{"id":50065,"date":"2019-09-24T02:17:37","date_gmt":"2019-09-24T09:17:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=50065"},"modified":"2019-09-24T02:17:39","modified_gmt":"2019-09-24T09:17:39","slug":"a-concerning-set-of-signals-gold-silver-bonds-currencies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/24\/a-concerning-set-of-signals-gold-silver-bonds-currencies\/","title":{"rendered":"A Concerning Set of Signals: Gold, Silver, Bonds, and Currencies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"economic data continue to worsen in Europe (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/stock-market-momentum-fades-at-the-close-as-investors-wrestle-with-poor-economic-growth-outside-us-2019-09-23?siteid=bigcharts&amp;dist=bigcharts\" target=\"_blank\">economic data continue to worsen in Europe<\/a>. While it is difficult to find signs of concern in U.S. markets, wariness is etched in a few key corners of financial markets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Precious Signals<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Notably, the precious metals gold and silver look ready for a fresh upward push. Gold and silver can perform well in times of worry, and both have soared in recent months. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is up 18.6% year-to-date (compare to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) which is up 19.3% year-to-date). GLD experienced a major breakout starting in early June and barely paused until the most recent peak almost 3 weeks ago. Now GLD looks like it confirmed support for the next run-up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190923_GLD.png\" alt=\"The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) gained fractionally on the day, but the move was enough to confirm a move away from 50DMA support.\" class=\"wp-image-50071\"\/><figcaption>The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) gained fractionally on the day, but the move was enough to confirm a move away from 50DMA support.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>The setup for iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) looks even better. SLV gapped up for a 4.2% gain and suddenly looks ready to challenge its recent high. SLV is up 20.6% year-to-date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190923_SLV.png\" alt=\"The iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) popped 4.2% as the cool-off period from August's sharp run-up looks like it is ending.\" class=\"wp-image-50070\"\/><figcaption>The iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) popped 4.2% as the cool-off period from August&#8217;s sharp run-up looks like it is ending.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bond Signals<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Lower bond yields can also signal investor concerns about the future. Although the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) pulled back on Monday to a flat close, this measure of long-term bond yields looks like it is recovering from the recent pullback and brief 50DMA breakdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190923_TLT.png\" alt=\"The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) recovered quickly from a 50DMA breakdown. TLT closed the day flat after fading from its downtrending 20DMA.\" class=\"wp-image-50069\"\/><figcaption>The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) recovered quickly from a 50DMA breakdown. TLT closed the day flat after fading from its downtrending 20DMA.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Currency Concerns<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The currency market is also back to worrying in the form of a sagging Australian dollar versus the Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY). After confirming the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s recent breakout with its own overdue breakout above 50DMA resistance, AUD\/JPY is sinking again. Last week, AUD\/JPY fell back sharply into a fresh 50DMA breakdown. I like to watch <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/13\/why-australian-dollar-japanese-yen-matter-for-stock-traders\/\">AUD\/JPY as a leading signal of risk appetites<\/a> given how slow the stock market can be in responding to simmering catalysts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1320\" height=\"883\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190924_AUDJPY.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar vs Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) enjoyed just a brief 50DMA breakout and now looks poised to retest recent lows.\" class=\"wp-image-50067\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190924_AUDJPY.png 1320w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190924_AUDJPY-768x514.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1320px) 100vw, 1320px\" \/><figcaption>The Australian dollar vs Japanese yen (AUD\/JPY) enjoyed just a brief 50DMA breakout and now looks poised to retest recent lows.<br><strong>Source: <\/strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"TradingView.com (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/dyUdg4RI\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>TradingView.com<\/strong><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Trade<\/strong>s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>While none of these signals is dramatic enough to flip me bearish from <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/23\/t2108-update-190920\/\">my neutral short-term trading call<\/a>, I am keen to trade the reviving uptrends in GLD, SLV, and TLT. I maintain core positions in GLD and SLV shares. On Monday, I belatedly started accumulating call options in SLV. I will continue buying if SLV dips up to a close of Monday&#8217;s gap up. I will also return to buying GLD call options. I bought call options in TLT on the 50DMA breakdown. I almost took profits on Monday but stayed my hand after noticing the concerning signals in AUD\/JPY, GLD, and SLV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long GLD, long SLV shares and calls, long TLT calls, short AUD\/JPY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The economic data continue to worsen in Europe. While it is difficult to find signs of concern in U.S. markets, wariness is etched in a few key corners of financial markets. Precious Signals Notably, the precious metals gold and silver look ready for a fresh upward push. Gold and silver can perform well in times &#8230; <a title=\"A Concerning Set of Signals: Gold, Silver, Bonds, and Currencies\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/24\/a-concerning-set-of-signals-gold-silver-bonds-currencies\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50067,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[456,483,199,794,20,511,62],"tags":[772,310,309,513,200,24,138,25,354,280],"class_list":["post-50065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bonds-2","category-breakdown","category-commodities","category-europe","category-forex","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-audjpy","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa","tag-fxy","tag-gld","tag-gold","tag-japanese-yen","tag-silver","tag-slv","tag-tlt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Concerning Set of Signals: Gold, Silver, Bonds, and Currencies - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/24\/a-concerning-set-of-signals-gold-silver-bonds-currencies\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Concerning Set of Signals: Gold, Silver, Bonds, and Currencies - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The economic data continue to worsen in Europe. 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While it is difficult to find signs of concern in U.S. markets, wariness is etched in a few key corners of financial markets. Precious Signals Notably, the precious metals gold and silver look ready for a fresh upward push. Gold and silver can perform well in times ... 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