&#8217;s plunge given <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/16\/santa-rally-denied-fed-stays-naughty-the-market-breadth\/\">my bearishness about AUD\/JPY&#8217;s setup<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1061\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY.png\" alt=\"The Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUD\/JPY) is following the path of least resistance as a rebound from an extreme plunge.\" class=\"wp-image-62451\" title=\"Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUDJPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY.png 1061w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY-768x361.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1061px) 100vw, 1061px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUD\/JPY) is following the path of least resistance as a rebound from an extreme plunge.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The extremely positive reaction to earnings from Nike, Inc (NKE) may have helped the mood in the stock market. NKE held a 12.2% gain and a major breakout despite a late fade from intraday highs. While NKE now looks ready to fade back to 200DMA support, this setup looks bullish for the stock.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Nike-Inc.-NKE.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"501\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Nike-Inc.-NKE.png\" alt=\"Despite a late fade from the highs, Nike, Inc. (NKE) held a post-earnings breakout to a 4-month closing high.\" class=\"wp-image-62458\" title=\"Nike, Inc. (NKE)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Nike-Inc.-NKE.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Nike-Inc.-NKE-768x363.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Despite a late fade from the highs, Nike, Inc. (NKE) held a post-earnings breakout to a 4-month closing high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Okta, Inc. (OKTA) benefited from the market&#8217;s good mood. The stock initially dropped down to its 20DMA after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bleepingcomputer.com\/news\/security\/oktas-source-code-stolen-after-github-repositories-hacked\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">news of theft of source code<\/a>. The rebound from there was picture-perfect and set OKTA up for more gains along the path of least resistance. Of course, the downtrending 200DMA looms overhead as resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Okta-Inc.-OKTA.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1057\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Okta-Inc.-OKTA.png\" alt=\"Okta, Inc. (OKTA) rebounded perfectly from uptrending 20DMA support.\" class=\"wp-image-62456\" title=\"Okta, Inc. (OKTA)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Okta-Inc.-OKTA.png 1057w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Okta-Inc.-OKTA-768x365.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1057px) 100vw, 1057px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Okta, Inc. (OKTA) rebounded perfectly from uptrending 20DMA support.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I will be watching the SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (XRT) closely as a walk up the path of least resistance unfolds. While NKE is not <a href=\"https:\/\/swingtradebot.com\/equities\/XRT\/etf-components\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a component of XRT<\/a>, NKE&#8217;s surge likely exerted a strong psychological pull on XRT. XRT is also a perfect stock for a late attempt to revive the prospects for a Santa rally. I will put a pause on my bearishness long enough to buy into XRT on follow-through buying. My profit target would be overhead 50DMA resistance. Note how the day&#8217;s 2.2% gain created a kind of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/b\/bullish-abandoned-baby.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">abandoned baby bottom<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SPDR-SP-Retail-ETF-XRT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SPDR-SP-Retail-ETF-XRT.png\" alt=\"The SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (XRT) created an abandoned baby bottom with its 2.2% gain.\" class=\"wp-image-62455\" title=\"SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (XRT)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SPDR-SP-Retail-ETF-XRT.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-SPDR-SP-Retail-ETF-XRT-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (XRT) created an abandoned baby bottom with its 2.2% gain.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I made a follow-up case for Moderna, Inc (MRNA) <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/07\/07\/stock-chart-reviews-bear-market-green-shoots\/\">back in July<\/a>.  Last week, this mRNA vaccine platform company delivered with <a href=\"https:\/\/investors.modernatx.com\/news\/news-details\/2022\/Moderna-and-Merck-Announce-mRNA-4157V940-an-Investigational-Personalized-mRNA-Cancer-Vaccine-in-Combination-with-KEYTRUDAR-pembrolizumab-Met-Primary-Efficacy-Endpoint-in-Phase-2b-KEYNOTE-942-Trial\/default.aspx#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">news of progress on a cancer vaccine.<\/a> I decided to take profits there with MRNA trading to an 11-month high. Profits in this market are hard to come by, and I wanted to lock these in. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MRNA is still a buy on the dips. The company represents part of an important future for vaccines. At <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/MRNA\/key-statistics?p=MRNA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">4x sales and 4x trailing earnings<\/a>, MRNA is actually reasonably priced in this bearish market that punishes rich valuations.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Moderna-Inc.-MRNA.