{"id":55466,"date":"2020-12-21T00:59:19","date_gmt":"2020-12-21T08:59:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=55466"},"modified":"2020-12-21T19:12:58","modified_gmt":"2020-12-22T03:12:58","slug":"more-virulent-strain-threatens-to-dampen-market-cheer-new-us-pandemic-relief-measures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/12\/21\/more-virulent-strain-threatens-to-dampen-market-cheer-new-us-pandemic-relief-measures\/","title":{"rendered":"More Virulent Strain Threatens to Dampen Market Cheer for U.S. Pandemic Relief"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">European stocks set to open lower amid jitters over new coronavirus strain <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8bnYdGvuRA\">https:\/\/t.co\/8bnYdGvuRA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/1340920492027469824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 21, 2020<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Conditions rapidly changed since <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/12\/20\/t2108-update-extended-overbought-rally-moves-into-historic-territory\/\">my last Above the 40<\/a> post describing the historic territory for overbought conditions. Bad and good news headlines are battling for mindspace where a new more virulent strain of coronavirus threatens to undercut what could have been market cheer from the new pandemic relief in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Distress from a New Strain<\/strong> vs New Pandemic Relief<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From Europe, a new coronavirus strain in the UK triggered a rapid quarantining of the United Kingdom (UK) from the rest of Europe. European stock markets are dropping, and the U.S. dollar is gaining rapidly against the British pound (EUR\/GBP) and the euro (EUR\/USD).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/pNqXSEGB\/\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption><strong><em>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/pNqXSEGB\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Euro Stoxx 50 Index<\/a> suddenly gapped down to a 2.1% loss and counting.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/AuUhHQhK\/\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption><strong><em>The euro is soaring against the British pound (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/AuUhHQhK\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">EUR\/GBP<\/a>) even as both currencies drop against the U.S. dollar.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the U.S., Democrats and Republicans finally came to an agreement on a coronavirus relief bill to send to Congress for approval. The dueling parties also barely averted a government shutdown with a fresh spending bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>So far, the negative news is understandably winning. This new coronavirus strain is a reminder that the pandemic may yet throw the planet into fresh loops, expense and misery before global populations get to sufficient immunity levels from the vaccinations that launched last week. A drop in the Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) tells me <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/13\/why-australian-dollar-japanese-yen-matter-for-stock-traders\/\">everything I need to know<\/a> about the likely weak start for pre-Christmas trading in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/gn0AMyjB\/\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption><em><strong>The Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/gn0AMyjB\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AUD\/JPY<\/a>) gapped down and seems ready to reverse the surge from December 10th.<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Trade<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Being the contrarian, I consider the rapid drop in the British pound as a short-term buying opportunity. The rush to sell looks like a quick trigger reaction greased by the latest deadlock in Brexit negotiations. Trading in the British pound has been very choppy for almost a month. I am also looking to accumulate fresh short positions against the U.S. dollar across a range of currencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/Ocraz5eh\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/Ocraz5eh\/\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><figcaption><strong><em>The British pound versus the U.S. dollar (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/Ocraz5eh\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">GBP\/USD<\/a>) gapped down erased a week of gains and counting.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long GBP\/USD, short GBP\/JPY, long EUR\/USD, long AUD\/USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Conditions rapidly changed since my last Above the 40 post describing the historic territory for overbought conditions. Bad and good news headlines are battling for mindspace where a new more virulent strain of coronavirus threatens to undercut what could have been market cheer from the new pandemic relief in the U.S. Distress from a New &#8230; <a title=\"More Virulent Strain Threatens to Dampen Market Cheer for U.S. Pandemic Relief\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/12\/21\/more-virulent-strain-threatens-to-dampen-market-cheer-new-us-pandemic-relief-measures\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[794,20,21,237],"tags":[772,128,2301,627,376,2607,384,2393],"class_list":["post-55466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-europe","category-forex","category-u-s-dollar","category-united-kingdom","tag-audjpy","tag-british-pound","tag-coronavirus","tag-eurgbp","tag-eurusd","tag-euro-stoxx-50-index","tag-gbpusd","tag-pandemic"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>More Virulent Strain Threatens to Dampen Market Cheer for U.S. Pandemic Relief<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A more virulent 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