{"id":62109,"date":"2022-11-30T16:43:23","date_gmt":"2022-12-01T00:43:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=62109"},"modified":"2022-12-01T01:32:53","modified_gmt":"2022-12-01T09:32:53","slug":"stocks-rush-back-to-overbought-despite-powells-fresh-inflation-fighting-warnings-the-market-breadth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/11\/30\/stocks-rush-back-to-overbought-despite-powells-fresh-inflation-fighting-warnings-the-market-breadth\/","title":{"rendered":"Stocks Rush Back to Overbought Despite Powell&#8217;s Fresh Inflation-Fighting Warnings &#8211; The Market Breadth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stock Market Commentary<\/strong>: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Social unrest from fresh COVID lockdowns in China are already a distant memory for the U.S. stock market. Just as quickly as <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/11\/28\/another-bearish-failure-at-overbought-levels-the-market-breadth\/\">the stock market bearishly failed once again to hold overbought trading conditions<\/a>, market breadth flipped the script to surge and rush back to overbought. Buyers and bulls celebrated a speech from Jerome Powell that, to me, <a href=\"https:\/\/inflationwatch.wordpress.com\/2022\/12\/01\/stock-market-loves-powell-moving-from-keep-at-it-to-stay-the-course-on-fighting-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">seemed as hawkish as ever and contained almost no new information<\/a>. By ignoring Powell&#8217;s fresh inflation-fighting warnings, buyers seemed to focus on the small possibility that the Fed will cut rates sooner than expected next year. Expectations for peak rates remain the same. Accordingly, I am highly skeptical of this rally and very wary. Yet, I will not let the fundamentals get in the way of the technicals in this moment. All over again, the stock market seems ready to ride seasonal tailwinds at least until the Fed&#8217;s December 14th release on monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Stock Market Indices<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) started the day tentatively with a flat open and slight slip to the previous day&#8217;s intraday low. Powell&#8217;s speech quickly transformed the tenor of trading. Buyers and bulls created a rush back to overhead 200-day moving average (DMA) (the blue line below) resistance. The excitement did not stop there. The dust settled with the S&amp;P 500 closing with a 3.1% gain and a double breakout above the 200DMA and the important May, 2021 low. The 2 1\/2 month high also brought the index ever closer to finishing a reversal of the <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/08\/26\/bears-push-bulls-down-the-jackson-hole-the-market-breadth\/\">accumulated losses that started from Powell&#8217;s terse inflation-fighting warning at Jackson Hole in late August<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SP-500-SPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1057\" height=\"496\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SP-500-SPY.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) soared 3.1% and broke through two key resistance levels: the May, 2021 low and the 200DMA.\" class=\"wp-image-62115\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 (SPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SP-500-SPY.png 1057w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SP-500-SPY-768x360.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1057px) 100vw, 1057px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) soared 3.1% and broke through two key resistance levels: the May, 2021 low and the 200DMA.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-5e6b19ed wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><mark style=\"background-color:#0693e3\" class=\"has-inline-color has-white-color\">Subscribe to this blog for FREE!<\/mark><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) out-performed the S&amp;P 500 with a 4.4% surge. The tech-laden index convincingly confirmed 20DMA and 50DMA support with a 2-month high. The NASDAQ once again has an open path to challenging 200DMA resistance for the first time in 8 months. I pressed my luck with my QQQ put spread all the way into the initial reaction to Powell&#8217;s speech. As soon as I saw stocks start to move up in response, I salvaged my remaining tiny profit on the position. Given I interpreted Powell&#8217;s speech much differently from the market, I did not turn around and buy anything. (In fact, shortly after I finished watching <a href=\"https:\/\/inflationwatch.wordpress.com\/2022\/12\/01\/stock-market-loves-powell-moving-from-keep-at-it-to-stay-the-course-on-fighting-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Powell&#8217;s session at the Brookings Institution<\/a>, I went to the gym and did not bother checking the market until after the close!).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1061\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ (COMPQ) surged 4.4% and closed at a 2-month high. Support at the 50DMA finally looks confirmed.\" class=\"wp-image-62117\" title=\"NASDAQ (COMPQ)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-NASDAQ-COMPQ.png 1061w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-NASDAQ-COMPQ-768x361.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1061px) 100vw, 1061px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The NASDAQ (COMPQ) surged 4.4% and closed at a 2-month high. Support at the 50DMA finally looks confirmed.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) moved from the edge of confirming 200DMA resistance to a fresh 200DMA breakout. Unlike the S&amp;P 500, the ETF of small caps cleared enough hurdles to reach a new multi-month high. Accordingly, the jury is still out on whether IWM is ready to challenge its bear market line.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png\" alt=\"The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) soared 2.74% and both confirmed 20DMA support and freshly broke out above 200DMA resistance.\" class=\"wp-image-62118\" title=\"iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-Russell-2000-ETF-IWM-768x362.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) soared 2.74% and both confirmed 20DMA support and freshly broke out above 200DMA resistance.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"stock-market-volatility\"><strong>Stock Market Volatility<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The volatility index (VIX) finally showed some real strength to start this week. However, the day&#8217;s 6.1% pullback kept the VIX trapped in its current downtrend. Surprisingly, the key 20 level did not give way. I will be watching these developments even more closely as an indicator of the health of the new overbought period.