{"id":5434,"date":"2011-06-13T19:13:29","date_gmt":"2011-06-13T23:13:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=5434"},"modified":"2011-06-13T19:13:29","modified_gmt":"2011-06-13T23:13:29","slug":"rare-test-for-apple","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/13\/rare-test-for-apple\/","title":{"rendered":"A Rare and Important Test for Apple&#8217;s Recently Underperforming Stock"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/274562-a-rare-and-important-test-for-apple-s-recently-underperforming-stock\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/04\/16\/apple-teeters-on-support\/\">I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher<\/a> despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. I assumed the break upward would occur after a post-earnings &#8220;disappointment&#8221; and swoon. Instead, traders did not wait for earnings to punch the stock through support levels and then bounce it right back up. The action <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/04\/19\/did-apple-start-next-sprint\/\">prompted me to guess that the sprint higher was already underway ahead of earnings<\/a>. By the time the post earnings reaction came, AAPL closed 2.4% higher (April 21) and has been selling off ever since &#8211; surprising, even with <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/08\/t2107-flashes-bearish-warning\/\">the stock market looking increasingly bearish overall<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>My biggest surprise came with the mostly negative reaction to what appeared to be another blockbuster technology splash by Apple last week&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_5454\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5454\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110610_AAPL.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110610_AAPL.jpg\" alt=\"A rare test for Apple&#039;s stock at the 200DMA\" title=\"A rare test for Apple&#039;s stock at the 200DMA\" width=\"525\" height=\"468\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5454\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110610_AAPL.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/110610_AAPL-300x267.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-5454\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A rare test for Apple's stock at the 200DMA<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n*<strong>Chart created using <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\">TeleChart<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Presumably, it would take a large amount of misinterpretation to account fully for AAPL&#8217;s recent underperformance relative to the NASDAQ last week&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;It is as if investors and traders are signaling some deep skepticism in future earnings estimates. Indeed, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2011-06-05\/technology-stocks-cheapest-since-1998-as-linkedin-ipo-spurs-bubble-worries.html\">Bloomberg recently reported that valuations in technology stocks last sunk to these levels in 1998<\/a> &#8211; Apple is in good company&#8230;<br \/>\n{snip}<\/p>\n<p>This sobering context suggests that instead of Apple suffering some company-specific malaise of under-appreciation, Apple is trapped in a larger, bearish mosaic. The upcoming test of support and the 200 DMA could be this sell-off&#8217;s most watched moment with large implications for the (near-term) direction of technology stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/274562-a-rare-and-important-test-for-apple-s-recently-underperforming-stock\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long AAPL call, long CSCO, short AMZN<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. &#8230; <a title=\"A Rare and Important Test for Apple&#8217;s Recently Underperforming Stock\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/13\/rare-test-for-apple\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[393,219,511,62],"tags":[250,397,398,534,254,255,590,589,416,417,1597],"class_list":["post-5434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyst-coverage","category-high-tech","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-aapl","tag-amazon","tag-amzn","tag-apple-inc","tag-cisco","tag-csco","tag-hewlett-packard","tag-hpq","tag-microsoft","tag-msft","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Rare and Important Test for Apple&#039;s Recently Underperforming Stock - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/06\/13\/rare-test-for-apple\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Rare and Important Test for Apple&#039;s Recently Underperforming Stock - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. 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