{"id":6010,"date":"2011-07-11T04:35:08","date_gmt":"2011-07-11T08:35:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=6010"},"modified":"2011-07-11T04:35:28","modified_gmt":"2011-07-11T08:35:28","slug":"british-pound-quiet-sell-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/07\/11\/british-pound-quiet-sell-off\/","title":{"rendered":"The British Pound&#8217;s &#8220;Quiet&#8221; Sell-Off Continues Nearly Unabated"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/278758-the-british-pound-s-quiet-sell-off-continues-nearly-unabated\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Almost a month ago, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bankofengland.co.uk\/publications\/speeches\/2011\/speech504.pdf\">Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor\u2019s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House<\/a>, and I wrote afterward that <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/16\/king-reason-for-bearish-on-pound\/\">the speech reminded me of almost every reason why I remain bearish on the British pound<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;the pound is teetering on the edge of a major breakdown against the U.S. dollar. For most of 2011, the pound has held 1.590-1.595 or so as support, but that support looks ready to break soon.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6012\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6012\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPUSD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPUSD.jpg\" alt=\"The pound looks ready to break down against the U.S. dollar\" title=\"The pound looks ready to break down against the U.S. dollar\" width=\"525\" height=\"348\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6012\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPUSD.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPUSD-300x198.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6012\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The pound looks ready to break down against the U.S. dollar<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;While so much focus and attention has spotlighted the persistent and likely future weakness of the U.S. dollar, the British pound has &#8220;quietly&#8221; but surely tried to poke ahead of the U.S. in the race to the bottom of &#8220;the currency wars.&#8221; Indeed, the British pound is looking more and more like it could be the currency of choice to fund carry trades.<\/p>\n<p>I have scaled some charts of the pound against major currencies going back to the early 1990s to demonstrate the historic nature of the pound&#8217;s nearly unabated decline:<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6020\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6020\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPAUD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPAUD.jpg\" alt=\"A historic decline against the Australian dollar\" title=\"A historic decline against the Australian dollar\" width=\"525\" height=\"347\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6020\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPAUD.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPAUD-300x198.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6020\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A historic decline against the Australian dollar<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6021\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6021\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPvsCHFJPY.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPvsCHFJPY.jpg\" alt=\"GBP\/JPY scale is on the left, GBP\/CHF is on the right. Either way you look at it, the pound looks to go even lower in both currency pairs\" title=\"GBP\/JPY scale is on the left, GBP\/CHF is on the right. Either way you look at it, the pound looks to go even lower in both currency pairs\" width=\"525\" height=\"326\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6021\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPvsCHFJPY.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_GBPvsCHFJPY-300x186.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6021\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">GBP\/JPY scale is on the left, GBP\/CHF is on the right. Either way you look at it, the pound looks to go even lower in both currency pairs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_6023\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-6023\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_EURGBP.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_EURGBP.jpg\" alt=\"Some British have expressed relief that the U.K. did not join the euro, but the euro is essentially stronger than ever against the pound!\" title=\"Some British have expressed relief that the U.K. did not join the euro, but the euro is essentially stronger than ever against the pound!\" width=\"525\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6023\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_EURGBP.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/110710_EURGBP-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-6023\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Some British have expressed relief that the U.K. did not join the euro, but the euro is essentially stronger than ever against the pound!<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>In trading the pound&#8217;s behavior, I have taken an approach of &#8220;gradualism&#8221; that involves both trend and counter-trend plays&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/278758-the-british-pound-s-quiet-sell-off-continues-nearly-unabated\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short GBP\/CHF, long GBP\/USD, short EUR\/GBP<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Almost a month ago, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor\u2019s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House, and I wrote afterward that the &#8230; <a title=\"The British Pound&#8217;s &#8220;Quiet&#8221; Sell-Off Continues Nearly Unabated\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/07\/11\/british-pound-quiet-sell-off\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,20,62,21,237],"tags":[128,26,276,627,127,592,628,626,384,1591],"class_list":["post-6010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","category-united-kingdom","tag-british-pound","tag-currency","tag-currencyshares-british-pound-sterling-trust","tag-eurgbp","tag-fxb","tag-gbpaud","tag-gbpchf","tag-gbpjpy","tag-gbpusd","tag-u-s-dollar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The British Pound&#039;s &quot;Quiet&quot; Sell-Off Continues Nearly Unabated - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/07\/11\/british-pound-quiet-sell-off\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The British Pound&#039;s &quot;Quiet&quot; Sell-Off Continues Nearly Unabated - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. 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