{"id":57762,"date":"2021-09-17T00:56:55","date_gmt":"2021-09-17T07:56:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=57762"},"modified":"2021-09-17T00:56:59","modified_gmt":"2021-09-17T07:56:59","slug":"apple-a-stock-perched-on-a-line-dividing-rally-from-churn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/09\/17\/apple-a-stock-perched-on-a-line-dividing-rally-from-churn\/","title":{"rendered":"Apple: A Stock Perched On A Line Dividing Rally From Churn"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Apple Dividing Rally from Churn<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/09\/12\/apples-big-loss-is-the-stock-markets-loss\/\">latest cycle of the Apple Trading Model<\/a> (ATM) happened between a legal setback for Apple and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.apple.com\/newsroom\/2021\/09\/apple-unveils-iphone-13-pro-and-iphone-13-pro-max-more-pro-than-ever-before\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a product launch event<\/a>. The week began somewhat hopeful with a small gain. Sellers ended the prospects for the Apple trade by fading the product announcement with a 1.0% loss and a close right on top of support at the 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red line below). Sellers twice more tried to close out AAPL with a 50DMA breakdown. However each day buyers stepped in to prevent triggering a bearish signal. Accordingly, this stalemate leaves AAPL perched on a line dividing a recharged rally from a return to churn. The strong trading volume accompanying this trading seems to confirm high stakes. A breakdown from current levels puts AAPL at risk for an eventual retest of 200DMA support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2652\" height=\"1710\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc.png\" alt=\"Apple (AAPL) has spent the last three trading days hugging its 50DMA with consecutive rebounds off intraday lows.\" class=\"wp-image-57763\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc.png 2652w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc-768x495.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc-1536x990.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc-2048x1321.png 2048w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/210916_AAPL_Apple-Inc-1320x851.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2652px) 100vw, 2652px\" \/><\/a><figcaption><strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/lzkA6ScL\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Apple<\/a> (AAPL) has spent the last three trading days hugging its 50DMA with consecutive rebounds off intraday lows.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The AAPL chart includes additional features of importance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Sellers completely reversed AAPL&#8217;s last breakout.<\/li><li>The line defining the breakout above the January peak supported a loose trading range from July to August.<\/li><li>A confirmed 50DMA breakdown could quickly test support from the previous breakout.<\/li><li>A further breakdown puts AAPL at risk of retesting 200DMA support.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>As a reminder, I only activate the Apple Trading Model when the stock trades above its 50DMA. The current marginal closes above the 50DMA are insufficient. In fact, I am content to wait for AAPL to close above its 20DMA before reactivating the Apple Trading Model. Trading above the 20DMA should confirm a recharged rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Zynga (ZNGA) Sidenote<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After Apple lost a key provision in the Epic Games lawsuit over the Apple Store, <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/09\/12\/apples-big-loss-is-the-stock-markets-loss\/\">a range of app software companies popped on the news<\/a>. In general, that excitement is already over. For Zynga (ZNGA), maker of my favorite app game Words with Friends (<a href=\"https:\/\/words2.page.link\/J5Jj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">take me on @DrDuru<\/a>!), the thrill lasted for just a day. ZNGA jumped 6.3%, and sellers took over from there. The stock even tested its post-earnings lows from August when <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4445841-zynga-earnings-reopening-pain-is-temporary\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the company disappointed investors<\/a> with news of game delays, revenue hits from Apple&#8217;s privacy efforts on IDFA, and tough comps confirming the pandemic-related headwinds are fading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a fanboy, I am actually keen to buy back into ZNGA at some point. The current lows are also testing November lows, so a breakdown from here could easily send the stock to $7 or lower. I am a &#8220;bargain shopper&#8221; at those levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/SdDh5IFV\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/SdDh5IFV\/\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><figcaption><strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/SdDh5IFV\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Zynga<\/a> (ZNGA) seems trapped in a very wide and long trading range.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apple Dividing Rally from Churn The latest cycle of the Apple Trading Model (ATM) happened between a legal setback for Apple and a product launch event. The week began somewhat hopeful with a small gain. Sellers ended the prospects for the Apple trade by fading the product announcement with a 1.0% loss and a close &#8230; <a title=\"Apple: A Stock Perched On A Line Dividing Rally From Churn\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/09\/17\/apple-a-stock-perched-on-a-line-dividing-rally-from-churn\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":57763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1576,219,511,62,1210],"tags":[250,534,1418,1528,916,917],"class_list":["post-57762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-entertainment","category-high-tech","category-support","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-model","tag-aapl","tag-apple-inc","tag-apple-trading-model","tag-atm","tag-znga","tag-zynga"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Apple: A Stock Perched On A Line Dividing Rally From Churn<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A stalemate leaves AAPL perched on a line dividing a recharged rally from a return to churn. 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