{"id":5115,"date":"2011-05-23T13:57:09","date_gmt":"2011-05-23T17:57:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=5115"},"modified":"2011-05-23T13:57:09","modified_gmt":"2011-05-23T17:57:09","slug":"solar-debt-ok-shorts-ramp-earnings-disappoint","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/05\/23\/solar-debt-ok-shorts-ramp-earnings-disappoint\/","title":{"rendered":"Solar’s Debt-to-Equity Ratios Remain OK but Shorts Ramp as Disappointing Earnings Mount"},"content":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an EXTENSIVE article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Just when you thought solar earnings could not disappoint the market any further…{snip}…LDK provided a pre-announcement that contained the news that the company canceled a debt offering because interest rates are higher than expected. This news demonstrates the bond market’s potential waning confidence, and I am guessing this translated quickly to lower confidence for equity holders…<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

The chart below shows debt-to-equity ratios versus the year-to-date price changes for select solar stocks where bubble size represents the cash\/share as a percentage of price\/share (as of Friday, May 20, 2011). <\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"Many<\/a>
Many solar companies are surprisingly similar in financial health<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

With the growing anticipation of over-capacity in the second half of this year, a bunch of disappointing results, and persistent selling in solar stocks that has accelerated recently as the stock market treads on precarious ground<\/a>, shorts appear to be smelling blood in the water.<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"These<\/a>
These solar stocks have seen some of the most rapid recent increases in short interest<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n

\"While<\/a>
While LDK, STP, and YGE have not changed much in 18 months, they have all seen rapid increases in the past two months<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center>
\n<\/p>\n

You can be excused if you find yourself vehemently disagreeing with the shorts and thinking nothing is fundamentally wrong in the solar sector. First quarter results showed tremendous growth year-over-year in revenues and MW of shipments. Just about every reporting company is sticking by full-year guidance even if first quarter results came in under expectations or second quarter results are expected to be on the low side. All companies remain essentially full-steam ahead on aggressive capacity expansions. <\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

I am holding onto my current solar holdings and looking to add later in the year assuming the cycle-related selling has finally exhausted itself, perhaps by late summer or early fall.<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

…I post some highlights from the earnings announcements and conference calls of several solar companies…<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

(This is an excerpt from an EXTENSIVE article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long SOLR, FSLR, JKS, LDK, JASO, ESLR<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an EXTENSIVE article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Just when you thought solar earnings could not disappoint the market any further…{snip}…LDK provided a pre-announcement that contained the news that the company canceled a debt offering because interest rates are higher than expected. This … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[220,3,135,62],"tags":[569,568,575,551,172,170,564,567,574,11,165,7,565,160,426,167,566,573,475,107,16,174,572,53,13,570,15,571,31,162],"class_list":["post-5115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-solar-energy","category-stock-market-trading","category-technical-analysis","tag-aeis","tag-asti","tag-asys","tag-btui","tag-csiq","tag-csun","tag-dq","tag-dsti","tag-emkr","tag-ener","tag-eslr","tag-fslr","tag-hsol","tag-jaso","tag-jks","tag-ldk","tag-pwer","tag-rsol","tag-satc","tag-sol","tag-solar-stocks","tag-solr","tag-spir","tag-spwra","tag-stp","tag-stri","tag-tsl","tag-west","tag-wfr","tag-yge"],"yoast_head":"\nSolar's Debt-to-Equity Ratios Remain OK but Shorts Ramp as Disappointing Earnings Mount - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/05\/23\/solar-debt-ok-shorts-ramp-earnings-disappoint\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Solar's Debt-to-Equity Ratios Remain OK but Shorts Ramp as Disappointing Earnings Mount - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an EXTENSIVE article I published on Seeking Alpha. 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