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-volatility-index-VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1059\" height=\"498\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-volatility-index-VIX.png\" alt=\"The volatility index (VIX) somehow avoided breaking last week's low. A proper test of the key 20 level remains elusive.\" class=\"wp-image-62119\" title=\"volatility index (VIX)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-volatility-index-VIX.png 1059w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-volatility-index-VIX-768x361.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1059px) 100vw, 1059px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The volatility index (VIX) somehow avoided breaking last week&#8217;s low. A proper test of the key 20 level remains elusive.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-short-term-trading-call-with-a-promising-divergence\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700\"><strong>The Short-Term Trading Call On A Rush Back<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>AT50<\/strong> (MMFI) = 73.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (first overbought day)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AT200<\/strong> (MMTH) = 47.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short-term Trading Call<\/strong>: neutral<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\">AT50<\/a> (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50DMAs, rebounded sharply to close at a 3-month high. My favorite technical indicator moved ahead of the S&amp;P 500 in reversing its accumulated losses from Powell&#8217;s admonishment at Jackson Hole. The stock market is in its 4th overbought period in under 3 weeks. This churn has caused me to flip my assessment of the stock market more than I like. This time, I upgraded from cautiously bearish to neutral given the strength of the rally. As I have discussed previously, I never <strong>change <\/strong>to bullish (or bearish) at the start of an overbought period. As long as the market avoids a convincing breakdown below the overbought threshold of 70%, I will remain neutral. Still, I am skeptical of this rally and unlikely to add to short-term bullish positions. One important exception is <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/11\/30\/as-respite-from-rising-rates-housing-market-review\/\">my launch of the seasonal trade on home builders<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I enjoyed a return to performance of my handful of call option positions left over from my bullish period when I expected seasonal tailwinds to benefit the market going into year-end. While I escaped whole with my QQQ put spread, I had started to slowly pick at put options (spreads) on individual stocks. Now THOSE positions are partial hedges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) is still ominously hovering over the stock market. AUD\/JPY rallied along with the U.S. stock market but quickly reversed after the close. Accordingly, I am still on watch for a confirmed 200DMA breakdown which will signal poor tidings for the stock market. Conversely, a 50DMA breakout would support a more sustained stay in overbought conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1060\" height=\"506\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY.png\" alt=\"The Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUD\/JPY) is not yet confirming the fresh bullishness in the stock market.\" class=\"wp-image-62120\" title=\"Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUD\/JPY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY.png 1060w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Australian-Dollar-Japanese-Yen-AUDJPY-768x367.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1060px) 100vw, 1060px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUD\/JPY) is not yet confirming the fresh bullishness in the stock market.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/11\/28\/another-bearish-failure-at-overbought-levels-the-market-breadth\/\">my previous Market Breadth post<\/a>, I missed a contrary bullish sign from the trading in Chinese stocks. While U.S. stocks despaired over new COVID lockdowns in China, Chinese stocks held firm on Monday. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) held 50DMA support and soared the next day by 5.1%. That was an early sign that the U.S. stock market might itch for any excuse to break out. FXI soared again on the day by 4.9%. Apparently, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/economy\/chinese-stocks-rally-on-hints-of-authorities-commitment-to-reopening-2953290\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">small hints and changes in COVID policy by the Chinese government<\/a> have been sufficient to ignite this rush back to Chinese stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-China-Large-Cap-ETF-FXI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1058\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-China-Large-Cap-ETF-FXI.png\" alt=\"The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) started the party a day earlier with a convincing confirmation of 50DMA support. FXI traded much higher well ahead of Powell.\" class=\"wp-image-62123\" title=\"iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-China-Large-Cap-ETF-FXI.png 1058w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-iShares-China-Large-Cap-ETF-FXI-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1058px) 100vw, 1058px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) started the party a day earlier with a convincing confirmation of 50DMA support. FXI traded much higher well ahead of Powell.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Soaring iron prices were another sign I missed that market conditions in China were moving opposite the dire headlines about social unrest. Diversified commodities producer BHP Group Limited jumped 3.1% on Tuesday and closed Wednesday at prices last seen in early June. <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/07\/04\/stock-chart-reviews-bear-market-of-crushed-gems-false-hopes\/\">I made the case in July to buy weakness in BHP<\/a>. As with home builders, I make exceptions for commodities plays when it comes to the general technical condition of the stock market. (The chart below is from the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-BHP-GROUP-LTD-BHP.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-BHP-GROUP-LTD-BHP.png\" alt=\"BHP Group LTD (BHP) soared 3.3% as it continues to ride the tailwinds of a recovery in the price of iron ore.\" class=\"wp-image-62125\" title=\"BHP GROUP LTD (BHP)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-BHP-GROUP-LTD-BHP.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-BHP-GROUP-LTD-BHP-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>BHP Group LTD (BHP) soared 3.3% as it continues to ride the tailwinds of a recovery in the price of iron ore.