{"id":53571,"date":"2020-07-03T23:16:30","date_gmt":"2020-07-04T06:16:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=53571"},"modified":"2020-07-03T23:16:32","modified_gmt":"2020-07-04T06:16:32","slug":"hibbett-sports-stock-bullish-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/03\/hibbett-sports-stock-bullish-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Hibbett Sports: Anatomy of A Stock&#8217;s Bullish Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>On June 25th, call options in sportings goods retailer Hibbett Sports (HIBB) sprang to life. At the time, around 1500 October $22.50 calls traded versus 0 open interest. On June 29th, open interest climbed above 2500. For context, HIBB options are sparsely traded. The second highest open interest sits with the  Jan 15 &#8217;21 calls at 2000 calls. The third highest count is 843 with the July 20 calls. The open interest in August call AND put options totals 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the time of accumulation in the October $22.50 calls, HIBB was stuck in a 1-month trading range that started with its earnings report on May 26th. The closing price on that day carved out the bottom of the trading range. For a month afterward, HIBB pivoted around its 200-day moving average (DMA). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On July 2nd, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/analyst-ratings\/analyst-color\/20\/07\/16488874\/bofa-upgrades-hibbett-sports-on-retailers-pandemic-positioning\" target=\"_blank\">an analyst upgrade<\/a> provided HIBB a breakthrough. The stock surged 10.6% and delivered a clean breakout above and away from its 200DMA pivot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/200702_HIBB-Hibbet-Sports.png\" alt=\"Hibbett Sports (HIBB) jumped 10.6% and broke out above its 1-month consolidation range which pivoted around its 200DMA.\" class=\"wp-image-53569\"\/><figcaption>Hibbett Sports (HIBB) jumped 10.6% and broke out above its 1-month consolidation range which pivoted around its 200DMA.<br><strong>Source: FreeStockCharts<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The anatomy of this breakout consists of call option accumulation supporting a bullish thesis combined with a high-volume bout of buying that sent price well above a solid consolidation phase. The stock looks like it is well-supported by investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fresh momentum is also supported by the bullish note from a Bank of America analyst. The analyst delivered a decisive upgrade from underperform and a $10 price target to buy and a $30 price target. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/analyst-ratings\/analyst-color\/20\/07\/16488874\/bofa-upgrades-hibbett-sports-on-retailers-pandemic-positioning\" target=\"_blank\">According to Benzinga<\/a>, the analyst cited strength in Hibbett Sports&#8217; omnichannel sales as a catalyst fr the upgrade. Digital sales are of course extremely important in this period of a coronavirus pandemic and associated changes in consumer behavior and access to stores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Trade<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I see at least two potential trades here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The simplest trade is just to buy the stock and ride it toward or to the $30 price target. The stop loss point is below the 50DMA which is currently at $18.28. A move this low could even be bearish given it would break below the recent price consolidation and confirm a repudiation of the bullish analyst call.<\/li><li>A more conservative, yet bullish, trade is a covered call position: sell short a call for each 100 shares purchased. The October $22.50 calls look like a perfect target given they seem to have the most liquidity. The $4.19 closing price locks in 56% of the presumed upside from the analyst call and delivers significant price protection all the way to the 50DMA. A stop loss can be executed at a lower price. This position is profitable even if the stock goes nowhere for the next three and a half months to the October expiration.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I personally prefer the covered call option. While breakouts are bullish buying opportunities, I think the go-forward price action is subject to a lot of churn with the stock market and individual stocks like HIBB already so far above the March lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On June 25th, call options in sportings goods retailer Hibbett Sports (HIBB) sprang to life. At the time, around 1500 October $22.50 calls traded versus 0 open interest. On June 29th, open interest climbed above 2500. For context, HIBB options are sparsely traded. The second highest open interest sits with the Jan 15 &#8217;21 calls &#8230; <a title=\"Hibbett Sports: Anatomy of A Stock&#8217;s Bullish Breakout\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/03\/hibbett-sports-stock-bullish-breakout\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[393,482,32,338,62],"tags":[1951,2444],"class_list":["post-53571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyst-coverage","category-breakout","category-options","category-retail","category-technical-analysis","tag-hibb","tag-hibbett-sports"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hibbett Sports: Anatomy of A Stock&#039;s Bullish Breakout - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/07\/03\/hibbett-sports-stock-bullish-breakout\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hibbett Sports: Anatomy of A Stock&#039;s Bullish Breakout - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On June 25th, call options in sportings goods retailer Hibbett Sports (HIBB) sprang to life. 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