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"501\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Moderna-Inc.-MRNA.png\" alt=\"Progress on a cancer vaccine pushed Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) to an 11-month high.\" class=\"wp-image-62454\" title=\"Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Moderna-Inc.-MRNA.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-Moderna-Inc.-MRNA-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Progress on a cancer vaccine pushed Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) to an 11-month high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT50-MMFI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1055\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT50-MMFI.png\" alt=\"AT50 (MMFI) made an important rebound from the high 30s%.\" class=\"wp-image-62452\" title=\"AT50 (MMFI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT50-MMFI.png 1055w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT50-MMFI-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1055px) 100vw, 1055px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT50 (MMFI) made an important rebound from the high 30s%.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT200-MMTH.png\" alt=\"AT200 (MMTH) bounced perfectly off an uptrend line.\" class=\"wp-image-62453\" title=\"AT200 (MMTH)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT200-MMTH.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/122122-AT200-MMTH-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT200 (MMTH) bounced perfectly off an uptrend line.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"footnotes\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Above the 50&#8221; (AT50) uses the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs) to measure breadth in the stock market. Breadth defines the distribution of participation in a rally or sell-off. As a result, AT50 identifies extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. Above the 50 is my alternative name for &#8220;MMFI&#8221; which is a symbol TradingView.com and other chart vendors use for this breadth indicator. Learn more about AT50 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">Market Breadth Resource Page<\/a>. AT200, or MMTH, measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Active AT50 (MMFI) periods:<\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>Day #47 over 20%, Day #43 over 30%, Day #2 over 40% (overperiod), Day #5 under 50% (underperiod), Day #11 under 60%, Day #13 under 70%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for charts unless otherwise noted: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full disclosure:<\/strong>  long IWM calendar put spread, long SPY calendar call spread, long QQQ put spread, long BBY<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Charting notes: Stock prices are not adjusted for dividends. Candlestick charts use hollow bodies: open candles indicate a close higher than the open, filled candles indicate an open higher than the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Commentary: Yesterday&#8217;s surge in the Japanese yen (FXY) may have exhausted enough sellers to clear the path for some holiday cheer in the stock market. Suddenly, the market seemed to transition from the heavy burdens of a stubbornly hawkish Fed to the alluring hopes from a lack of (scheduled) negative catalysts for the &#8230; <a title=\"A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve &#8211; The Market Breadth\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/21\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":62471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[584,20,300,219,512,338,1311,62,1],"tags":[1820,2832,772,2201,2218,909,2464,2465,413,1012,1013,1967,3166,65,327,362,303,931,282],"class_list":["post-62444","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bollinger-band","category-forex","category-health-care","category-high-tech","category-resistance","category-retail","category-software","category-technical-analysis","category-uncategorized","tag-at200","tag-at50","tag-audjpy","tag-compq","tag-ishares-russell-2000-etf","tag-iwm","tag-moderna","tag-mrna","tag-nasdaq","tag-nike","tag-nke","tag-okta","tag-okta-inc","tag-sp-500","tag-spdr-sp-retail-etf","tag-spy","tag-vix","tag-volatility-index","tag-xrt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve - The Market Breadth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Without any significant economic releases or another hawkish Fed gathering, the path of least resistance offers a reprieve from bearishness.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/21\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Without any significant economic releases or another hawkish Fed gathering, the path of least resistance offers a reprieve from bearishness.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/12\/21\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-22T02:19:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-22T08:03:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/path-of-least-resistance.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve - The Market Breadth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Without any significant economic releases or another hawkish Fed gathering, the path of least resistance offers a reprieve from bearishness.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/path-of-least-resistance.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/21\\\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/21\\\/path-of-least-resistance-offers-reprieve-the-market-breadth\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr. Duru\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0\"},\"headline\":\"A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve &#8211; 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