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Perhaps no retail stock symbolizes holiday cheer better than electronics purveyor Best Buy (BBY). Despite <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/news\/3910617-best-buy-still-viewed-cautiously-on-the-street-despite-post-earnings-pop\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">earnings results that generated analyst skepticism<\/a>, BBY soared 12.8% after its report. Buyers have barely looked back since. BBY confirmed a bullish 200DMA breakout and closed at a 6-month high. BBY is a buy on the dip from here as long as 200DMA support holds.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Best-Buy-Co.-Inc.-BBY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Best-Buy-Co.-Inc.-BBY.png\" alt=\"Defying dour expectations for retail, Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) confirmed a 200DMA breakout after a 12.8% post-earnings surge.\" class=\"wp-image-62124\" title=\"Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Best-Buy-Co.-Inc.-BBY.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-Best-Buy-Co.-Inc.-BBY-768x363.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Defying dour expectations for retail, Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) confirmed a 200DMA breakout after a 12.8% post-earnings surge.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I have not paid attention to financials during the rebound off the October lows. Quietly and surely, the SPDR Select Sector Fund &#8211; Financial (XLF) has churned its way higher, guided by an uptrending 20DMA. In a bizarrely abrupt move, XLF touched 20DMA support for the first time in a month and then quickly reversed to a 7-month high. The rally looks ready to resume.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SPDR-Select-Sector-Fund-XLF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SPDR-Select-Sector-Fund-XLF.png\" alt=\"The SPDR Select Sector Fund - Financial (XLF) moved from a test of 20DMA support to a 7-month closing high.\" class=\"wp-image-62126\" title=\"SPDR Select Sector Fund - Financial (XLF)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SPDR-Select-Sector-Fund-XLF.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-SPDR-Select-Sector-Fund-XLF-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The SPDR Select Sector Fund &#8211; Financial (XLF) moved from a test of 20DMA support to a 7-month closing high.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT50-MMFI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1055\" height=\"498\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT50-MMFI.png\" alt=\"The AT50 (MMFI) made a more convincing move into overbought trading conditions.\" class=\"wp-image-62121\" title=\"AT50 (MMFI)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT50-MMFI.png 1055w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT50-MMFI-768x363.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1055px) 100vw, 1055px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>The AT50 (MMFI) made a more convincing move into overbought trading conditions.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1056\" height=\"497\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT200-MMTH.png\" alt=\"AT200 (MMTH) flipped the script and soared to its third highest close of the year.\" class=\"wp-image-62122\" title=\"AT200 (MMTH)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT200-MMTH.png 1056w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/113022-AT200-MMTH-768x361.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>AT200 (MMTH) flipped the script and soared to its third highest close of the year.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"footnotes\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Above the 50&#8221; (AT50) uses the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs) to measure breadth in the stock market. Breadth defines the distribution of participation in a rally or sell-off. As a result, AT50 identifies extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. Above the 50 is my alternative name for &#8220;MMFI&#8221; which is a symbol TradingView.com and other chart vendors use for this breadth indicator. Learn more about AT50 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">Market Breadth Resource Page<\/a>. AT200, or MMTH, measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Active AT50 (MMFI) periods:<\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>Day #32 over 20%, Day #28 over 30%, Day #26 over 40%, Day #14 over 50%, Day #14 over 60%, Day #1 over 70% (1st overbought day ending 3 days under 70%)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source for charts unless otherwise noted: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full disclosure:<\/strong>  long IWM calendar call spread, short IWM put spread, long SPY calendar call spread, long BHP, long BBY shares and short a call option<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Charting notes: Stock prices are not adjusted for dividends. Candlestick charts use hollow bodies: open candles indicate a close higher than the open, filled candles indicate an open higher than the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market Commentary: Social unrest from fresh COVID lockdowns in China are already a distant memory for the U.S. stock market. Just as quickly as the stock market bearishly failed once again to hold overbought trading conditions, market breadth flipped the script to surge and rush back to overbought. Buyers and bulls celebrated a speech &#8230; <a title=\"Stocks Rush Back to Overbought Despite Powell&#8217;s Fresh Inflation-Fighting Warnings &#8211; The Market Breadth\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2022\/11\/30\/stocks-rush-back-to-overbought-despite-powells-fresh-inflation-fighting-warnings-the-market-breadth\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":62144,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[482,4,199,548,20,490,338,511,62],"tags":[1820,2832,772,721,720,631,2397,2201,935,3159,2218,909,413,65,362,2303,303,931],"class_list":["post-62109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breakout","category-china","category-commodities","category-financials","category-forex","category-overbought","category-retail","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-at200","tag-at50","tag-audjpy","tag-bby","tag-best-buy","tag-bhp","tag-bhp-group-limited","tag-compq","tag-fxi","tag-ishares-china-large-cap-etf","tag-ishares-russell-2000-etf","tag-iwm","tag-nasdaq","tag-sp-500","tag-spy","tag-trading-call-change","tag-vix","tag-volatility-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Stocks Rush Back to Overbought Despite Powell&#039;s Fresh Inflation-Fighting Warnings - The Market Breadth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Market breadth flipped the script to surge and rush back to overbought. 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