{"id":53856,"date":"2020-07-26T22:15:59","date_gmt":"2020-07-27T05:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=53856"},"modified":"2020-08-02T16:03:41","modified_gmt":"2020-08-02T23:03:41","slug":"bitcoin-one-more-bet-continued-us-dollar-breakdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/26\/bitcoin-one-more-bet-continued-us-dollar-breakdown\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: One More Bet On A Continued U.S. Dollar Breakdown"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The U.S. Dollar Index Breaks Down<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. dollar broke down last week. The weekly chart below shows the U.S. dollar index (DXY) closed last week at a near 2-year low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200724_DXY-US-dollar-index.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"774\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200724_DXY-US-dollar-index.png\" alt=\"The recent breakdown of the U.S. dollar index confirmed a double-top. The pandemic-driven test of the 2016\/2017 high was sharp and short.\" class=\"wp-image-53859\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200724_DXY-US-dollar-index.png 1200w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200724_DXY-US-dollar-index-768x495.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>The recent breakdown of the U.S. dollar index confirmed a double-top. The pandemic-driven test of the 2016\/2017 high was sharp and short.<br><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/IrXvBTDN\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TradingView.com<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/22\/canadian-dollar-gdp-covid-19-advantage-over-us-dollar\/\">Numerous anti-dollar bets are gaining fast<\/a> thanks to the U.S. dollar&#8217;s breakdown. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is joining the party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bitcoin joins the anti-dollar party<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The rumblings began on July 21st when Bitcoin surged into its 50-day moving average (DMA). On that same day, the U.S. dollar index sold off and closed just above its March low. BTC\/USD broke out the next day and created the first buy signal. I decided to forgo that signal given 1) two earlier false 50DMA breakouts, and 2) in late May I locked in my last trading profits to <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/05\/24\/bitcoin-latest-price-failures-plant-me-on-sidelines\/\">sit on the sidelines and await a higher bar of proof<\/a> with a $10K breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"774\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is surging through a long overdue breakout of the $10,000 level.\" class=\"wp-image-53863\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin.png 1200w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin-768x495.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is surging through a long overdue breakout of the $10,000 level.<br><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/A1nGqxpV\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TradingView.com<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>The $10K breakout came over the weekend. The 15-minute chart below shows an initial surge that brought in the first wave of momentum chasers. A pullback to the $9850 level became solid support for the next launch through $10,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin-15-minute.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"774\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin-15-minute.png\" alt=\"The 15-minute chart of Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) shows the anatomy of the current $10,000 breakout and the on-going break through the $10,300 level.\" class=\"wp-image-53864\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin-15-minute.png 1200w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200726_BTCUSD-Bitcoin-15-minute-768x495.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>The 15-minute chart of Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) shows the anatomy of the current $10,000 breakout and the on-going break through the $10,300 level.<br><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/Oi7985ME\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TradingView.com<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Trade<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I pulled the trigger on the pullback from the $10,300 level. The latest breakout took BTC\/USD above the June 1st intraday high and false breakout. The next proof point sits at $10,500 where BTC\/USD topped out just ahead of the pandemic-driven collapse in financial markets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am back in Bitcoin with the house&#8217;s money, so I am content to watch the action from here until the next entry point appears. Unless Bitcoin plunges to offer a new super-discount (say a reversal of the April, 2020 breakout at $7500), I anticipate joining the momentum chasers after a confirmed $10,500 breakout. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am also keeping an eye on <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/30\/how-to-use-google-trend-momentum-check-with-bitcoin-prices\/\">the Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC)<\/a> for signs of a blow-off run-up (a time to take profits if it happens). So far, Google searches for &#8220;Bitcoin&#8221; are sticking close to their recent languid patterns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long BTC\/USD<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. Dollar Index Breaks Down The U.S. dollar broke down last week. The weekly chart below shows the U.S. dollar index (DXY) closed last week at a near 2-year low. Numerous anti-dollar bets are gaining fast thanks to the U.S. dollar&#8217;s breakdown. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is joining the party. Bitcoin joins the anti-dollar &#8230; <a title=\"Bitcoin: One More Bet On A Continued U.S. Dollar Breakdown\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/26\/bitcoin-one-more-bet-continued-us-dollar-breakdown\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53863,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,482,1974,20,511,62,21,1],"tags":[602,2187,2049,1838],"class_list":["post-53856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breakdown","category-breakout","category-cryptocurrency-forex","category-forex","category-support","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","category-uncategorized","tag-bitcoin","tag-btcusd","tag-dxy","tag-u-s-dollar-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: One More Bet On A Continued U.S. Dollar Breakdown - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/26\/bitcoin-one-more-bet-continued-us-dollar-breakdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin: One More Bet On A Continued U.S. Dollar Breakdown - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The U.S. Dollar Index Breaks Down The U.S. dollar broke down last week. The weekly chart below shows the U.S. dollar index (DXY) closed last week at a near 2-year low. Numerous anti-dollar bets are gaining fast thanks to the U.S. dollar&#8217;s breakdown. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is joining the party. Bitcoin joins the anti-dollar ... 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The weekly chart below shows the U.S. dollar index (DXY) closed last week at a near 2-year low. Numerous anti-dollar bets are gaining fast thanks to the U.S. dollar&#8217;s breakdown. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is joining the party. Bitcoin joins the anti-dollar ... 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