{"id":5685,"date":"2011-06-21T20:30:33","date_gmt":"2011-06-22T00:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=5685"},"modified":"2011-06-21T20:59:19","modified_gmt":"2011-06-22T00:59:19","slug":"t2108-update-110621","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/21\/t2108-update-110621\/","title":{"rendered":"T2108 Update &#8211; June 21, 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/T2108.htm\">T2108 Resource Page<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p><strong>T2108 Status<\/strong>: 33% and neutral.<br \/>\n<strong>VIX Status<\/strong>: 20; completely erased all gains from the oversold period.<br \/>\n<strong>General (Short-term) Trading Call<\/strong>: Hold (or lock in some profits to allow you the comfort to continue holding remaining trading longs until they test some natural line of resistance).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Commentary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Now TODAY was the kind of oversold bounce I was looking for!<\/p>\n<p>T2108 jumped to 33% as the S&#038;P launched higher by 1.3%. Not only is the index now at two-week highs in a blink, but also the volatility index has lost all its gains from the two-day oversold period. A trader can now can get a wee bit more comfortable that a lasting bottom is in place (meaning the bias switches to buying on dips rather than shorting on rallies and NOT that the recent lows will never be broken again).<\/p>\n<p>This whole trip into and out from the oversold period was also a great reminder of why executing to rules rather than to emotion is so important. The market felt <strong>awful<\/strong> during those two oversold days, yet, here we are now with a 4-day rally well in place that has essentially wiped out most traces of that oversold period. (Recall that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/1007_TradeTheOversoldBounce.pdf\">56% of all oversold periods lasting only 1-2 days<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>Key to my slight increase in optimism is that Apple (AAPL) finally woke up. AAPL gained an impressive 3% on the day and helped the NASDAQ gain 2.2%. AAPL still must prove itself as it closed just under the all-important 200-day moving average. Moreover, the overall downtrend in the S&#038;P 500 is still intact and a declining 50DMA looms about 2% overhead. So, the bias is back in favor of the bulls, but there is little room for celebrating yet.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_5691\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5691\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110621_SP500.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110621_SP500.jpg\" alt=\"Support for the S&amp;P 500 looks obvious in retrospect but an oversold T2108 helped us to stand firm there\" title=\"Support for the S&amp;P 500 looks obvious in retrospect but an oversold T2108 helped us to stand firm there\" width=\"525\" height=\"467\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5691\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110621_SP500.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110621_SP500-300x266.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-5691\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Support for the S&P 500 looks obvious in retrospect but an oversold T2108 helped us to stand firm there<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<em>Charts below are the <strong>latest<\/strong> snapshots of T2108 (and the S&#038;P 500)<\/em><br \/>\nRefresh browser if the charts are the same as the last T2108 update.<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>Daily T2108 vs the S&#038;P 500<\/strong><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-daily_s.jpg\" width=\"525\" height=\"356\" alt=\"T2108 vs. the S&#038;P 500 (DAILY)\" title=\"T2108 vs. the S&#038;P 500 (DAILY)\"><\/p>\n<p>Black line: T2108 (measured on the right); Red line: S&#038;P 500 (for comparative purposes)<br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<strong>Weekly T2108<\/strong><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-weekly_s.jpg\" width=\"525\" height=\"354\" alt=\"Weekly T2108\" title=\"Weekly T2108\"><br \/>\n*<strong>All charts created using TeleChart:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/Content\/Banners\/images\/88x31.gif\"><\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related links:<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/T2108.htm\">The T2108 Resource Page<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-daily.jpg\">Expanded daily chart of T2108 versus the S&#038;P 500<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-weekly.jpg\">Expanded weekly chart of T2108 <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long SSO puts, long AAPL calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 33% and neutral. VIX Status: 20; completely erased all gains from the oversold period. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold (or lock in some profits to allow you the comfort &#8230; <a title=\"T2108 Update &#8211; June 21, 2011\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/21\/t2108-update-110621\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[135,62],"tags":[250,534,65,226,1597],"class_list":["post-5685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-market-trading","category-technical-analysis","tag-aapl","tag-apple-inc","tag-sp-500","tag-t2108","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>T2108 Update - June 21, 2011 - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/21\/t2108-update-110621\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T2108 Update - June 21, 2011 - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 33% and neutral. VIX Status: 20; completely erased all gains from the oversold period. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold (or lock in some profits to allow you the comfort ... Read more\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/21\/t2108-update-110621\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-06-22T00:30:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2011-06-22T00:59:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110621_SP500.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@drduru\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr. Duru\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2011\\\/06\\\/21\\\/t2108-update-110621\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/2011\\\/06\\\/21\\\/t2108-update-110621\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr. Duru\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/drduru.com\\\/onetwentytwo\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0\"},\"headline\":\"T2108 Update &#8211; 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