{"id":53299,"date":"2020-06-07T20:55:20","date_gmt":"2020-06-08T03:55:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=53299"},"modified":"2020-06-07T20:55:24","modified_gmt":"2020-06-08T03:55:24","slug":"boeing-stock-goes-parabolic-can-it-still-fly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/06\/07\/boeing-stock-goes-parabolic-can-it-still-fly\/","title":{"rendered":"Boeing: Stock Goes Parabolic – Can It Still Fly?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

It was just over two weeks ago when I said these now fateful words<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Technically, BA is not interesting until it breaks out above its last peak of $180. Of course by then the stock will likely look \u201cexpensive\u201d and look like a high-risk trade. It will be easier to buy BA on the next dip to support like the previous April to May downtrend.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Boeing (BA) took flight last week as part of a market-wide rush for catch-up trades<\/a>. The move was so swift I did not even have time to think about the implications of the stock breaking out above the critical $180 level on Thursday – much less even notice the move. For the week, Boeing’s stock gained 40.9%. Friday’s 11.5% gain was the third straight close above the upper Bollinger Band (BB). The buying was powerful enough to bend the upper-BB into a parabolic curve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Boeing<\/a>
Boeing (BA) went parabolic and closed out the week with a 3-month gain. Friday’s 11.5% gain came after the stock traded as high as 16.0%.
Source: TradingView.com<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Now that the stock for Boeing has gone parabolic, can it still fly? I am skeptical because Friday’s trade created a classic “evening star<\/a>” type pattern that marks tops. Evening stars mark a point of likely buyer exhaustion at the end of a strong rally. In this case, the stock closed where it opened despite trading much higher – the first sign of potential exhaustion. The trading volume on Friday of 99.8M shares set a new daily record and surpassed the volume surges of the previous two trading days. Such buying is not sustainable during a parabolic move. There is only so much money willing to continue chasing a stock to ever higher levels in a very short span of time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The evening star pattern provides a key test for the stock. If sellers close the stock below Friday’s intraday low ($197.36), they punch a confirmation of the topping pattern. The topping pattern is even more convincing if the stock gaps down on the next trading day. If buyers instead close the stock out at a higher close, then the bullish momentum remains intact (amazingly enough). Limbo lies between these two conditions. If Boeing’s stock takes a rest in limbo, it can provide the constructive consolidation (aka rest period) that can provide firm support for the next level higher. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I am not interested in trading Boeing either way at the moment, but I think of the stock as a key tell for the catch-up trades taking flight in the stock market right now. Over a longer horizon, I like the potential for a firm base forming above the now uptrending 50DMA. I am a definitive buyer on a successful test of that support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For more details on the dangers of parabolic moves in asset prices see, for example, “Hard Lessons Of Parabolic Price Action: When Bonds Became Unsafe<\/a> or review my “parabolic<\/a>” tag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It was just over two weeks ago when I said these now fateful words: “Technically, BA is not interesting until it breaks out above its last peak of $180. Of course by then the stock will likely look \u201cexpensive\u201d and look like a high-risk trade. It will be easier to buy BA on the next … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[584,62,518],"tags":[2031,2032,1816],"class_list":["post-53299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bollinger-band","category-technical-analysis","category-transportation","tag-ba","tag-boeing","tag-parabolic"],"yoast_head":"\nBoeing: Stock Goes Parabolic - Can It Still Fly? - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/06\/07\/boeing-stock-goes-parabolic-can-it-still-fly\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Boeing: Stock Goes Parabolic - Can It Still Fly? - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It was just over two weeks ago when I said these now fateful words: “Technically, BA is not interesting until it breaks out above its last peak of $180. Of course by then the stock will likely look \u201cexpensive\u201d and look like a high-risk trade. It will be easier to buy BA on the next ... 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