{"id":51889,"date":"2020-03-06T22:48:18","date_gmt":"2020-03-07T06:48:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=51889"},"modified":"2020-03-06T22:59:16","modified_gmt":"2020-03-07T06:59:16","slug":"the-time-bitcoin-failed-to-work","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/06\/the-time-bitcoin-failed-to-work\/","title":{"rendered":"The Time Bitcoin Failed to Work"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>If there were ever a time for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to soar, the Coronavirus-inspired sell-off in global financial markets should be that time. The cryptocurrency increased 6.7% this week, but that gain did not even finish reversing the last big down day on February 26th when <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/02\/27\/t2108-update-200226\/\">the U.S. stock market dropped into oversold territory<\/a>. BTCUSD is even still down 15% from the last peak which printed just ahead of <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/02\/15\/t2108-update-200214\/\">the all-time high of the S&amp;P 500 (SPY)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2640\" height=\"1766\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_BTCUSD.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTCUSD) increased about 6.7% for the week but remains well off the last peak around 10,700\" class=\"wp-image-51890\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_BTCUSD.png 2640w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_BTCUSD-768x514.png 768w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_BTCUSD-1536x1027.png 1536w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_BTCUSD-2048x1370.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2640px) 100vw, 2640px\" \/><figcaption>Bitcoin (BTCUSD) increased about 6.7% for the week but remains well off the last peak around 10,700<br><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/nHUjYVTB\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"TradingView.com (opens in a new tab)\">TradingView.com<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin promises to provide a bulwark against fiat currencies and the accompanying instabilities in financial markets. This week&#8217;s rise could be interpreted as confirmation given the U.S. Federal Reserve slashed its interest rate with the promise of more to come. However, the previous week the S&amp;P 500 suffered an 11.5% plunge and BTC\/USD performed even WORSE with a 14.5% plunge. Moreover, Bitcoin&#8217;s bottom corresponded to <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/01\/t2108-update-200228\/\">the bottoming in the S&amp;P 500<\/a>.  In other words, during this episode of volatility, angst, and more easy fiat money, Bitcoin is not providing the promised buffer. This failure particularly stands out given all the <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/02\/16\/bitcoin-trading-note-for-breakouts-10k-halving\/\">bullish reasons offered for Bitcoin&#8217;s previous breakout above $10,000<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>The Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC) confirms the general lack of incremental interest in Bitcoin. Throughout the the twists and turns and volatility, searches for &#8220;Bitcoin&#8221; have languished in a small range. I confirmed each of the top countries in search interest and the U.S. showed similarly tepid search patterns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"580\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin.png\" alt=\"Google Trends for Bitcoin show tepid interest in the cryptocurrency.\" class=\"wp-image-51891\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin.png 800w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/200306_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin-768x557.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption>Google Trends for Bitcoin show tepid interest in the cryptocurrency.<br><strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?date=today%203-m&amp;q=bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Trends (opens in a new tab)\">Google Trends<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>This recent failure further convinces me that looking for reasons to explain short-term rallies, and sometimes sell-offs, in Bitcoin are of little use. The technicals, including the GTMC, are sufficient sources of explanation. Longer-term the lofty aspirations of crypto ascendency provide underlying price support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/02\/16\/bitcoin-trading-note-for-breakouts-10k-halving\/\">my previous post on Bitcoin<\/a>, I offered up 8250 as a critical support level. Bitcoin almost dropped that far. As planned, I accumulated a fresh tranche of BTC\/USD on the way down. Now I await the next breakout surge in the the GTMC to announce fresh upside potential in Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long BTCUSD<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If there were ever a time for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to soar, the Coronavirus-inspired sell-off in global financial markets should be that time. The cryptocurrency increased 6.7% this week, but that gain did not even finish reversing the last big down day on February 26th when the U.S. stock market dropped into oversold territory. BTCUSD is &#8230; <a title=\"The Time Bitcoin Failed to Work\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/06\/the-time-bitcoin-failed-to-work\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1974],"tags":[602,1958,2222,2223],"class_list":["post-51889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cryptocurrency-forex","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc-usd","tag-google-trends-momentum-check","tag-gtmc"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Time Bitcoin Failed to Work - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2020\/03\/06\/the-time-bitcoin-failed-to-work\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Time Bitcoin Failed to Work - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If there were ever a time for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to soar, the Coronavirus-inspired sell-off in global financial markets should be that time. The cryptocurrency increased 6.7% this week, but that gain did not even finish reversing the last big down day on February 26th when the U.S. stock market dropped into oversold territory. BTCUSD is ... 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