{"id":52118,"date":"2020-03-16T21:56:43","date_gmt":"2020-03-17T04:56:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=52118"},"modified":"2020-03-17T01:05:10","modified_gmt":"2020-03-17T08:05:10","slug":"the-day-the-stock-market-lost-apple","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/16\/the-day-the-stock-market-lost-apple\/","title":{"rendered":"The Day the Stock Market Lost Apple"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>&#8220;Looking for one of the 4% of stocks still trading above their respective 200DMAs? Apple (AAPL) is one of those lucky few. If sellers break AAPL, I foresee two binary possibilities: 1) buyers will finally see enough bargains to go on a buying spree, or 2) buyers give up all hope and the resulting rush to lock in remaining profits in AAPL ignites a fresh wave of selling in the stock market. Regardless of the outcome, I still see AAPL staying stuck in a trading range with its 50DMA as the cap.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>This quote was <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"my claim (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/13\/t2108-update-200312\/\" target=\"_blank\">my claim<\/a> as the stock market crash slammed into a bear market. There is of course no necessary connection between AAPL&#8217;s behavior and the rest of the stock market, but I am noting a potential psychological connection. Apple is a revered brand, and the stock has remained relatively resilient. AAPL is down 26.0% from its all-time high set on February 12, 2020 while the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) is down 29.5% from its all-time high on February 19, 2020. However, today the stock market lost AAPL. The stock lost 12.9% and closed below its uptrending 200DMA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200316_AAPL.png\" alt=\"Apple (AAPL) lost 12.9% and broke its 200DMA for the first time during the market collapse.\" class=\"wp-image-52120\"\/><figcaption>Apple (AAPL) lost 12.9% and broke its 200DMA for the first time during the market collapse.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember when on February 17th <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Apple warned that its results would be impacted by the coronavirus in China (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.apple.com\/newsroom\/2020\/02\/investor-update-on-quarterly-guidance\/\" target=\"_blank\">Apple warned that its financial results would be impacted by the coronavirus in China<\/a>? the news seems like an eternity ago. The day after that news, AAPL gapped down 3.0% and buyers stepped right in to close the stock with just a 1.8% loss on the day.  The very next day buyers nearly finished closing the gap. That moment perhaps symbolizes the peak of complacency in the stock market at the time; it is a complacency that is now hard to believe, much less remember. The stock market has completely flipped to an all-out panic over the coronavirus and the resulting economic calamity being caused in an effort to contain the virus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<center><iframe width=560 height=349 src=https:\/\/player.cnbc.com\/p\/gZWlPC\/cnbc_global?playertype=synd&#038;byGuid=7000122697 frameborder=0 scrolling=no allowfullscreen webkitallowfullscreen mozallowfullscreen oallowfullscreen msallowfullscreen ><\/iframe><\/center><br>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>AAPL&#8217;s resilience was also notable because AT200, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200-day moving averages (DMAs), plunged in a straight line while AAPL slowly tipped over. Today (March 16, 2020), AT200 closed at just 2.8%, a level last seen during the front-end of the financial crisis. This is what a market collapse looks like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200316_T2107.png\" alt=\"AT200 (T2107) plunged to a new 11 1\/2 year low.\" class=\"wp-image-52119\"\/><figcaption>AT200 (T2107) plunged to a new 11 1\/2 year low.<br><strong>Source of charts: FreeStockCharts<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In my last post on <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/14\/t2108-update-200313\/\">trading this stock market<\/a>, I eagerly noted I would buy the market down to S&amp;P 500 (SPY) at 2600. Within hours of that post, the stock market suffered its THIRD crash in this sell-off as futures imploded after <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/16\/central-bank-unease-fed-caps-week-of-emergency-actions-as-markets-panic\/\">another emergency measure from the Federal Reserve<\/a>. The S&amp;P 500 opened the next day at 2508 and rallied as high as 2563 before ending the day with a 12.0% loss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200316_SP500.png\" alt=\"A rolling crash in the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) has taken the index nearly straight down for three weeks.\" class=\"wp-image-52124\"\/><figcaption>A rolling crash in the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) has taken the index nearly straight down for three weeks.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>I am trying to change my rules as fast the market forces the issue. Now I have 2600 as a critical line below which I am very wary about buying and above which buyers can convince me they are ready to defend a bottom in the stock market. In the meantime, AAPL is my wildcard. If the stock can relocate 200DMA support with TWO closes above that trendline, I suddenly will get a lot more interested almost no matter what else is happening at the time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>{Trading side note, I have had some success buying AAPL calls on a down open and flipping them on the next intraday rally. In coming posts, I may discuss focusing more and more on AAPL trades instead of broadening the risk profile}<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long SSO, short AAPL put spread<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Looking for one of the 4% of stocks still trading above their respective 200DMAs? Apple (AAPL) is one of those lucky few. If sellers break AAPL, I foresee two binary possibilities: 1) buyers will finally see enough bargains to go on a buying spree, or 2) buyers give up all hope and the resulting rush &#8230; <a title=\"The Day the Stock Market Lost Apple\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/16\/the-day-the-stock-market-lost-apple\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":52120,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,219,62],"tags":[250,534,1820,713,65,362,225],"class_list":["post-52118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breakdown","category-high-tech","category-technical-analysis","tag-aapl","tag-apple-inc","tag-at200","tag-jim-cramer","tag-sp-500","tag-spy","tag-t2107"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Day the Stock Market Lost Apple - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/16\/the-day-the-stock-market-lost-apple\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Day the Stock Market Lost Apple - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;Looking for one of the 4% of stocks still trading above their respective 200DMAs? Apple (AAPL) is one of those lucky few. If sellers break AAPL, I foresee two binary possibilities: 1) buyers will finally see enough bargains to go on a buying spree, or 2) buyers give up all hope and the resulting rush ... 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