{"id":57564,"date":"2021-08-18T20:01:45","date_gmt":"2021-08-19T03:01:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=57564"},"modified":"2021-08-18T20:16:41","modified_gmt":"2021-08-19T03:16:41","slug":"audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"The AUD\/JPY Divergence Dragging on the Stock Market"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/17\/breakdown-expanding-underneath-stock-market\/\">Deteriorating market breadth flashed warning signs for the stock market<\/a> once again. A signal from the currency market is adding weight to the warning: the Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY). AUD\/JPY represents the divergence dragging on the stock market. AUD\/JPY topped out from March to June, a period over which many individual stocks in the stock market also topped out. Subsequently, a 2-month downtrend has unfolded with only brief impacts to the bullish upward charge in the S&amp;P 500. AUD\/JPY last closed exactly where it started the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2652\" height=\"1710\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar vs Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) topped out over the span of 3 months. A 50DMA breakdown and confirmed 200DMA resistance add to the bearish weight of the currency pair.\" class=\"wp-image-57566\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY.png 2652w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-768x495.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-1536x990.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-2048x1321.png 2048w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-1320x851.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2652px) 100vw, 2652px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>The Australian dollar vs Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) topped out over the span of 3 months. A 50DMA breakdown and confirmed 200DMA resistance add to the bearish weight of the currency pair. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/4ABIjm5Y\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TradingView<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>I write a lot about <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/13\/why-australian-dollar-japanese-yen-matter-for-stock-traders\/\">the importance of AUD\/JPY to traders<\/a>. Indeed, the direct correlation between AUD\/JPY and the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) has been as strong as ever since the pandemic. However, AUD\/JPY and the S&amp;P 500 parted ways starting in mid-June. The divergence has widened week after week ever since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2652\" height=\"1676\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY.png\" alt=\"AUD\/JPY vs SPY has diverged for two months in an ominous sign for the stock market.\" class=\"wp-image-57565\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY.png 2652w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY-768x485.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY-1536x971.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY-2048x1294.png 2048w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY-1320x834.png 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2652px) 100vw, 2652px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>AUD\/JPY vs SPY has diverged for two months in an ominous sign for the stock market. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/nTeYtiAp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TradingView<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>If <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\">AT50<\/a> (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs), were not already so low (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/XC0vSp8p\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">34.5% at the time of writing<\/a>), I would make a bearish call on the stock market. Instead, <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/15\/fresh-spark-for-industrials-and-little-else\/\">I recently downgraded my outlook to neutral<\/a>. This downgrade from bullishness means I keep a shorter leash on bullish trades. Moreover, I am unenthusiastic about buying new longs except in very select and solid cases. An oversold reading on the stock market exits me from neutral and back to bullish. Oversold trading conditions occur when AT50 closes below 21%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: short AUD\/JPY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deteriorating market breadth flashed warning signs for the stock market once again. A signal from the currency market is adding weight to the warning: the Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY). AUD\/JPY represents the divergence dragging on the stock market. AUD\/JPY topped out from March to June, a period over which many individual stocks &#8230; <a title=\"The AUD\/JPY Divergence Dragging on the Stock Market\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,20,997,62,1210],"tags":[2832,772,310,968,138,2833,65,362],"class_list":["post-57564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakdown","category-forex","category-sp-500-analysis","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-model","tag-at50","tag-audjpy","tag-australian-dollar","tag-correlation","tag-japanese-yen","tag-mmfi","tag-sp-500","tag-spy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The AUD\/JPY Divergence Dragging on the Stock Market<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AUD\/JPY represents the divergence dragging on the stock market. 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AUD\/JPY topped out March to June and a 2-month downtrend signals a warning.","twitter_image":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY-vs-SPY.png","twitter_creator":"@drduru","twitter_site":"@drduru","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Dr. Duru","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr. Duru","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#\/schema\/person\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0"},"headline":"The AUD\/JPY Divergence Dragging on the Stock Market","datePublished":"2021-08-19T03:01:45+00:00","dateModified":"2021-08-19T03:16:41+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/"},"wordCount":315,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#\/schema\/person\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY.png","keywords":["AT50","AUD\/JPY","Australian dollar","correlation","Japanese yen","MMFI","S&amp;P 500","SPY"],"articleSection":["Breakdown","Forex","S&amp;P 500 Analysis","Technical Analysis","Trading Model"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/","url":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/","name":"The AUD\/JPY Divergence Dragging on the Stock Market","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY.png","datePublished":"2021-08-19T03:01:45+00:00","dateModified":"2021-08-19T03:16:41+00:00","description":"AUD\/JPY represents the divergence dragging on the stock market. AUD\/JPY topped out March to June and a 2-month downtrend signals a warning.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/210818_AUDJPY.png","width":2652,"height":1710,"caption":"The Australian dollar vs Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) topped out over the span of 3 months. A 50DMA breakdown and confirmed 200DMA resistance add to the bearish weight of the currency pair."},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2021\/08\/18\/audjpy-divergence-dragging-on-the-stock-market\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The AUD\/JPY Divergence Dragging on the Stock Market"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#website","url":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/","name":"ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets","description":"Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#\/schema\/person\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":["Person","Organization"],"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#\/schema\/person\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0","name":"Dr. Duru","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg","url":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg","width":900,"height":100,"caption":"Dr. Duru"},"logo":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg"},"sameAs":["http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/onetwentytwo","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/","https:\/\/x.com\/drduru"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57564","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57564"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57564\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57571,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57564\/revisions\/57571"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}